Lake Mary, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lake Mary, FL

June 19, 2024 4:36 AM EDT (08:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 5:31 PM   Moonset 3:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 258 Am Edt Wed Jun 19 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night - .

Today - East winds around 20 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: east 6 feet at 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - East winds around 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: east 7 feet at 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Thursday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: east 7 feet at 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: east 7 feet at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: east 5 feet at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024

Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.

Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Mary, FL
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Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 190811 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 411 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE

DISCUSSION
Issued at 320 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Current-Tonight...The local area will remain sandwiched between mid-level ridging over the Northeast US and a trough over the southwestern Atlantic today. Scattered showers drifting onshore prior to sunrise this morning will persist through the day and linger into tonight (PoPs 40-60%), with onshore flow maintaining higher PWATs to around 1.8-2". The pressure gradient between the aforementioned two features has led to breezy conditions, especially along the coast, overnight. Breezy to windy conditions will continue through the day today, with winds up to 20-25mph and gusts up to 30-35mph. The highest winds look to be this afternoon. Despite higher PWATs, drier air lingers in the mid and upper levels, which should limit the overall thunder threat today.
However, a few thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, especially this afternoon, with forecast MUCAPE values approaching 1500-2000J/kg over southern areas. Some lower cloud cover is forecast today, which should help temperatures to creep up into the upper 80s this afternoon. A few locations in the far interior could approach 90 degrees.

Tonight, shower chances will continue, especially along the coast, with PoPs up to 30-60%. A few thunderstorms will remain possible, though confidence on any occurring is low. Breezy onshore flow will once again persist overnight, with winds 15-20mph along the coast and gusts to around 25mph. Overnight lows are forecast in the lower to mid-70s over the interior, while coastal areas remain in the upper 70s.

Dangerous beach conditions are expected today due to a High Risk of life-threatening rip currents. In addition, high surf with breaking waves 5-8ft will lead to very rough conditions.
Beachgoers should remain out of the water.

Thursday-Friday...A trough, which NHC continues to monitor, maintaining a 20% chance of tropical formation as of the latest update, will approach the Southeast US coast on Thursday, then move onshore into Friday. Models continue to disagree on the exact location and timing of this feature moving onshore. However, they generally agree that it will be somewhere over north Florida/southern Georgia. Fortunately, models continue to support little in the way of development, keeping the feature as an open wave. Regardless of the final outcome, the local area is forecast to have another day of breezy onshore flow Thursday, before winds subside and back southeasterly on Friday. Showers and a few storms are forecast to continue through the period, with PoPs 40-60% Thursday and around 50% on Friday. While some areas will see multiple rounds of activity, overall rainfall totals are forecast to remain under 1".

Temperatures will continue a warming trend through late week. High temperatures Thursday are forecast to reach the upper 80s to lower 90s, then become lower 90s area-wide Friday. With humidity values remaining high, the Heat Risk will build each day. Overnight low temperatures will continue to be in the mid to upper 70s.

Saturday-Tuesday...As the trough washes out over the eastern US, surface ridging is forecast to build into the western Atlantic.
The ridge axis will extend towards the Florida peninsula, where it will linger into mid-week next week. Available moisture will remain high through the period, maintaining daily shower and thunderstorm chances. The NBM continues to suggest very high (likely) PoPs for this period. But, have capped PoPs at around 50% for the time being. However, onshore winds will veer progressively southerly into next week, allowing for a more centralized sea breeze collision, if not a collision over the eastern half of the peninsula. So, will need to monitor to see if higher PoPs would be justified and where. Little relief from building temperatures, with highs reaching the mid-90s over the interior by late weekend and lingering muggy conditions.

MARINE
Issued at 320 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Today-Tonight...Buoy observations overnight tonight have shown seas up to around 9ft off of Ponce Inlet and just outside the nearshore Brevard zone. Have updated the forecast to include this, though models suggest seas diminishing slightly into this afternoon to around 6-7ft. Given that most models have not initialized correctly to account for the occurring 9ft seas, will need to monitor to see is this is true. Nonetheless, hazardous boating conditions will persist, with onshore winds 20-25kts and gusts to around 30kts. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for the local Atlantic waters. Seas are forecast to build to 7-9ft tonight and could approach 10ft offshore by daybreak Thursday.
Scattered showers will continue to drift onshore through tonight, with a few thunderstorms possible.

Thursday-Sunday...Hazardous boating conditions will persist through late week, with seas 7-9ft Thursday possibly approaching 10ft offshore. Breezy ENE winds up to 15-20kts will linger, though will be lower than Wednesday. The Small Craft Advisories have been extended through Thursday night. Improving boating conditions to end the work week and will continue into this weekend, as winds and seas diminish. Lingering seas 4-5ft Friday afternoon will become 2-3ft by Sunday. Increasingly southeasterly winds are forecast at 10-15kts. Daily shower and thunderstorm chances will continue, however.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 143 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

East winds will persist tonight with inland terminals 10-15 KT, and 15-20 KT with gusts around 25 KT at the coastal terminals.
Quickly moving SHRA will continue to push onshore and inland through tonight, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through the overnight. Easterly winds will persist on Wednesday, with speeds 15-20 KT and gusts 25-30 KT. Scattered SHRA will continue to push onshore, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through Wednesday, with LEE-MCO-ISM ending VCSH around 02/03Z Thursday morning. Most models keep CIGs VFR through the TAF period, but occasional MVFR CIGs will still be possible in passing SHRA.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 87 76 87 76 / 40 60 50 50 MCO 88 76 88 75 / 50 40 50 20 MLB 87 77 87 76 / 60 60 60 30 VRB 88 76 87 76 / 60 50 60 30 LEE 90 76 91 76 / 40 30 40 20 SFB 88 75 88 75 / 50 40 50 30 ORL 88 76 88 76 / 50 40 50 30 FPR 87 76 87 75 / 60 50 60 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Surf Advisory until 11 PM EDT Thursday for FLZ141-154-159- 164-347-447-647-747.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ550-552-555- 575.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for AMZ570-572.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
41069 45 mi88 minESE 19G25 81°F 83°F30.0273°F
41070 45 mi76 min 83°F8 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 47 mi48 minE 11G19 77°F 87°F30.00
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 61 mi51 minE 8.9 80°F 30.0669°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi36 minESE 19G25 78°F 81°F30.0175°F


Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSFB ORLANDO SANFORD INTL,FL 6 sm10 minE 0510 smOvercast73°F73°F100%30.02
KORL EXECUTIVE,FL 16 sm43 minE 1210 smMostly Cloudy75°F72°F89%30.01
KDED DELAND MUNISIDNEY H TAYLOR FIELD,FL 20 sm26 minNE 0710 smOvercast75°F72°F89%30.04
KMCO ORLANDO INTL,FL 24 sm43 minENE 0810 smPartly Cloudy75°F73°F94%30.00
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Tide / Current for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub), Tide feet


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Melbourne, FL,




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