Sunrise 6:28 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 2:57 PM   Moonset 2:38 AM

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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 926 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 1 foot at 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers late this evening. Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Sunday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Monday - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: north 3 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 3 feet at 9 seconds. A chance of showers. Tuesday - North winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast in the evening, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers. Wednesday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 180607 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 207 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 205 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

VFR expected to continue thru a majority of the TAF with coastal terminals preparing for VCTS/TSRA after 18z-20z. This morning, 08z-12z, VRB may experience MVFR VIS due to BR forming after earlier rains. Winds remain light and at times, variable, becoming SSW after 12z.

The ECSB forms after 17z with winds locally backing to the SSE near coastal sites. Scattered TSRA, some strong and capable of producing IFR conditions, are forecast along the coast. However, lower confidence VCTS is possible as far inland as LEE/MCO/ISM after 18z-20z as well. Activity will dissipate and drift offshore beyond 02z. At MCO, VCSH was included as low-confidence -SHRA ahead of a cold front may approach after 09z Sun.

UPDATE
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

A few lightning storms have developed along the sea breeze collision this evening and are currently making their way towards the coast, where they will drift offshore into late evening. Once this activity moves offshore, dry conditions are forecast through the overnight hours. The main threats with these storms are lightning strikes and heavy downpours.

Some patchy fog will be possible late tonight into early Saturday morning west of a line from Orlando to Lake George. However, models have backed off from any fog overnight, leading to lower confidence. Nonetheless, widespread dense fog is not expected.
Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid-70s.

MARINE
Issued at 310 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Currently-Saturday... Favorable boating conditions are forecast through Saturday as high pressure builds over the state of Florida.
Southeast winds at 8-14kts will veer offshore overnight. Winds will then back south-southeast into the afternoon Saturday at 10-15kts.
Seas are forecast to build to 1-2ft with up to 3ft offshore.
Isolated lighting storms are forecast into this evening which will have the potential to produce gusty winds and cloud to water lighting strikes. Scattered showers and lighting storms are forecast again Saturday afternoon with the potential to produce wind gusts up to 40mph and cloud to water lighting strikes.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 93 72 86 69 / 70 30 60 30 MCO 95 75 86 71 / 40 20 60 30 MLB 91 74 89 70 / 60 40 80 50 VRB 94 73 91 69 / 60 30 80 50 LEE 92 74 85 71 / 40 50 60 20 SFB 95 74 87 70 / 50 30 60 30 ORL 95 75 87 72 / 40 20 60 30 FPR 94 72 91 69 / 60 30 80 50

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ058-154-159-164-254-259-264-547-647-747.

AM...None.

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