Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lacoochee, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 8:02PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 3:51 PM EDT (19:51 UTC) Moonrise 10:47PMMoonset 11:09AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 242 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..East winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming north around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 242 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis..High pressure will remain across north florida through the end of the week and into the upcoming weekend. An inverted trough/tropical wave over the bahamas will move northwest and across south florida on Friday and then into the eastern gulf on Saturday. East to southeast winds around 10 knots with seas of 2 feet or less will continue over the gulf waters through the period, with an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast each afternoon. Wind and seas will be higher near late afternoon and evening showers and Thunderstorms, otherwise no headlines are expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lacoochee, FL
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location: 28.44, -82     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 211921
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
321 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Discussion
Tonight... The late afternoon convective pattern has generally
unfolded as anticipated, if not a little less than expected. The
east coast sea breeze (ecsb) was not overly productive earlier back
toward the coast, but at least is trying to allow for some spotty
deeper convection within interior sections. Embedded in the
prevailing E SE wind flow, the ecsb is making considerable inland
progress. Eventual activity, of course, will quickly skew west
toward the gulf coast. Storm opportunity will diminish quickly after
sunset as diurnal heating shuts-down and storms continue their
westward transition away from the forecast area. Until then,
scattered locations west of orlando will have the best chance for
storms with potential gusts to 40 mph as augmented by slightly drier
air aloft in the presence of brief heavy rain. It was warm again
this afternoon with most temperatures peaking out in the l90s, but
with some readings in the u80s along the immediate coast.

During the overnight, a light prevailing maritime E SE wind flow
will continue courtesy of the subtropical ridge. Isolated marine
showers storms will occur over the gulf stream, with a few making
their way toward the coast south of CAPE canaveral, mainly for the
treasure coast. Low temperatures in the l m70s, but moderated to the
m u70s along the immediate coast.

Thursday... Another day of lower than normal rain chances. The
subtropical ridge axis remains over north florida keeping the
maritime southeasterlies open for business. However, as an inverted
trough approaches the florida straits, dry upstream air will effect
east central florida to curb convective activity. The forecast calls
for an embbedded ecsb Thursday that will readily progress inland
similar to today, but comparatively less productive during the
afternoon over interior sections. The best chance for showers storms
will be along the treasure coast and in vicinity of lake okeechobee.

Even so, pops will peak out at 30 percent there. Afternoon
temperatures in the u80s near the coast and l90s inland. Low
temperatures in the m u70s.

Friday-Tuesday... (modified from previous)... There is an area of
disturbed weather over the central and northwest bahamas that is
being monitored for potential tropical development. Development,
if any, will be slow as it moves toward florida and southeastern
united states. That being said, the atlantic ridge axis over the
north fl peninsula continues meandering there as an inverted
trough moves over south fl peninsula. This trough wave ushers in a
moist airmass allowing for scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms to develop each day, including during the overnight
hours. East winds will veer southeasterly then more southerly by
Sunday, and the east coast sea breeze is forecast to develop each
day. The many expected boundary and sea breeze collisions with
ample moisture will result in above normal rain chances this
weekend with 50-70 percent across much of the area.

By Monday, the low-level flow veers southwesterly as a weak upper
trough and surface frontal boundary make their way across the
southeast, diminishing the influence of the atlantic ridge, and
absorbing the remnants of the easterly wave. This pattern will favor
boundary collisions on the eastern half of the peninsula during the
mid to late afternoon. Meaning rain chances will remain high into
the start of next week.

Generally, afternoon high temperatures are forecast in the low 90s,
and overnight temps in the low to mid 70s. Some storms could produce
locally heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches resulting in minor flooding in
areas that have seen significant rainfall already this month.

Aviation
Drier airmass in place across the region is limiting coverage for
shra and tsra for the remainder of the day. Best tsra chances and
potential for tempo ifr MVFR conds remains for kmco and kism thru
21z and klee thru 0z. OtherwiseVFR conds. Isolated shra moving
onshore from kvrb-ksua is possible after midnight. However, with low
rain chances, any coverage should be limited throughout the morning,
so vcsh will not be included at this time.

Marine
Tonight... The axis of the subtropical ridge remains north of the
local waters with deep onshore flow across the entire area. E se
wind flow 10 kts or less with seas around 2 ft near shore and up to
3 ft offshore. A slight chance again tonight for low-topped
showers storms, though there will be some slightly drier air
infiltrating from the east.

Thursday-Sunday... Lower chances for showers and storms on Thursday
with east winds around 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 feet. Rain chances
increase on Friday and into the weekend as a tropical wave
approaches the area. Expect scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the nearshore atlantic waters. A few of these
storms may produce wind gusts in excess of 34 knots.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 90 75 89 10 20 20 30
mco 75 92 75 91 10 20 20 30
mlb 77 88 78 87 10 20 20 40
vrb 75 89 75 88 10 20 20 50
lee 75 93 75 92 10 20 20 30
sfb 75 92 75 91 10 20 20 30
orl 75 91 75 90 10 20 20 30
fpr 75 90 75 90 20 20 20 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ds pg dw jc rd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 35 mi117 min ESE 4.1 G 7 97°F 1018.1 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 42 mi51 min E 5.1 G 8.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 42 mi51 min E 1.9 G 5.1
MCYF1 43 mi51 min 84°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 47 mi117 min E 4.1 G 6 89°F 1018.8 hPa

Wind History for TPA Cruise Terminal 2, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL24 mi2 hrsESE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F73°F59%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKV

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6----SW5CalmCalm----SE3------------E4E3----SE7SE5SE7SE5E6
1 day ago--CalmSE7SE7CalmCalmCalm--------------E3CalmE4NE5E5E96E4E6E6
2 days agoS5CalmCalm--N4CalmCalmCalm------N3------CalmCalmCalmCalm--E4E3--N5

Tide / Current Tables for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
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Aripeka
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Wed -- 04:46 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:11 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:23 PM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.91.62.42.93.12.92.521.51.10.80.60.71.21.82.42.82.82.62.21.71.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Bayport, Florida
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Bayport
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:20 AM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:24 PM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:57 PM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.91.42.22.83.13.12.82.31.81.310.80.81.11.72.32.72.92.82.421.51.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.