Wednesday, August5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 8:12PM Wednesday August 5, 2020 10:18 AM EDT (14:18 UTC) Moonrise 8:51PMMoonset 7:29AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 347 Am Edt Wed Aug 5 2020
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered Thunderstorms and chance of showers.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 347 Am Edt Wed Aug 5 2020
Synopsis..Generally favorable boating conditions are expected through this weekend as light southerly flow gradually backs to southeast. Strong offshore moving Thunderstorms with locally higher winds and seas, and frequent lightning are expected during the late afternoon and early evening through Friday,
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, august 5th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 050759 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 355 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Numerous Afternoon and Evening Showers and Storms Expected Into This Weekend .

Today-tonight . Another convectively active day expected as the FL peninsula remains on the western flank of the low-mid level Atlantic ridge. Deep moisture feed continues with PWAT values between 2.0" and 2.1". Numerous to widespread showers/storms should develop from later morning throughout the afternoon, with a continued SW steering flow pushing storms NE back toward the east coast. Early initiation coupled with extensive coverage will result in TS outflows becoming primary mechanism for secondary redevelopment, rather than the sea breezes themselves.

Shaded the 70-90 POPs of the NBM back just a bit to 60-80, with slightly higher coverage around Lake Okeechobee given likelihood of sea/lake breeze interaction. Some storms will be capable of winds gusting to 40-50 mph, along with frequent lightning and downpours of 1-3". Max temps around 90 along the coast and L90s inland. Mins in the M-U70s.

Thursday-Friday . Guidance unchanged on indications of a moist regime, along with a favorable overall environment for development of deep convection with slow moving afternoon storms. Numerous lightning storms are expected. Locally heavy rain will be capable of causing standing water in lower spots and other flood prone locations. The subtropical Atlantic ridge is advertised to redevelop vertically across central FL beginning Friday, resulting in slightly lower rain chances late in the week. Expect lows in the mid 70s and highs in the low to mid 90s.

Weekend-Next Week . Presence of aforementioned ridge setting up at the surface near central FL will lead to additional airmass drying this weekend into early next week. PoP forecast will remain at least sct in coverage at the coast and likely inland with variable to light onshore steering winds. Daily flow patterns will be dominated by formation of the east coast breeze and development of local boundaries, which wl lead to daily storm chances highest across inland areas. Seasonal temperatures can be expected.

AVIATION. Pretty much a repeat of Tuesday, with low level flow backing ever-so-slightly. VFR through about 16Z, followed by an increasing coverage of IFR TS. All sites have 3hr duration TEMPO groups with an earlier (17Z-18Z) onset near the coast, and an hour or two later inland. G30-40kt expected near stronger TS.

MARINE. South winds 10-15kt backing onshore along the coast with the afternoon ECSB circulation. Seas 2-3ft near shore and 3-4ft offshore.

Thursday-Friday . Seas 2-3ft Thu, then 2 ft or less Fri and into the weekend. Locally higher winds and seas in scattered offshore moving storms during Thu.

Weekend-Next Week . Surface ridge establishing nearby will lead to favorable conditions with seas around 2 ft or less this weekend and into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 90 76 89 75 / 60 20 80 30 MCO 92 76 93 76 / 70 30 90 30 MLB 89 77 89 76 / 70 20 80 30 VRB 89 75 90 74 / 70 20 80 30 LEE 94 77 94 77 / 70 40 90 30 SFB 94 75 93 76 / 70 30 90 30 ORL 93 76 94 76 / 70 30 90 30 FPR 90 76 90 74 / 70 20 80 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Cristaldi LONG TERM . Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi48 min SSE 7 G 8 83°F 84°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi52 min 83°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi28 min S 9.7 G 12 82°F 82°F3 ft1016.3 hPa81°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi93 min S 1.9 80°F 1018 hPa76°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi31 minN 07.00 miFair88°F78°F75%1017.3 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi22 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F79°F81%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3--E4NE12E106CalmSE64--4------------------CalmCalmCalmCalm
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--W10NW5W55S10------------------S5SW4NW33
2 days agoE11NE14E12N15
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------------------W7W10--W8

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:23 AM EDT     3.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:03 AM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:20 PM EDT     3.78 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:59 PM EDT     3.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.8

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:41 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:41 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:54 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:09 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.71.70.90.30.20.61.42.33.23.73.83.42.71.70.80.2-00.3122.93.743.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.