Friday, September18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orlando, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:27PM Friday September 18, 2020 7:57 PM EDT (23:57 UTC) Moonrise 7:22AMMoonset 7:41PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 405 Pm Edt Fri Sep 18 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening...
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 15 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 16 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 9 to 12 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 10 to 13 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 10 to 14 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 9 to 12 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 405 Pm Edt Fri Sep 18 2020
Synopsis..A weak frontal boundary across central florida will continue to push south across the waters this weekend, followed by a significant northeast wind surge. Seas will build rapidly from the wind surge as well as large incoming swells from distant hurricane teddy. This will produce very hazardous boating conditions beginning tomorrow afternoon across the volusia county waters, and spreading southward across the adjacent atlantic through Saturday night, lasting through at least early next week. Seas are forecast to reach at least 15 feet well offshore by late Sunday into Monday. Hazardous conditions may exist at inlets during outgoing tide cycles through the weekend due to the developing northeast long period swell. Expect offshore moving showers and lightning storms this afternoon and evening, mainly from the cape southward. Winds and seas locally higher in vicinity of storms.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, september 17th. 37 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 24 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orlando, FL
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location: 28.42, -81.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 182016 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 416 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Weekend Wind Surge to Create Very Hazardous Conditions at Coast . . Likely Rain Chances this Weekend . . Beach Erosion Likely Early Next Week .

Current-Tonight . Very warm this afternoon across ECFL as the deeper southwesterly flow impedes east coast sea breeze development and penetration inland. Afternoon highs areawide likely in the L90s. Heat index readings will hover between 98-103F due to combination of the heat and high moisture. A weak front has made slow progress southward across the I-4 corridor early this afternoon with additional slow progress across ECFL thru tonight. Continued warm temperatures aloft combined with poor mid/upper level support will spell only scattered rain showers and lightning storms, mainly south of Orlando. A few showers will remain possible north of here. Drier and more stable air will filter in behind the front. Storm motion remains toward the east or east-northeast at 10 to 15 mph. Primary storm threats remain locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning, and gusty winds up to around 35 mph. SW/WSW surface winds will veer to W/NW behind the front. Winds tonight will veer to NW-NNE and will decrease to light.

Overnight our mins will only fall back into the 70s once again. A few lingering light showers and perhaps a lightning storm will be possible during the evening after sunset, especially near KMLB southward, but most locations north of here should remain dry.

Sat . Developing area of low pressure off of the Carolinas in combination with a strong high pressure along the Atlantic seaboard will create a fetch of strong northeast winds that will move into our local coastal waters during the day and across the Volusia/north Brevard coasts bringing breezy/gusty NERLY winds with increased rain chances areawide through late day. Conditions will become very hazardous over the local coastal waters as winds increase and seas build. Very rough surf and a high threat for life-threatening rip currents will be present at area beaches. Minor beach erosion and coastal flooding will also be possible at times of high tide. Highs in the M80s along the Volusia coast including north Volusia/north Lake counties. U80s to around 90 further southward across ECFL.

Sat Night-Sun Night . Weak cold front will shift south of east central Florida into Saturday night and combine with strong area of high pressure extending down the eastern U.S. coast to produce a surge in NE winds across the area. The increasing onshore flow, deep moisture and presence of this boundary will lead to high rain chances especially along the coast, spreading southward and inland into Sunday. Highest rainfall totals and greatest potential for locally heavy rainfall up to 1-3 inches will exist along the coast, with any persistent bands of showers and isolated storms potentially leading to even higher totals.

Confidence increasing for a significant beach erosion and coastal flood event that will begin to unfold into Saturday night and continue through the weekend and early next week. High astronomicaltides, large swells from distant Hurricane Teddy, and building wind waves from NE surge behind the front will all combine to produce high seas, dangerous surf, and the potential for moderate to major beach erosion and coastal flooding due to the long duration of the large swells. A Rip Current Risk has been extended through early next week, and a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for the coastal counties.

Mon-Fri . Ongoing coastal event to start the period with large breaking waves at the coast, high rip current threat with rough/pounding surf, and beach erosion ongoing. Strong high pressure ridging across the Atlc seaboard combined with lower pressures southward will continue to create a tight pressure gradient across ECFL on Mon with breezy/gusty onshore winds gradually decreasing into Tue. Much drier and stable air will begin to infiltrate across the area on Mon through at least Tue. Lower than normal rain chances will continue into at least Thu. The persistent strong (stable) marine influence will keep low temperature readings more seasonal in the U60s to L70s. High temperatures should be near to just below seasonal for this period with some L-M80s thru Wed, then M-U80s again by Thu-Fri.

AVIATION. A weak surface trough has pushed southward into the I-4 corridor early this afternoon with some additional slow progress southward across ECFL over the next 24 hours. Stable/drier air will filter southward behind this boundary. Very warm at the surface, and moist, but little mid-upper level support for this boundary southward. A few showers north of KMCO possible, but scattered showers/storms more favorable southward this afternoon/evening. Cell movement toward the E or ENE at 10-15 kts. The ECSB does not look favorable given the stout/deep SWRLY flow. Winds expected to veer W/NW behind the front with most areas across ECFL becoming NW-NNE through the night. Will update TAFs with tempo as necessary for later convection, again, mainly south of KMCO. MVFR in/around SCT convection. Activity lingering longest along the Treasure Coast, where it is expected to end this evening, then push offshore.

MARINE. This afternoon-Tonight . A weak frontal boundary continues to push towards the Cape by late today and points further southward overnight. ISOLD showers developing and pushing offshore the Volusia coast later today/early evening with scattered offshore-moving, showers and lighting storms southward toward Jupiter Inlet thru at least sunset. Some lingering activity will persist across the Gulf Stream thru late tonight. SWRLY surface flow ahead of the boundary becoming W/NW behind it, then gradually NW/N areawide by daybreak Sat morning. Wind speeds 10-15 kts today falling to around 10 kts or less tonight outside of any storm activity. Seas 2-3 ft very near shore and 3-5 ft over the open Atlc. Winds/seas locally higher invof showers/storms.

This afternoon-Tonight . A weak frontal boundary continues to push towards the Cape by late today and points further southward overnight. ISOLD showers developing and pushing offshore the Volusia coast later today/early evening with scattered offshore-moving, showers and lighting storms southward toward Jupiter Inlet thru at least sunset. Some lingering activity will persist across the Gulf Stream thru late tonight. SWRLY surface flow ahead of the boundary becoming W/NW behind it, then gradually NW/N areawide by daybreak Sat morning. Wind speeds 10-15 kts today falling to around 10 kts or less tonight outside of any storm activity. Seas 2-3 ft very near shore and 3-5 ft over the open Atlc. Winds/seas locally higher invof showers/storms.

Sat . Deteriorating small craft boating conditions Cape northward through the day as a low pressure off of the Carolinas and strong high pressure along the eastern seaboard combine to create a fetch of strong NERLY winds. A Small Craft Advisory goes into effect at 18Z/2PM Sat afternoon for the Volusia coastal waters. Wind speeds will increase to 15-22 kts north of the Cape through late afternoon with seas building here to 6-9 ft by 00Z/8PM Sat evening. Showery precip with isolated lightning storms will also increase in coverage, especially north of the Cape. Conditions will be more favorable south of the Cape, but may begin to deteriorate by late in the day.

Sun-Wed . Very hazardous marine conditions greet this period as the long term marine event continues, with NERLY winds 20-25 kts and very gusty. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in place across the coastal waters through at least Tuesday evening, and consideration for a Gale Watch/Warning for portions of this period may be needed for potential of frequent gusts to around 35 mph. The pressure gradient gradually relaxes ever so slightly during the day on Mon- Tue remaining at or above 15 kts during this time, then only beginning to further decrease Tue night into Wed with E-ENE winds 10-15 kts. Seas remain very high, initially, at 13- 17 ft over the Gulf Stream and 10-14 ft near shore. A slow/gradual subsiding of seas begins Mon night and by late day Wed, seas may fall to 9-10 ft Gulf Stream and 6-9 ft near shore, so a continuation of hazardous boating conditions for small craft during this entire period.

HYDROLOGY. The Saint Johns River at Astor remains at Minor Flood Stage. While levels are forecast to remain relatively steady, any additional rainfall over the river basin may increase levels through the next several days. Astronomical high tides are also likely impeding water flow. Refer to Flood Statements from NWS Melbourne for the river levels and forecasts near Astor, which will be updated daily while the river remains in flood.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 76 85 76 84 / 30 70 60 60 MCO 75 90 76 86 / 10 70 40 60 MLB 76 88 78 86 / 30 40 60 70 VRB 75 89 77 87 / 30 40 50 80 LEE 74 89 74 85 / 10 70 30 50 SFB 75 88 75 85 / 10 70 50 60 ORL 76 90 76 85 / 10 70 50 60 FPR 75 88 78 88 / 30 30 50 80

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Tuesday evening for Indian River-Martin-St. Lucie.

Coastal Flood Watch from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening for Coastal Volusia-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard.

AM . Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Weitlich/Sedlock/Rodriguez


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 37 mi58 min NW 7 G 8.9 87°F 86°F1011.5 hPa (+0.8)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 41 mi62 min 85°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 59 mi38 min NNE 1.9 G 3.9 82°F 84°F1010.2 hPa79°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 69 mi58 min W 1.9 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando International Airport, FL1 mi65 minWNW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F71°F59%1011 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL9 mi65 minWNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds88°F69°F54%1011.4 hPa
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL12 mi62 minWNW 710.00 miFair87°F73°F65%1011.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCO

Wind History from MCO (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:40 AM EDT     4.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:03 PM EDT     4.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:37 PM EDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.44.44.44.44.44.44.4

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:43 AM EDT     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:58 AM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:06 PM EDT     -0.63 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.60.4-0.4-0.5-012.23.44.24.64.23.32.10.8-0.2-0.6-0.30.51.62.83.94.44.33.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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