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Marine Weather and Tides Port Orange, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:54AM

Sunset 5:27PM

Wednesday November 25, 2020 6:33 AM EST (11:33 UTC)

Moonrise 3:01PM

Moonset 2:39AM

Illumination 77%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orange, FL

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Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 251006 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 506 AM EST Wed Nov 25 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Warm and Mostly Dry on Thanksgiving Day . . Strong Cold Front Forecast to Sweep Through on Monday .

Today-Tonight . High pressure over the Northeast will be ushered eastward into the Atlantic today, as a mid-upper level low crosses through the interior Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. Locally, remaining mostly dry, with forecast soundings maintaining the stout subsidence inversion above 850mb. A few isolated sprinkles will be possible along the coast from Brevard northward through sunrise this morning, then chances (~15%) shift offshore through late morning, as marine stratocu continues to stream onshore. SE winds today on the periphery of the aforementioned high pressure. The pressure gradient will be weaker than previous days, with speeds around 10-15mph along the coast and 10mph or less inland. A warming trend will begin today, with highs increasing into the low 80s. Overall, temperatures around 5 degrees above average this afternoon. Overnight lows in the low to mid 60s.

Rough surf and a Moderate risk of rip currents is expected at area beaches again today. Large waves can knock you down and make you more susceptible to being caught in a rip current. Always swim near a lifeguard.

Thu-Fri . Low level ridge axis will extend SW across the FL peninsula resulting in warm temperatures, low rain chances and lighter winds. There may be enough onshore flow to bring a few light showers across the coast on Thanksgiving mainly south of Sebastian Inlet. Highs will reach the low 80s along the coast both days with mid 80s over the interior. Record highs look to be a bit out of reach except at LEE where max temps should approach the records of 85F and 84F, respectively. Mild low temps will continue with lower 60s interior and mid to upper 60s coast.

Sat-Sun . A weak front is forecast to settle south and stall across central FL on Sat which will bring an increase in cloudiness esp across the north half of the FA but rain chances look too low to mention. On Sun, convergence along the front will increase as low pressure develops over the lower MS valley. This should produce isolated to scattered showers across the north on Sunday as the boundary retreats back northward as a warm front.

Model guidance has come into better agreement showing a cut-off upper low over the SW US pushing eastward this weekend then phasing with the northern stream over the eastern US, resulting in a large cut-off upper low over the TN/OH valleys early next week. In the low levels, a sfc low will develop along the central/western Gulf coast Sunday and lift quickly NE toward the eastern Great Lakes while deepening rapidly. A strong cold front is forecast to push across the area on Monday preceded by a band of showers/storms. Wind fields suggest a threat for strong to isolated severe storms as the convection pushes rapidly across the area. There are some timing differences with the ECMWF now being slightly faster (after midnight Sunday) and the slower GFS on Monday. Have increased PoPs and added thunder to northern sections late Sunday night but maintain highest PoPs for Monday at 50 percent.

Both models show strong cold advection behind the front Monday night and Tuesday. The ECMWF may be too cold as air parcel trajectories will be off the Gulf of Mexico which should allow some airmass modification. Nonetheless, much cooler air will overspread the area with low temps Tue in the 50s, except 40s north of Orlando.

AVIATION. VFR conditions prevailing through the TAF period. SE winds today, as high pressure over the Northeast pushes into the Atlantic. Winds around 10kts or less across the interior and up to 12kts along the coast. A few isolated sprinkles will be possible along the coast before sunrise this morning from KTIX-KDAB; however, confidence is too low to include in the TAF. Otherwise, expected to remain dry, with SCT050 stratocu streaming onshore. Winds becoming light after sunset.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Southeast winds today, as high pressure over the Northeast ventures eastward into the Atlantic ahead of a low pressure system pushing into the Ohio Valley. The pressure gradient will be relaxed compared to the last several days, with winds around 15kts. Seas 4-6ft nearshore, while the offshore zones will carry 6- 7ft seas through mid morning. Then, seas are expected to diminish into the afternoon. The Small Craft Advisory has been extended for the Atlantic waters past 20nm until 10AM this morning, as buoy observations indicate seas remaining up to 7ft as of 4AM. Small craft should exercise caution in the nearshore waters. Isolated sprinkles possible this morning over the Atlantic, as marine stratocu continues to push onshore.

Thu-Sun . High pressure ridge axis will extend from the western Atlc SW across north FL Thu-Fri resulting in lighter east to southeast wind flow of 5-10 knots, except around 10 knots over the southern waters. A weak front will drop south and stall across central FL and the adjacent Atlc on Sat before retreating back northward as a warm front on Sunday. A period of north winds is expected Sat behind the front but speeds will be no more than 10 knots. On Sun, winds will veer out of the SE and increase 10-15 knots. Seas 3-4 feet nearshore and 5 ft offshore Thu, dropping below 5 feet Fri with 2-4 ft Sat-Sun.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 80 63 82 63 / 10 0 10 10 MCO 81 63 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 80 66 81 66 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 81 66 82 67 / 10 10 10 10 LEE 82 63 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 81 63 83 63 / 10 0 0 0 ORL 82 65 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 80 65 81 66 / 0 10 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM . Leahy LONG TERM . Kelly AVIATION . Leahy

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL	39 mi	108 min	S 1.9	71°F			1024 hPa	59°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL	53 mi	33 min	SSE 9.9 G 12	71°F	70°F		1023.6 hPa (-0.0)	63°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL	53 mi	45 min	NNE 1 G 1	69°F	73°F		1023.4 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL

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NW3

NE5

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N4 G7

NE8 G11

NE11

NE9 G13

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NE8 G12

NE7 G11

NE9 G13

NE9 G12

NE7 G10

E8 G11

NE8 G11

NE15 G19

E13 G17

E11 G16

E10 G15

E14 G18

E9 G14

E8 G13

S4 G7

S8

1 day ago

NW8 G11

NW8 G13

NW8 G11

NW10 G13

NW7 G12

NW12 G18

N14 G20

N13 G20

N16 G21

N14 G21

N13 G20

N8 G14

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N6 G9

N8

N7 G11

N5 G10

N5 G8

NW4 G8

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NW6 G10

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N1

NW4 G7

2 days ago

SE3

SW5 G9

W5

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NW5 G8

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NW9 G13

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NW9 G12

NW9 G12

NW9

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL	5 mi	40 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	68°F	61°F	78%	1023.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDAB

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)

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NW3

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NE11

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E9

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E5

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NE3

E3

E7

E8

E7 G16

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E9 G17

3

E6

Calm

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1 day ago

NW4

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N14 G22

N15 G20

N18

N13

N12 G19

N14

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2 days ago

NE6

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NW4

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NW7

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Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (4)

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Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL

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