Tuesday, July23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:21PM Tuesday July 23, 2019 9:06 AM EDT (13:06 UTC) Moonrise 11:37PMMoonset 11:25AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 407 Am Edt Tue Jul 23 2019
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 407 Am Edt Tue Jul 23 2019
Synopsis..Tropical depression 3, offshore fort pierce inlet early this morning, will lift north and then northeast away from the florida east coast today through tonight. Showers and gusty squalls, along with an increase in winds and seas will accompany the system today, followed by a band of peninsular showers and storms moving quickly offshore during the late afternoon and early evening. The atlantic ridge axis will then set up well south of central florida through late week. This will produce an increase in coverage of showers and storms, some of which could be strong.
Gulf stream hazards..South winds 15 to 20 knots with seas up to 4 feet beyond 20 nautical miles today. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday july 22nd. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230832
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
430 am edt Tue jul 23 2019

Discussion
Tropical depression 3, offshore east central florida, will lift
northeast away from the peninsula later today...

current... Surface analysis and radar satellite imagery place the
center of t.D. #3 offshore the treasure coast and lifting northward.

Several bands of showers and squalls are accompanying the system,
however the activity had been moving nnw, remaining just offshore.

Motion of both the cellular and banded convection is now due north,
and is starting to pivot toward n-nne. With winds being forecast to
continue veering throughout the morning and afternoon, the threat
for showers TS and associated squally winds will stay just offshore
through the remainder of this morning.

Today-tonight... A deep layer trough will continue to amplify over
the entirety of the eastern conus, all the way down into florida.

This will quickly turn TD #3 north and northeast away from florida
and also drive a surface cool front anomalously far south, reaching
the gulf coast and north florida by tonight. Ahead of the front, a
deep layer SW flow will develop across the florida peninsula. High
pwat air (2.0" - 2.1") coupled with diurnal heating will generate
a wcsb-dominant convective regime, as advertised by local mesomodel
guidance. Numerous fast-moving showers and storms will develop and
reach the interior by early afternoon, then push across central and
eastern side of the peninsula through about sunset. There a could be
a lingering shower or storm a little past 00z< however expect most
of the activity to be offshore by sunset.

Falling mid level heights accompanied by modest h25 divergence and
increasing steering winds (sw at ~15kt) will support isolated strong
storms with gusty winds small hail potential (t of only -7c at h50).

Max temps in the l90s areawide with mins in the 70s.

Wednesday-Thursday... Tuesday's TD excitement quickly becomes
yesterday's news as remnants are more fully absorbed into the
frontal trough that will be trailing down along the atlantic
seaboard, draped across north florida, and onward across the rim of
the northeastern gulf of mexico. This frontal trough becomes the new
story as it encroaches upon the area before stalling out. The axis
of the atlantic high pressure ridge gets shunted south and east
allowing central florida to be situated in low-level offshore wind
flow ahead of the front. Ample moisture and a sluggish, if not
inhibited, east coast sea breeze should set the stage for convection
favoring the east half of the central peninsula. Storm chances will
be highest for the coastal counties, but likely as well for inland
sections north of orlando kissimmee in closer proximity to the front
itself. MAX temperatures in the u80s l90s, and min temperatures
generally in the l m70s.

Friday-Monday... The frontal trough remains wedged between the
atlantic high pressure ridge and sprawling surface high pressure
across the eastern conus. The models wish to form a frontal wave or
two along the boundary Friday Saturday, though upper support seems
dampening in trend. The boundary will become more diffuse despite
moisture remaining well pooled. Synoptically, the flow pattern will
adjust to assume onshore flow once again by the weekend. Higher
pressure builds aloft with somewhat perturbed ridging near the
surface. Daily convection will therefore favor an inland to west
coast skew, aided by an embedded sea breeze. Maritime E SE flow more
entrenched to start next week, with the door open to potential
westward moving tropical waves (inverted troughs) off the bahamas.

Max temperatures in the l90s, with min temperatures in the l m70s
except u70s along the coast from melbourne southward once the flow
pattern flips back to onshore.

Aviation Expect all aerodromes to have a decent shot of showers
and storms along and ahead of the west coast sea breeze. High pwat
air mass supporting pops of 60-70 pct merits inclusion of tempo
groups for all aerodromes, with temporal extent (2hr) limited by
quick storm motion toward the ne. Onset timing for the 06z package
was based on the 00z wrf-arw, which indicated start times that were
2-3hr earlier for the interior aerodromes than the dab-sua corridor.

Marine Today-tonight... Scec expanded northward to include the
brevard county waters beyond 20nm. South winds 15-20kt and seas to
around 4ft will be higher in squalls and storms, mainly during the
morning, as the center of TD #3 lifts N to nne through the waters.

There is expected to be a "round 2" of sorts with diurnal storms
over the peninsula moving offshore late in the afternoon and early
evening, some of which could be strong.

Wednesday-Saturday... Sw offshore flow will occur ahead of a frontal
band positioning over north florida mid-late week. A chance for
strong storms to push offshore during the late afternoon with
concern for gusts to 34 knots or more. The afternoon sea breeze will
be inhibited Wednesday and sluggish on Thursday. Friday and Saturday
will find the boundary stalled over north florida and becoming
diffuse. This will allow for a return to onshore flow for the local
waters during the weekend.

S-sw winds 10 knots or less through Friday, except with a developed
easterly sea breeze on Friday. Seas 2 feet or less nearshore and 3
feet or less offshore. Winds flip onshore Saturday generally out of
the east. Wind speeds and sea heights maintain aforementioned
values. Even so, winds and seas will be higher near scattered to
numerous showers and storms.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 91 74 88 73 70 30 70 50
mco 92 75 89 74 60 10 70 40
mlb 91 76 89 75 60 30 70 30
vrb 92 73 91 73 60 30 70 40
lee 92 75 88 74 60 10 70 50
sfb 92 74 89 73 60 10 70 40
orl 92 75 89 75 60 10 70 40
fpr 92 73 91 73 60 30 70 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Cristaldi
long term dss... Sharp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi49 min Calm G 2.9 80°F 83°F1015.6 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi37 min 82°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi37 min Calm G 1.9 78°F 84°F1014.3 hPa72°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi82 min S 1.9 73°F 1016 hPa73°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi80 minWNW 57.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1014.6 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi71 minN 010.00 miFair78°F54°F44%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE8SE9SE5SE10E10SE10SE10SE10SE10S5S5------------------N3W5NW3
1 day ago4E7SE8SE8SE9
G15
SE15SE10S5S5S54NW5------------------SE5S4S4
2 days agoS7CalmCalm645SE5SE85S9S5S4------------------CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Tue -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     3.71 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:56 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:15 AM EDT     3.72 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:05 PM EDT     3.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.83.83.83.83.83.8

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
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Tue -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:35 AM EDT     3.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:56 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:05 PM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:13 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.432.51.71.10.60.40.61.11.82.533.23.12.621.40.90.70.81.21.82.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.