Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oyster Creek, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

We will likely continue to see a rather active weather pattern for the next several days as Southeast TX remains wedged between two high pressure systems, one situated over SW CONUS and another one situated over the eastern Gulf, allowing for weaknesses to pass overhead and a mid-upper level trough to scoot into northeast TX at times. During the next few days, it will generally be a "rinse and repeat" scenario with passing showers possible over the waters and coastal locations during the early to mid morning hours, followed by stronger and more extensive development of showers and thunderstorms further inland during the mid morning to late afternoon hours as diurnal heating and instability increases. There might be slightly less rain chances on Friday as drier air moves into the region, but will be short lived as chances rise again on Saturday.

Over the past couple of days, our heavy showers have been efficient rain makers with rainfall rate between 2 to 3 inches per hour at times. Given how PWs will stay mostly between 1.8 to 2.1 inches through the upcoming weekend, expect periods of heavy rainfall with similar rainfall rates to continue. This could lead to ponding of water along roadways and minor flooding in low lying and poor drainage areas. Heavy downpours may occur during the afternoon commute, thus, make sure to check the radar and traffic conditions before you depart to your destination. Remember, never cross flooded roads. In addition, if you plan to spend time or work outdoors or visit our local beaches, be mindful of lightning given that it can strike many miles away from the storm. When thunder roars, head indoors.

In response to the rains and cloud coverage, our high temperatures for the next several days will remain fairly seasonable. Expect highs to be mainly in the lower 90s for much of Southeast TX, along with heat indices in the lower 100s. Slightly higher heat indices could occur for those who are not in or around any of the rainfall, and although the heat indices are expected to stay below the Heat Advisory criteria, it may still result in elevated heat conditions for some. As for our low temperatures, expect them to be between the mid to upper 70s inland and the upper 70s to lower 80s for the coastal locations.

Cotto

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Most of the thunderstorms have come to an end for today (still got some lingering TS over Galveston Bay) with some light showers persisting through the next few hours possible for areas south of I-10. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through tonight with light southerly winds (becoming calm at times). There will be additional afternoon showers and thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon, and coverage has been fairly persistent the past few days already so have gone ahead and upgraded the PROB30s to TEMPOs for IAH, HOU, SGR, and LBX. Showers and thunderstorms will also be possible at the other terminals. Other than gusty, variable winds near thunderstorms, winds tomorrow will continue to be southerly around 6-10kt.

Fowler

MARINE
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Light to occasionally moderate onshore winds and 2 to 4 foot seas will prevail for much of the forecast period. Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected daily, with the strongest activity occuring generally during the morning to early afternoon hours, although a strong storm or two cannot be discarded later during the day. Stronger storms could lead to periods of strong gusty winds and outflow boundaries as well as elevated seas.

Persistent onshore flow will result in a moderate risk of rip currents along the Gulf facing beaches, although strong rip currents could still develop at times.

Cotto

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 73 90 73 92 / 30 50 20 20 Houston (IAH) 74 90 75 93 / 20 60 20 40 Galveston (GLS) 78 91 82 91 / 30 50 20 40

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.