Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:17PM Sunday May 31, 2020 7:59 PM EDT (23:59 UTC) Moonrise 1:54PMMoonset 1:52AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 320 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming northeast towards daybreak. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Isolated showers. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 320 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge axis will remain across central florida through this evening, providing generally favorable boating conditions. A weak frontal boundary will cross the waters late tonight into early Monday, forcing the ridge axis southward. Behind the front, high pressure will build from the mid-atlantic states toward florida, providing a period of freshening onshore flow and poor to hazardous winds and seas into Tuesday. Winds will slacken slightly through mid week as they veer to southeasterly.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, may 31st. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 311916 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 316 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020

DISCUSSION.

Current-tonight . Showers are beginning to develop and move into far northern portions of east central Florida as of around 2pm. These storms will continue to increase in coverage through the afternoon, becoming scattered. Initial storm motion will be SE, thanks to light NW flow between a strengthening high pressure over the GOMEX and a weak trough draped across the southeast moving into the western Atlantic. However, like the last few days, storm motions will become more erratic through the afternoon, as outflow boundary collisions overcome light steering flow. Main threats continue to be dangerous lightning, gusty winds, and flooding of poor drainage areas due to heavy rainfall. Any lingering storms will dissipate into early evening. Expect seasonal overnight lows in the low 70s.

Monday . A weak surface front will move southward into the area Monday morning, before washing out. PoPs diminishing slightly compared to the previous few days, with afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances around 30 percent in northern counties to 50 percent along the Treasure Coast. Onshore flow developing, with ENE winds 10-15 mph Monday afternoon. This will help to reduce afternoon temperatures, especially along the coast. Afternoon highs upper 80s to near 90 inland and the mid 80s across coastal areas.

Tuesday-Wednesday(modified previous) . Ridge axis associated with a low/mid level anticyclone will drop to N FL by midweek. As influence of low/mid level anticyclone to the north becomes the dominant factor, a pattern change will ensue as steering flow becomes NE early to mid week. Dryer and more stable air will advect onshore into the northern third/half of CWA. Initial shower/storm development will be late morning/early afternoon near the coast, then generally spreading toward interior later each day. Trend toward lower POPs Tue/Wed as relatively drier onshore flow prevails. POPs ranging from generally 20 N to 40 S Tue/Wed. Within onshore flow, max temps will reduce to lower/mid 80s coast and mid to upper 80s inland Tue/Wed.

Thursday-Saturday (modified) . Considerable disparity remains for extended range regarding evolution/placement of Central American Gyre. A piece of vorticity is forecast to eject out of the gyre Thu and lift north into the Gulf. As this occurs, GFS/ECM return slug of deep tropical moisture to southern/central FL peninsula as steering flow veers S/SW. This pattern suggests increasing convective coverage late week . possibly into the weekend. Given extended time range and uncertainty of pattern evolution over the Gulf, will reduce high blended model POPs slightly to likely range for Thu-Fri. Expect an uptick in shower/storm coverage with daily POPs near 60-70 percent areawide. Depending on evolution of potential development in the western Gulf of Mexico late in the week, ECFL should see decreasing POPs by Sunday as the area will likely be between the progged low and a mid level wave moving off the mid Atlc coast. Max temps remaining mid-upper 80s Thu-Fri, and warming for the interior to around 90/lower 90s late in the weekend with less cloud cover expected by Sunday.

AVIATION. General VFR conditions outside of convection over the next 24 hours. Scattered showers and lightning storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially north of KISM-KTIX line, then may affect KMLB-KVRB into the late afternoon/evening. Activity will diminish by late evening. MVFR conditions in and around storms with brief IFR conditions possible with +RA. Main threats will include frequent cloud to ground lightning, torrential downpours, and wind gusts in excess of 35 kts with some of the strongest storms.

MARINE.

This afternoon-tonight . Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may make their way to the ICW and nearshore waters later this afternoon. Any storms that make it to these areas will dissipate through the evening. However, a slight shower chance will linger into the overnight, mainly across the offshore waters. E/SE winds this afternoon will become S overnight around 5 kts. Seas 2-3 ft.

Monday . Winds becoming ENE, as a weak surface trough moves into the area and washes out. Wind speeds increasing to around 15 kts nearshore and 15-20 kts offshore Monday afternoon into the evening. Seas rapidly deteriorating, becoming 5-7 ft offshore north of the Cape in the afternoon and 3-5 ft elsewhere. Seas across all east central Florida nearshore and offshore zones are expected to become 5-7 ft by Monday night.

Tuesday-Wednesday(modified previous) . E winds near 15 kt Tue lower toward 5-10 kt overnight, becoming SE 10 kt Wed as ridge axis drops south to the northern peninsula. Seas will gradually begin to subside Tue, reaching 3-4 ft by Wed afternoon. Isolated showers/storms north of the Cape and scattered showers/isolated storms farther south.

Thursday-Friday . As ridge axis broadens and drops into central FL, gradient flow will increase from the SE to near 15 knots at times. Seas will increase offshore to around 4 ft. Scattered to locally numerous showers/storms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 73 84 71 82 / 20 30 10 10 MCO 73 89 72 85 / 30 40 20 20 MLB 74 84 75 82 / 30 30 30 30 VRB 72 85 73 83 / 30 40 30 30 LEE 74 90 72 87 / 20 30 10 20 SFB 72 88 70 84 / 30 40 20 20 ORL 74 89 72 84 / 30 40 20 20 FPR 73 86 74 83 / 30 40 30 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

FORECAST . Leahy IMPACT WEATHER . Volkmer AVIATION . Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi72 min E 4.1 G 6 83°F 82°F1015.8 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi60 min 81°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi50 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 82°F 81°F1015.4 hPa72°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi75 min E 5.1 82°F 1016 hPa75°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi73 minESE 77.00 miA Few Clouds88°F73°F62%1015.2 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi64 minSE 410.00 miA Few Clouds84°F73°F72%1014.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SW4------------------CalmCalmCalm3NW56S7E5E5SE7--NE7E7
1 day agoS10S5--------------------CalmS6SW8SW7--SE5SE5SE10S6SE8SE8S5
2 days agoN14
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N9------------------CalmCalmCalmSE8SE8SE8SE8SE11SE7SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Sun -- 12:06 AM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:35 AM EDT     3.75 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:31 PM EDT     3.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:36 PM EDT     3.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.8

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:24 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:01 PM EDT     3.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:16 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.63.33.73.63.22.41.50.70.20.10.41.122.93.53.73.532.11.30.60.20.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.