Friday, January17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Titusville, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:51PM Friday January 17, 2020 9:04 AM EST (14:04 UTC) Moonrise 12:18AMMoonset 12:18PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 423 Am Est Fri Jan 17 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Today..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..East winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 423 Am Est Fri Jan 17 2020
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge will build over florida and the adjacent atlantic through tonight. Increasing northeast to east winds will cause seas to rapidly build, with boating conditions becoming hazardous today through Saturday. Conditions will improve slightly, but will remain poor Saturday night into Sunday. A much stronger cold front will push across central florida and the adjacent atlantic Sunday night, causing conditions to become hazardous once again through early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots with frequent gusts to around 30 knots. Seas building to 8 to 11 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, january 16th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Titusville, FL
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location: 28.62, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 170922 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 420 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Increasing Winds and Deteriorating Seas and Surf Conditions Behind This Morning's 'Back Door' Frontal Passage .

Current . NE wind surge associated with marine-modified cooler air is now approaching the Treasure Coast, and has been demarcated by a narrow, broken band of light rain showers about to push onshore south of Melbourne. A few other weaker echoes (sprinkles) are noted to the north of the boundary. Precip amounts are minimal, perhaps a hundredth of an inch or two at best. Multiple channel IR imagery shows a thin broken-overcast CS deck aloft, with areas of lower SCU clouds beneath it. 06Z/2AM temps ranged from the L60s interior south where winds have become light-calm to the U60s elsewhere, even some L70s along the Volusia/northern Brevard coasts, where NE winds have kicked up to around 15MPH.

Today-tonight . Breezy to windy and not nearly as warm (albeit still above normal) today as the NE wind surge spread inland and synoptic flow veers more easterly this afternoon into tonight. BLYR wind flow increases to 20-25KT, which easily supports Lk Wind Advisory for the entire CWA. Small chance for showers along the southern Treasure Coast early this morning. Given current satellite imagery, have chosen to disregard redevelopment of light shower/QPF along our NE coast as depicted by some of the model guidance, however it will be worth monitoring.

Maxes today will range from around 70F along the Volusia Coast to the U70s from the Treasure Coast to the southern Kissimme River basin. Mins should range from the U50s-L60s inland to U60s-around 70F along the coast. Went well above MOS temp guidance for coastal cities, especially from Brevard south. Just don't see decoupling of the winds needed to allow temps to fall off as much as MOS suggests. Of course, healthy T/TD spreads will ensure a large forecast bust should this actually take place, even for a short period of time.

Sat-Sat Night . Post frontal high pres ridge will build off the eastern seaboard, generating a steady E/SE breeze thru the H100-H70 lyr thru the day, bcmg S/SW overnight. Model soundings indicating multiple subsidence inversions dvlpg in the wake of the fropa as the post-frontal ridge center build builds off the Mid Atlc/New England coast. PWat values blo 1.00" will preclude any precip chances, but cold air advection will be limited by the dvlpg onshore low/mid lvl flow. Max temps in the L/M70s will be near avg, min temps in the M50s interior to L60s Treasure Coast/Lake-O region arnd 10F abv avg.

Sun-Sun night . Mid/upr lvl flow pattern acrs the CONUS has a strong zonal component that will generate a progressive WX pattern thru the upcoming weekend. Short wave trof over the wrn CONUS will work its way east, pulling a new frontal boundary into N FL thru the day, then into central FL overnight. Limited moisture advection ahead of the front as the pd of progressive nature of the WX pattern limits mean H100-H70 onshore flow to 24-36hrs . moisture pooling within the frontal boundary will be the primary fuel source for any shra activity. Storm center too far north to generate any meaningful mid/upr lvl dynamic support, will not mention tsra with this package . PoPs aob 40pct.

Southerly flow thru the day will generate abv avg temps . M/U70s along and north of I-4 . U70s/L70s Treasure Coast/Lake-O region. Cool air advection beginning aft sunset will push min temps into the L/M50s along and north of I-4 . fropa not anticipated over the Treasure Coast/Lake-O region until arnd sunrise . min temps in the U50s/L60s.

Mon-Thu . Continental ridging will control the WX pattern for central FL for much of next week. Cool/cold air advection pattern acrs central FL thru Tue as the ridge drops out of the Canadian Plains acrs the Midwest and into the Mid Atlc . temps blo avg Mon (L/M60s maxes and M/U50s mins) and well blo avg Tue (M50s/L60s maxes and M30s/L40s mins) as brisk N/NWrly flow prevails thru the H100-H70 lyr. Winds veering onshore by midweek as the post frontal ridge pushes off the eastern seaboard . ocean modified air works its way back arcs central FL with max temps warming into the U60s/M70s, min temps L/M50s interior and U50/L60s along the Treasure Coast/Lake-O region. Slgt chc of shras with the dvlpg onshore flow Tue night into Wed.

AVIATION. VFR. Could see some brief CIGS near MVFR (BKN030-035) through about 14Z, however, SCT-BKN040-050 should prevail today. Gusty quartering crosswinds on N-S runways from 060-080 17-18KT G25-28KT, especially for the TIX-SUA corridor.

MARINE. Today-tonight . Not much to add as the well-advertised NE-E surge has commenced, and the inherited forecast/SCA/HSA is on track. Onshore/NE-E winds increase to about 20KT nearshore and closer to 25KT offshore with seas building as high as 9-11ft through tonight. Building seas and surf will make boating and beach activities very hazardous.

Sat-Sat Night . Hazardous boating conds continue as a high pres ridge builds off the Mid Atlc coast. Sfc/bndry lyr winds shifting a moderate to fresh easterly breeze at daybreak to a gentle to moderate SE breeze by midday, bcmg S/SW overnight. While diminishing winds will reduce short pd chop, easterly swell will keep seas abv avg, 7-9ft nearshore and 8-10ft offshore . subsiding to 5-6ft over the shelf waters and 6-7ft in the Gulf Stream overnight.

Sun-Sun Night . Storm system dvlpg over the nrn Rockies will push rapidly eastward over the upcoming weekend . center fcst to push off the New England coast/Canadian Maritimes Sun Night into Mon, dragging a weak cold front into central FL. Gentle to moderate S/SW breeze thru the day, veering to a moderate to fresh W/NW breeze overnight. Offshore component will keep combined seas AOB 7FT, but the offshore wind component will generate rough chop within a few miles of the coast. Seas 4-5ft nearshore and 5-7ft offshore. Chc/slgt chc of shras with the fropa.

Mon-Mon Night . Poor to hazardous boating conds as a cold front assocd with the aforementioned storm system pushes thru the lcl Atlc waters thru the day and into the central Bahamas/FL Straits overnight. Moderate to fresh N/NW breeze will generate 4-6FT seas over the shelf waters, 5-7Ft seas over the Gulf Stream. Chc of shras thru the day, slgt chc over the Gulf Stream overnight.

Tue-Tue Night . Strong post-frontal high pres ridge will build from the Midwest into the Mid Atlc, maintaining a moderate to fresh northerly breeze acrs the lcl Atlc. Seas 4-6FT nearshore and 5-7FT offshore thru the day, building to 5-7Ft nearshore and 8-10FT offshore aft sunset. Slgt chc of shras.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 70 62 73 58 / 10 10 0 10 MCO 74 61 76 58 / 0 10 0 0 MLB 74 66 74 57 / 10 10 0 0 VRB 75 66 75 56 / 20 10 0 0 LEE 73 60 76 60 / 0 0 0 10 SFB 73 60 75 58 / 10 10 0 0 ORL 73 60 76 59 / 0 10 0 0 FPR 75 67 74 55 / 20 10 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Lake Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Inland Volusia- Martin-Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange- Osceola-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie.

High Surf Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST Saturday for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard- Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM . Cristaldi LONG TERM . Bragaw AVIATION . Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 18 mi47 min NE 13 G 18 72°F 73°F1028.6 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 21 mi35 min 73°F4 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi25 min NE 21 G 27 73°F 73°F1027.8 hPa58°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 75 mi80 min NNE 13 66°F 1030 hPa54°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL7 mi75 minENE 117.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F57°F54%1027.4 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL16 mi69 minENE 13 G 1910.00 miFair72°F58°F63%1027 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4W6NW5N5NW8--NW9NW944CalmCalm------------------NE12NE11NE15
1 day agoSW11SW10SW10SW5S4SE8SE10SE10S10S10--S4------------------SW5W5W5
2 days agoS9SE10SE11S13SE10
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S10--S10SE4SE4----------------------CalmCalm--

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:18 AM EST     4.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 09:34 AM EST     4.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:17 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:21 PM EST     4.00 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:39 PM EST     4.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:49 AM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 12:16 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:10 PM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:34 PM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.73.42.71.810.30.10.30.91.72.63.33.63.42.921.10.3-0.2-0.20.211.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.