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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fern Park, FL

July 14, 2025 5:30 AM EDT (09:30 UTC)
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Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 10:13 PM   Moonset 9:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 305 Am Edt Mon Jul 14 2025

Today - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast this afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds and northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tonight - North winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.

Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 1031 Am Edt Tue May 6 2025
synopsis for flagler beach to jupiter inlet fl out 60 nm

Synopsis - A weak frontal boundary stalled across or just north of the local atlantic waters remains in place through midweek. The front will then lift late in the week as high pressure builds across the tropical atlantic and over the area. Offshore moving showers and storms are expected each afternoon and evening which will be capable of wind gusts in excess of 34kts, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall.

Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday, may 5th, 2025.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 20 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 12 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 7 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fern Park, FL
   
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Tide / Current for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
  
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Titusville
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Mon -- 02:09 AM EDT     3.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:58 AM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:28 PM EDT     3.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:26 PM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Titusville, Indian River, Florida does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
3.7
1
am
3.7
2
am
3.7
3
am
3.7
4
am
3.7
5
am
3.7
6
am
3.7
7
am
3.7
8
am
3.7
9
am
3.7
10
am
3.7
11
am
3.7
12
pm
3.7
1
pm
3.7
2
pm
3.7
3
pm
3.7
4
pm
3.7
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
3.7
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
3.8
10
pm
3.8
11
pm
3.8

Tide / Current for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
  
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
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Mon -- 05:38 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:31 AM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:55 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:58 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
2
2
am
1.5
3
am
1
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.9
9
am
1.5
10
am
2
11
am
2.4
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.2
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
2.3

Area Discussion for Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 140701 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 301 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE

KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 301 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

- A disturbance and associated deep moisture moves over central Florida early this week. Above-normal lightning storm chances and locally heavy rainfall with be the primary impacts.

- Daily rain chances remain high, up to around 80% through midweek as the disturbance continues to pull deep moisture over the peninsula as it moves into the Gulf.

- A more seasonal pattern returns late week with rain chances returning closer to normal by Friday.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 301 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Today... Weak low pressure sinks southwestward along the Georgia/Florida Atlantic coastline. Deep moisture holds in place across the interior and southern counties (PWAT 2.0-2.1") while models show a tongue of drier air advecting along the Volusia and northern Brevard coasts this afternoon and evening (PWAT ~ 1.8-1.9).
Therefore, the highest rain chances will be favored across the interior and the Treasure Coast counties today (70-80%). Periods of continued rainfall may lead to a localized flood threat, particularly across low lying and poor drainage areas. HRRR guidance generally signals storm total accumulations of 1-1.5" with locally higher totals up to 3.5-4" (5-10% chance) across areas which see multiple rounds of showers and storms. While temperatures aloft hold around -7 to -8 C, pulses of vorticity could allow for a few strong storms. Stronger storms which develop will be capable of frequent lightning strikes and localized convective gusts of 50-55 mph. When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors!

High temperatures today will vary based on rainfall trends. Guidance generally favors an earlier start to showers and storms across the south, limiting highs to the upper 80s to low 90s. The potential for later convective initiation across the north could allow highs to more widely range the low to mid 90s. High humidity will produce heat index values between 100-107, potentially nearing Heat Advisory thresholds north and west of I-4 ahead of showers and storms.

Tuesday-Wednesday... A wet pattern continues. Weak mid level troughing slides across the Florida peninsula Tuesday and into the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday. At the surface, a broad area of low pressure follows across the state in vicinity of mid level support. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor this feature as it moves into the Gulf and there is now a low 30% chance for tropical development by the middle to latter part of the weak. Regardless of tropical development, deep moisture will continue to fuel high rain chances locally (80%). While global ensembles suggest widespread daily rainfall totals of an inch or less, localized totals of 2-4" remain possible, especially where stronger storms occur. A conditional storm environment will exist with the presence of a saturated air column and tall, skinny CAPE profiles. However, localized waves of vorticity continue to pass aloft, especially on Tuesday. This could continue an isolated strong storm threat capable of frequent lightning strikes and localized winds gusts of 45-50 mph.

High temperatures will be near to below normal each day (M80s-L90s)
with increased cloud cover and rain chances. Low temperatures remain in the low to mid 70s.

Thursday-Sunday... The Atlantic ridge axis takes control of the local weather pattern through the extended forecast period. A wave of deeper moisture advects from the southeast on Thursday keeping one more day of higher rain chances (~70%). By Friday and into the weekend, a more seasonal pattern of afternoon showers and storms is forecast with rain chances returning closer to normal. High temperatures climb near to above normal each afternoon, reaching the low to mid 90s. Lows in the low to mid 70s gradually increase a few degrees as winds turn slightly more onshore.

MARINE
Issued at 301 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

A broad area of low pressure moves across the local waters today and into early Tuesday, making winds widely light and variable. The western Atlantic high begins to build late Tuesday, establishing southerly flow around 10-15 kts into mid week. Seas gradually build 2-3 ft. High shower and storm chances continue through Thursday before a more typical summertime pattern returns.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 136 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Continued VFR outside of convection. Nuisance shower and embedded lightning storm activity continues to press southward early this morning across ECFL and the adjacent coastal waters. ISOLD gusty winds of 20-30 kts possible in strongest activity. TEMPO groups as necessary. Light/variable winds remainder of tonight outside of convection. Unsettled pattern continues into Mon with ample moisture and weak disturbance off of north FL coast. Much uncertainty and low confidence with CAM models from run to run.
Continue VCTS along the coast aft 16Z and interior aft 18Z. Light offshore flow becomes northerly during the day and perhaps onshore near the coast. Future TEMPO groups to follow as confidence increases.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 90 75 87 74 / 50 30 80 20 MCO 93 74 90 74 / 70 40 80 30 MLB 89 74 87 76 / 70 50 90 40 VRB 89 71 87 73 / 80 50 90 40 LEE 92 74 89 75 / 80 40 80 30 SFB 93 76 90 75 / 60 30 80 20 ORL 92 76 90 75 / 70 40 80 30 FPR 88 71 87 73 / 80 60 90 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 43 mi43 minW 6G7 85°F30.01
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 46 mi35 min 79°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 62 mi31 minW 12G14 78°F 82°F30.0174°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 71 mi106 minW 1 74°F 30.0472°F


Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSFB ORLANDO SANFORD INTL,FL 12 sm37 minSW 0510 smA Few Clouds73°F72°F94%30.02
KMCO ORLANDO INTL,FL 14 sm37 minSSW 0310 smOvercast75°F73°F94%30.03
KISM KISSIMMEE GATEWAY,FL 24 sm34 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds75°F73°F94%30.04

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast  
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Melbourne, FL,





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