Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
West DeLand, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:46PM Friday April 3, 2020 7:40 PM EDT (23:40 UTC) Moonrise 2:01PMMoonset 3:10AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 325 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 15 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 15 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 325 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
Synopsis..Deep low pressure offshore new england today will drift southeast over the open western atlantic ocean this weekend. Large, long period swells generated by this distant low pressure will propagate into the local atlantic waters through this weekend and into early next week. This will produce hazardous conditions for small craft near inlets during the outgoing tide. High pressure will move off the carolina coast this weekend then east over the atlantic and produce veering winds out of the south by Tuesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, april 2nd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West DeLand, FL
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location: 28.99, -81.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 031947 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 347 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

DISCUSSION. Tonight-Sat . A deep low pressure system was located off the coast of northeast U.S. this afternoon. Locally, the FL peninsula sits under a very weak pressure pattern, which is keeping light winds and mostly clear skies. These light and variable winds will continue tonight after the sea breezes meet across the peninsula and land starts to cool down again. Temperatures will drop to the mid 50s with the exception of Orlando metro and coastal areas where lows will stay at around lower 60s.

On Sat, another day of mostly clear skies and light winds in the morning. In the afternoon, both coasts will see the development of sea breezes, which will increase winds to around 10 mph along the coast and dying out as it gets inland. Highs will be regulated thanks to the sea breeze, with highs tapping to the lower 80s while the interior will increase to the mid 80s and no rain chances. Due to long period swells increasing through the day, there will be a high risk for rip currents for the east central FL beaches.

Sun . Models show a mid-level shortwave shifting eastward across Florida into Sunday. At the same time a weak inverted surface trough developing across the area will increase the gradient between this feature and high pressure extending along the Mid-Atlantic coast, enhancing onshore flow and increasing low level moisture across the region. The more unsettled pattern aloft combined with this moisture return, has led to a rise in rain chances for Sunday. Current PoPs are more in line with the ECMWF MOS, around 30-40 percent, and still lower than GFS MOS that is currently up to 50-60 percent. However, potential for shower development, especially into Sunday afternoon, certainly looks better than previous model runs. Overall, instability and lapse rates still look rather unimpressive for any storm formation, so will keep mention out of the forecast for now.

Mostly cloudy skies from overspreading mid-level cloud cover and greater rain chances will lead to a brief interruption in the warming trend. Highs will be lower than Saturday, ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s into Sunday afternoon.

Mon-Thu . (Modified Previous Discussion) Mid level high pressure ridge will rebuild over the Gulf of Mexico as a cut-off low drops south across CA then turns east over the intermountain West mid week. But NW flow aloft over FL will allow continued ripples of vorticity and weak shortwave troughs to cross the area. This more unsettled pattern looks to continue the potential for isolated to scattered showers each afternoon, with both the GFS and ECMWF keeping rain chances in the forecast through mid-week. Have added 20- 30 percent PoPs for Monday, and then kept rain chances no higher than 20 percent Tue-Thu. However, some additional adjustments as models come into better agreement will likely be necessary. In the low levels, southeast to south flow early in the week will turn offshore (westerly) midweek which typically portends increased temps esp along the east coast. Max temps Mon in the low to mid 80s warming to the lower 90s Wed-Thu.

AVIATION. VFR conditions prevailing with light winds.

MARINE. Tonight-Sat . Light winds will prevail tonight and Saturday as weak pressure remains over the local waters. With daytime heating on Sat, the sea breeze will develop and winds over the nearshore waters will pick up to 10 kt from the southeast. Seas will continue to subside tonight but its period will increase on Sat from the northeast to 14- 15 seconds, creating hazardous conditions for boaters transiting in and out of piers and inlets.

Sun-Tue . Long period swells from a distant low pressure system will increase across the waters into Sun-Mon with seas reaching up to 7 to 8 ft. This will produce hazardous conditions near inlets especially during the outgoing tide. Seas should subside below 7 ft into Tue afternoon. Winds will increase out of the E/SE up to 10-15 knots Sun-Mon, and then turn south Tue as high pressure moves east away from FL.

FIRE WEATHER. Dry conditions on Saturday will lead to another fire sensitive day, especially west of I-95 where minimum RH values between 30-40 percent are expected. Light winds on Saturday will become southeast as the sea breeze develops in the late morning and afternoon but it should remain below 13 mph near the coast.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 58 81 64 78 / 0 0 10 30 MCO 59 86 65 81 / 0 10 10 40 MLB 63 80 65 78 / 0 10 10 40 VRB 61 82 63 80 / 0 10 10 40 LEE 60 86 64 80 / 0 0 10 30 SFB 58 86 63 80 / 0 0 10 40 ORL 61 87 66 80 / 0 10 10 40 FPR 61 82 63 80 / 0 10 10 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Negron/Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi115 min E 5.1 70°F 1016 hPa55°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 56 mi52 min NE 5.1 G 8 71°F 77°F1015.3 hPa
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 60 mi40 min SE 6 G 7 67°F 70°F1014.8 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL16 mi47 minESE 1110.00 miFair74°F55°F52%1014.1 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL21 mi47 minE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F55°F63%1014.5 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL22 mi53 minENE 710.00 miFair68°F53°F60%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFB

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----E4NE3CalmCalmCalmW3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4N34Calm4NE6NE43S6E12E11
1 day agoNE7E4NE4NE4N4N3CalmW3NW4W3N4NW3W4N6N5NW3CalmN4Calm5--3----
2 days agoSW15
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Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (3)
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:19 AM EDT     6.28 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:38 AM EDT     2.58 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:49 PM EDT     5.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:44 PM EDT     2.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.54.45.25.96.36.25.74.943.22.72.62.93.54.34.95.45.65.34.63.72.92.32.2

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (4)
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:11 AM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:42 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:45 PM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:59 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.42.43.23.84.143.52.71.810.50.40.81.62.43.13.63.73.42.81.910.30.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.