Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sanford, FL
May 18, 2024 6:12 PM EDT (22:12 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:30 AM Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 2:59 PM Moonset 2:40 AM |
AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 252 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024
This afternoon - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds and east 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tonight - South winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 3 seconds and east 1 foot at 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 1 foot at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 9 seconds and north 2 feet at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: northeast 4 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
FXUS62 KMLB 182026 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 426 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
Strong to Severe Storms this Afternoon and Evening
Another Round of Strong to Severe Storms Sunday
Temperatures Remain Above Normal Sunday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
Currently-Tonight... Current radar imagery shows scattered strong to severe lightning storms developing across east central Florida which have produced 40-50mph+ winds. Convection is expected to continue to increase in coverage into the late afternoon and evening hours, especially near the coast as the east coast sea breeze pushes slightly inland and sea breeze interactions occur (PoPs ~60-70%). A Marginal Risk for severe storms remains over east central Florida. Isolated storms will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 50 with a 5% risk of gusts up to 60mph, coin- sized hail with a 5% risk of hail up to 1," occasional to frequent lightning strikes, and periods of heavy rainfall. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out (2% risk). Rain chances dwindle into this evening and early overnight before another round of showers and storms are expected to develop into the morning and early afternoon Sunday. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Sunday... Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lighting storms are forecast to re-develop into Sunday morning well ahead of a cold front. A Slight Risk for severe storms exists Sunday over Brevard, Indian River, St. Lucie, Martin, eastern Okeechobee, eastern Osceola, eastern Orange, and southern Volusia counties with a Marginal Risk across the rest of east central Florida. Scattered storms will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 50 with a 5% risk of gusts up to 60mph, coin-sized hail with a 15% risk of hail up to 1," frequent lightning strikes, and periods of heavy rainfall.
The best chance for strong to severe storms is between 8am to 12pm to the north of I-4 with chances increasing to the southeast between 11am to 3pm from I-4 to Melbourne and Lake Kissimmee and from 1pm to 5pm to the south across the Treasure Coast to Okeechobee county.
West to southwest winds 10-15mph with gusts up to 20-25mph are forecast outside of showers and lightning storms. Some of the guidance (HRRR and GFS) indicate that winds may back slightly onshore for a brief time into the afternoon along the Treasure Coast and enhance convection. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s north of a line that stretches from Lake Kissimmee to Melbourne and the upper 80s to low 90s to the south under mostly cloudy skies. Heat index values are forecast to reach the low 100s across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee county.
Monday-Tuesday...Weak front shifts through the area Monday, but some moisture remains in place through early in the week, with PW values still around 1.3-1.5 inches on Monday and Tuesday. A mid to upper level trough axis across the west Atlantic also remains extended across FL, with series of disturbances pushing southward across the area. This should continue to produce isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms, with the inland moving sea breeze boundary each day. Slight onshore component to the low level winds may even allow for a few onshore moving showers into the morning hours. PoPs range from 40-50 percent on Monday and 30-50 percent on Tuesday. Cooler temps aloft, sufficient instability and passing disturbances aloft may continue to allow for isolated strong storms each afternoon.
Highs will be seasonably warm in the 80s across much of the area, and low 90s possible over southern interior sections of east central FL. Overnight lows will range from the mid 60s to low 70s.
Wednesday-Saturday...Trough aloft transitions to a closed low well offshore of the Southeast U.S. and shifts eastward, with mid/upper level ridge building in from the west through mid to late week. This will lead to drier and hotter than normal conditions for the remainder of the work week. Rain chances drop to 20-30 percent south of Orlando on Wednesday and then only around 20 percent, primarily across Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast on Thursday/Friday.
Highs climb from the mid 80s to low 90s on Wednesday to as high as the low to mid 90s into late week. Lows will continue to range around the upper 60s to low 70s each night.
Ridge aloft then breaks down into Saturday with another passing mid level trough. Moisture and rain chances rise just slightly, with PoPs around 20 percent to start the holiday weekend. However, it will remain hot with highs in the low to mid 90s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
TAFs begin with VCTS/TEMPO TSRA through 23Z-02Z with scattered strong to severe lightning storms expected. SE winds at 10-12kts with gusts to 20-22kts are forecast to weaken and veer offshore overnight. Winds will increase from the SW at 10-12kts with gusts up to around 20kts into Sunday afternoon. VCTS/TSRA groups return after 12Z-16Z Sunday with strong to severe storms ahead of a cold front.
MARINE
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
Currently-Sunday... Mostly favorable boating conditions are forecast outside of strong to severe lighting storms. Southeast winds at around 10-15kts are forecast to veer offshore late this evening and into the overnight hours at around 15kts from the southwest. Seas are forecast to build to 1-3ft with up to 4ft offshore (20-60nm)
Brevard and Volusia county Sunday.
Scattered showers and lightning storms are expected this afternoon and push offshore into the evening hours which will be capable of wind gusts up to 50-60mph, coin sized hail, and occasional to frequent lightning strikes. A secondary threat for a brief tornado or waterspout also exists (2% risk). Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lighting storms are forecast to re- develop into Sunday morning and afternoon well ahead of a cold front which will be capable of wind gusts up to 50- 60mph, coin sized hail, and periods of heavy rainfall.
Monday-Thursday...Weak front shifts south of the waters Monday, with N/NW winds around 5-10 knots, veering to the N/NE Monday night into Tuesday. Winds then continue to veer onshore becoming easterly through mid-week, with speeds remaining around 5-10 knots. Seas increase to 3-5 feet into Monday and gradually fall back to 2-4 feet Wednesday and 2-3 feet Thursday.
Isolated to scattered storms will continue to be possible into early this week, with a better potential for gusty offshore moving storms on Monday afternoon. Rain chances then decrease into mid-week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 69 83 / 40 70 30 40 MCO 74 86 71 88 / 30 60 30 40 MLB 73 89 70 87 / 30 70 50 40 VRB 73 91 70 88 / 20 80 50 50 LEE 74 86 71 87 / 40 60 20 40 SFB 73 88 70 87 / 40 60 30 40 ORL 74 88 72 88 / 40 60 30 40 FPR 72 91 70 88 / 20 80 50 50
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ053-058-154-159- 164-254-259-264-547-647-747.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 426 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
Strong to Severe Storms this Afternoon and Evening
Another Round of Strong to Severe Storms Sunday
Temperatures Remain Above Normal Sunday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
Currently-Tonight... Current radar imagery shows scattered strong to severe lightning storms developing across east central Florida which have produced 40-50mph+ winds. Convection is expected to continue to increase in coverage into the late afternoon and evening hours, especially near the coast as the east coast sea breeze pushes slightly inland and sea breeze interactions occur (PoPs ~60-70%). A Marginal Risk for severe storms remains over east central Florida. Isolated storms will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 50 with a 5% risk of gusts up to 60mph, coin- sized hail with a 5% risk of hail up to 1," occasional to frequent lightning strikes, and periods of heavy rainfall. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out (2% risk). Rain chances dwindle into this evening and early overnight before another round of showers and storms are expected to develop into the morning and early afternoon Sunday. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Sunday... Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lighting storms are forecast to re-develop into Sunday morning well ahead of a cold front. A Slight Risk for severe storms exists Sunday over Brevard, Indian River, St. Lucie, Martin, eastern Okeechobee, eastern Osceola, eastern Orange, and southern Volusia counties with a Marginal Risk across the rest of east central Florida. Scattered storms will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 50 with a 5% risk of gusts up to 60mph, coin-sized hail with a 15% risk of hail up to 1," frequent lightning strikes, and periods of heavy rainfall.
The best chance for strong to severe storms is between 8am to 12pm to the north of I-4 with chances increasing to the southeast between 11am to 3pm from I-4 to Melbourne and Lake Kissimmee and from 1pm to 5pm to the south across the Treasure Coast to Okeechobee county.
West to southwest winds 10-15mph with gusts up to 20-25mph are forecast outside of showers and lightning storms. Some of the guidance (HRRR and GFS) indicate that winds may back slightly onshore for a brief time into the afternoon along the Treasure Coast and enhance convection. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s north of a line that stretches from Lake Kissimmee to Melbourne and the upper 80s to low 90s to the south under mostly cloudy skies. Heat index values are forecast to reach the low 100s across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee county.
Monday-Tuesday...Weak front shifts through the area Monday, but some moisture remains in place through early in the week, with PW values still around 1.3-1.5 inches on Monday and Tuesday. A mid to upper level trough axis across the west Atlantic also remains extended across FL, with series of disturbances pushing southward across the area. This should continue to produce isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms, with the inland moving sea breeze boundary each day. Slight onshore component to the low level winds may even allow for a few onshore moving showers into the morning hours. PoPs range from 40-50 percent on Monday and 30-50 percent on Tuesday. Cooler temps aloft, sufficient instability and passing disturbances aloft may continue to allow for isolated strong storms each afternoon.
Highs will be seasonably warm in the 80s across much of the area, and low 90s possible over southern interior sections of east central FL. Overnight lows will range from the mid 60s to low 70s.
Wednesday-Saturday...Trough aloft transitions to a closed low well offshore of the Southeast U.S. and shifts eastward, with mid/upper level ridge building in from the west through mid to late week. This will lead to drier and hotter than normal conditions for the remainder of the work week. Rain chances drop to 20-30 percent south of Orlando on Wednesday and then only around 20 percent, primarily across Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast on Thursday/Friday.
Highs climb from the mid 80s to low 90s on Wednesday to as high as the low to mid 90s into late week. Lows will continue to range around the upper 60s to low 70s each night.
Ridge aloft then breaks down into Saturday with another passing mid level trough. Moisture and rain chances rise just slightly, with PoPs around 20 percent to start the holiday weekend. However, it will remain hot with highs in the low to mid 90s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
TAFs begin with VCTS/TEMPO TSRA through 23Z-02Z with scattered strong to severe lightning storms expected. SE winds at 10-12kts with gusts to 20-22kts are forecast to weaken and veer offshore overnight. Winds will increase from the SW at 10-12kts with gusts up to around 20kts into Sunday afternoon. VCTS/TSRA groups return after 12Z-16Z Sunday with strong to severe storms ahead of a cold front.
MARINE
Issued at 422 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
Currently-Sunday... Mostly favorable boating conditions are forecast outside of strong to severe lighting storms. Southeast winds at around 10-15kts are forecast to veer offshore late this evening and into the overnight hours at around 15kts from the southwest. Seas are forecast to build to 1-3ft with up to 4ft offshore (20-60nm)
Brevard and Volusia county Sunday.
Scattered showers and lightning storms are expected this afternoon and push offshore into the evening hours which will be capable of wind gusts up to 50-60mph, coin sized hail, and occasional to frequent lightning strikes. A secondary threat for a brief tornado or waterspout also exists (2% risk). Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lighting storms are forecast to re- develop into Sunday morning and afternoon well ahead of a cold front which will be capable of wind gusts up to 50- 60mph, coin sized hail, and periods of heavy rainfall.
Monday-Thursday...Weak front shifts south of the waters Monday, with N/NW winds around 5-10 knots, veering to the N/NE Monday night into Tuesday. Winds then continue to veer onshore becoming easterly through mid-week, with speeds remaining around 5-10 knots. Seas increase to 3-5 feet into Monday and gradually fall back to 2-4 feet Wednesday and 2-3 feet Thursday.
Isolated to scattered storms will continue to be possible into early this week, with a better potential for gusty offshore moving storms on Monday afternoon. Rain chances then decrease into mid-week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 69 83 / 40 70 30 40 MCO 74 86 71 88 / 30 60 30 40 MLB 73 89 70 87 / 30 70 50 40 VRB 73 91 70 88 / 20 80 50 50 LEE 74 86 71 87 / 40 60 20 40 SFB 73 88 70 87 / 40 60 30 40 ORL 74 88 72 88 / 40 60 30 40 FPR 72 91 70 88 / 20 80 50 50
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ053-058-154-159- 164-254-259-264-547-647-747.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41070 | 42 mi | 97 min | 79°F | 1 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 48 mi | 54 min | E 6G | 80°F | 85°F | 29.93 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSFB ORLANDO SANFORD INTL,FL | 5 sm | 19 min | NE 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 72°F | 70% | 29.95 | |
| KDED DELAND MUNISIDNEY H TAYLOR FIELD,FL | 17 sm | 17 min | N 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 70°F | 83% | 29.98 | |
| KORL EXECUTIVE,FL | 19 sm | 19 min | NW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 72°F | 66% | 29.95 |
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:38 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:26 AM EDT 2.08 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:01 PM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:03 PM EDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:38 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:26 AM EDT 2.08 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:01 PM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:03 PM EDT 2.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 1.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.5 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 2.1 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1.5 |
| 9 am |
| 1.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:38 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:24 AM EDT 2.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:00 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:03 PM EDT 2.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:38 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:24 AM EDT 2.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:00 PM EDT 0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:03 PM EDT 2.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1.2 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 1.9 |
| 5 am |
| 2.1 |
| 6 am |
| 2.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Melbourne, FL,
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