Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Quintana, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:23PM Monday June 14, 2021 11:23 PM CDT (04:23 UTC) Moonrise 8:56AMMoonset 11:01PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ355 Expires:202106150845;;269502 Fzus54 Khgx 142023 Cwfhgx Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Houston/galveston Tx 323 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021 Upper Texas Coastal Waters From High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 10 Percent Of The Waves. Gmz350-355-150845- Coastal Waters From Freeport To Matagorda Ship Channel Tx Out 20 Nm-coastal Waters From High Island To Freeport Tx Out 20 Nm- 323 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.
Tuesday..North winds around 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 7 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 7 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 323 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Weak high pressure over the western gulf of mexico will bring light winds and low seas through mid-week. The national hurricane center is Monitoring an area of disturbed weather in the bay of campeche. There is a great deal of uncertainty regarding the evolution and track of this feature and mariners are urged to stay prepared and to keep up with the latest forecasts.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quintana, TX
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location: 28.95, -95.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 142319 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 619 PM CDT Mon Jun 14 2021

AVIATION. There's still some outflows meandering about that could produce a quick pop-up shra/tstm in the next few hours, but anticipate most remaining activity will be on a continued downward trend with the loss of heating. Expect VFR conditions overnight and thru the day Tue. Exception will be in/near any sct afternoon & evening tstms that develop. 47

PREV DISCUSSION. /ISSUED 255 PM CDT Mon Jun 14 2021/

SHORT TERM [Today Through Tuesday Night] . To put it simply . it's hot out there y'all. Temperatures this afternoon have reached the mid 90s and when you factor in the humidity, it feels like the low-to-mid 100s across Southeast Texas. If you have plans on being outdoors, please take the proper precautions. Take breaks, drink plenty of water, wear lightweight and light-colored clothing, and look before you lock your vehicle. Children and pets should not be locked inside of vehicles and left unattended under any circumstances. Tomorrow will be slightly cooler, and I use the term "cooler" VERY loosely. Temperatures on Tuesday afternoon will only be a degree or two lower than today, so please continue to practice heat safety throughout the week.

Now let's cool down a bit and talk about rain. Visible satellite and radar reflectivity shows a boundary just west of the I-45 corridor that has already had a few showers and thunderstorms develop off of it. As a result, kept the highest PoPs across the western portion of the CWA and drift them westward as we head towards the evening/overnight hours. With surface dry air in place, a couple of these storms could be accompanied with gusty winds. Thunderstorms are expected to be a bit more widespread on Tuesday as we have a speed max moving in from the north as it wraps around an upper-level ridge. GFS and ECMWF also show a small lobe of vorticity drifting down from the north on Tuesday afternoon, which would provide suitable PVA. As a result, PoPs cover a greater area on Tuesday. With the thunderstorms today and tomorrow being diurnally driven, PoPs drop off rather quickly going into the overnight hours. Those that do receive rainfall will effectively win the weather lottery and receive the grand prize of a temporary relief from the hot temperatures.

Batiste

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Monday] . An upper level ridge of high pressure will continue to build over the Four Corners region on Wednesday remaining there through the rest of the week. The shortwave rounding the eastern edge of this high pressure that moved through late Tuesday will have progressed south into Southern Texas by Wednesday morning. Still, with PWATs around 1.5 to 1.7 inches combined with daytime heating will lead to a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms forming along the seabreeze Wednesday afternoon. Thursday will be almost identical to Wednesday with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. The real forecast concern Wednesday and Thursday will be the abnormally high temperatures. Expected high temperatures these days will be in the mid to upper 90s (and approaching triple digits in spots) continuing the stretch of dangerous heat that our region has been in for the past few days. Heat indicies Wednesday afternoon could approach 110 or above in spots, while slightly drier air on Thursday may keep heat indicies a few degrees cooler (though still firmly above 100 degrees). Please take precautions for the heat by staying hydrated, taking frequent breaks in the shade if you must be outside, and do not leave people or pets in parked cars. Heat related fatalities are avoidable if you take these precautions.

By Friday, our attention moves to the tropics. There is currently a broad area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche which has potential for tropical development in the next few days. This system will meander around for the next few days before moving northwards into the Central Gulf by Friday. While sea surface temperatures will be favorable for tropical development, upper level shear will be fairly high across the northern Gulf by the end of this week. So, expect tropical development to be slow, if it occurs at all. As of right now, the system (whether it is tropical or not) is expected to approach the Lousiana coastline late Friday into Saturday afternoon keeping the bulk of the moisture associated with it to east of Southeast Texas. It is too early to talk about local impacts with any high certainty, but the one impact we do have a bit of higher certainty with is the increasing threat of rip currents starting as early as Thursday. So, if you are planning on going down to the beach to escape the heat, please pay attention to the beach conditions for the day and to swim near a lifeguard. There is still uncertainty on where, when, and even if a system will form, so continue to monitor the forecast in the coming days.

Increasing cloud cover over the weekend will help to keep daytime temperatures slightly cooler with highs in the low 90s (still hot, just not as oppressively hot). Although, don't expect much reprieve from the heat overnight as the cloud cover helps trap in the heat preventing the area from dipping down below the upper 70s. Skies will begin to clear towards the start of next week meaning a return to the high heat and humidity.

Fowler

MARINE . Low seas and variable, diurnally driven winds are expected to continue through Wednesday as weak high pressure builds over the western Gulf. There is a chance of isolated afternoon thunderstorms today through Wednesday producing locally higher winds. By the end of the week, a low pressure is expected to develop in the Bay of Campeche and move north towards the Central Gulf. This initially brings a ENE wind Thursday into Friday across the area, building seas to 3 to 6 feet, and increasing the rip current threat. This system will move through the northwestern Gulf Friday into Saturday increasing rain chances, offshore winds, and seas. This system departs to the northeast by Sunday. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring this system for possible tropical development in the next two to five days. Mariners are urged to stay prepared and remain alert for changing conditions and to keep up with the latest forecast.

Fowler

TROPICAL . The tropical outlook looks more like something you would see in late July rather than mid June today. The NHC is monitoring two areas for tropical develop across the Atlantic and a newly formed tropical depression off the coast of North Carolina. This depression off of North Carolina is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Bill later tonight while it quickly moves to the northeast. No impacts are expected to land from this system. One of the areas that the NHC is monitoring is a strong African Easterly Wave in the far east Atlantic. There is a low chance of formation for this system (10% in two days, 20% in five days) due to dry air and strong wind shear.

A broad area of low pressure located in the Bay of Campeche is also being monitored by the NHC for tropical development in the coming days. There is a low chance (20%) of development in the next two days, but a high chance (70%) in the next five days. The low pressure system, whether it strengthens to a tropical depression or not, is expected to move northwards into west-central Gulf by the end of the week. More details can be found in the long term discussion above. Continue to stay up to date with the latest forecasts from our office and the National Hurricane Center.

Fowler

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. College Station (CLL) 76 95 73 96 74 / 10 20 10 10 10 Houston (IAH) 77 95 75 96 75 / 10 30 20 30 10 Galveston (GLS) 81 92 79 89 81 / 10 20 20 20 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. TX . NONE. GM . NONE.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FPST2 1 mi54 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 84°F 83°F1012.7 hPa
LUIT2 13 mi54 min Calm G 1 85°F 88°F1013.3 hPa
SGNT2 20 mi54 min N 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 88°F1013.3 hPa
GRRT2 33 mi54 min S 4.1 G 5.1 85°F 90°F1013.5 hPa
EMAT2 36 mi54 min NNE 4.1 G 6 77°F 87°F1013 hPa
GTOT2 37 mi54 min SE 4.1 G 5.1 85°F 82°F1013.6 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 42 mi54 min SE 5.1 G 7 86°F 89°F1013.4 hPa
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 42 mi54 min SSE 6 G 7 86°F 87°F1012.8 hPa
KBQX 47 mi29 min 2.9 86°F 77°F

Wind History for USCG Freeport, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Angleton / Lake Jackson, Brazoria County Airport, TX14 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair78°F74°F87%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLBX

Wind History from LBX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3W3W4NW65N6N5NE7N4SW5W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW5NW4Calm433S5S13S10SW8SW5S4SW4SW5
2 days agoS5S3S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmW334SE7S9S7S9S9S9S11S8S6SW3SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Freeport Harbor, Texas
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Freeport Harbor
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Tue -- 12:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:39 AM CDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:22 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM CDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:55 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.60.91.21.51.61.71.61.51.41.41.31.31.21.110.80.60.40.1

Tide / Current Tables for Christmas Bay, Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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