Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Smyrna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 8:01PM Monday August 19, 2019 4:44 PM EDT (20:44 UTC) Moonrise 9:38PMMoonset 9:19AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 325 Pm Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 325 Pm Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge axis will lift into north florida tonight, as an inverted trough moves northwest from the bahamas and across east central florida and the adjacent atlantic late tonight through tomorrow. Storm coverage will increase across the area tonight and Tuesday as the inverted trough approaches and moves across the local waters. The ridge axis is forecast to then remain near or north cape canaveral through late week, resulting in a light but steady southeasterly breeze.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday august 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 26 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Smyrna Beach, FL
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location: 29.02, -80.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 191917
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
317 pm edt Mon aug 19 2019

Discussion
Currently... East coast sea breeze will continue to shift westward
with isolated to scattered showers and storms developing, mainly
over the interior through late afternoon early evening. Showers
and isolated storms over the waters should continue to weaken as
they near the coast due to subsidence behind the sea breeze.

However, a few may be able to still push onshore into late
afternoon.

Tonight-Tuesday... Inverted trough over the bahamas will continue
to shift westward and eventually through the area tomorrow, with
pw values increasing up to 1.9-2.0 inches. This increase in
moisture combined with a slight strengthening in the east to
southeasterly flow with this feature will lead to greater rain
chances through the period. Isolated to scattered showers are
expected to move onshore along the coast tonight and even a few
thunderstorms reaching the coast will be possible, especially
south of the cape. Rain chances rise to 40-50 percent Tuesday as
daytime heating and a diffuse inland moving east coast sea breeze
initiates additional scattered showers and storms across the area.

Highs will range from the upper 80s along the coast to low 90s
over the interior.

Wed... As inverted trough weakens and shifts farther west of the
region, subtropical ridge builds back west with ridge axis north
of the area. This will continue an onshore flow that will allow
the east coast sea breeze to move well inland through the
afternoon. Sufficient moisture will remain in place for scattered
showers and storms developing along and ahead of this boundary,
moving slowly west-northwestward through late day. Rain chances
will generally be around 40 percent across much of the area.

Thu-sun... (previous discussion) subtropical ridge axis fcst to
remain over the north half of the fl peninsula, albeit in a
weakened state as a broad troffing pattern sets up east of the ms
river valley. Serly flow pattern will continue to favor the west
peninsula with sea breeze convergence and mesoscale boundary
collisions, leading to a coastal interior split for precip
chances. Pops generally blo 50pct Thu Fri as low lvl moisture
values remain on the low side. Next easterly wave fcst to approach
the fl peninsula late in the week, leading to an uptick in pops
sat sun. Temps near avg for mid late aug.

Aviation Deepening, but light, onshore flow across the area will
push occasional light showers onto the coast. This, as the ridge
axis lifts northward. Otherwise moisture, heating, and a few
boundary collisions will be responsible for convection inland from
the coast as activity moves west or northwest at 5 to 10 mph.

Activity should favor wcntrl fl by late afternoon early evening,
though this evening overnight we may still see some onshore moving
showers or an isolated storm near coastal TAF sites. Continue to use
"vicinity" wording for tafs and will employ tempo groups for MVFR
restrictions, as necessary. Cannot rule out some isolated wind gusts
in showers storms of 25 to 35 kts.

Marine
Tonight... Inverted trough moves westward from the bahamas and into
the waters late tonight. This will lead to a gradual increase in
showers and storms over the waters tonight as moisture continues
to increase with this feature. Winds will be out of the southeast
around 10 knots with seas 2-3 feet.

Tue-fri... Persistent serly flow thru the week as the bermuda
ridge axis repositions itself over N fl. An easterly wave will
push from the bahamas into the ERN gomex on tue, tightening the
low lvl pgrad to generate a gentle to moderate SE breeze. Pgrad
slackens thereafter, generating a light to gentle SE breeze thru
the remainder of the week. Seas AOB 2ft nearshore and 2-3ft
offshore. Chc of shras tsras thru the pd.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 89 75 90 20 30 20 30
mco 76 92 75 92 20 50 30 40
mlb 78 88 77 89 20 40 20 40
vrb 76 89 75 89 30 40 20 40
lee 76 92 76 93 30 50 30 40
sfb 76 92 75 93 20 40 30 40
orl 76 92 76 92 20 50 30 40
fpr 76 89 75 89 30 40 20 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short long term... Weitlich
impact wx radar... .Glitto
aviation... Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 45 mi57 min ENE 8 G 9.9 86°F 81°F1019.9 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi120 min ESE 6 87°F 1020 hPa87°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi45 min 81°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 52 mi45 min ESE 5.8 G 9.7 85°F 86°F1018.3 hPa (-1.4)74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL4 mi58 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F75°F70%1019 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL14 mi52 minSSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F75°F70%1018.3 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL22 mi1.9 hrsS 510.00 miThunderstorm86°F73°F66%1019 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL24 mi52 minE 910.00 miFair89°F72°F57%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEVB

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE10SE6SE6S7
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SW4----------------CalmCalmCalmCalmE6SE8E8E9SE6S8
1 day agoW8W8SW4SE5S5S8----------------S5SW5SW4W6SW6W7SW7SW7E8E8
2 days agoSW12
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W10W10SW5S7----------------SW7SW7W8SW8SW8SW10W10W12W12W10

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:38 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:30 AM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:54 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:45 PM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.42.11.61.10.60.30.30.511.62.12.32.42.11.71.20.80.50.40.50.91.522.3

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:06 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:14 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:17 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:25 PM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.732.11.20.50.30.511.82.73.43.73.63.12.31.50.80.50.61.11.82.63.43.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.