Saturday, June12, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Orange, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 8:24PM Saturday June 12, 2021 11:01 AM EDT (15:01 UTC) Moonrise 7:03AMMoonset 9:34PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1024 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
This afternoon..Southwest winds 10 knots becoming south. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1024 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge axis will remain south of central florida through early next week. Moderate southwest winds will become southerly each afternoon through the weekend as the east coast sea breeze forms but remains pinned near the coast. Seas will remain generally favorable for small craft operation through this weekend, however the threat for strong offshore-moving lightning storms will increase.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, june 11th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orange, FL
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location: 29.13, -80.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 120849 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 451 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

DISCUSSION.

Currently-Tonight . Current radar imagery shows showers off the Atlantic coast of Florida, mainly across the far offshore waters of east central Florida. Goes-16 satellite imagery shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies across the region. The 00Z XMR sounding indicated an unstable airmass with over 4,000 J/kg of surface based CAPE, 35kts of bulk shear, and PW value of 1.79in. However, lapse rates are weak and there's not a lot of moisture to work with through the column. Analysis charts show an upper-level trough digging into southeastern CONUS, in addition to a ridge south of Florida and another ridge located over the western Atlantic.

As we head into the afternoon hours, showers and storms are expected to develop as the trough upstream deepens with the ridge over the region continuing to slightly weaken. Showers and storms will mostly be diurnally driven with local sea breeze collisions also aiding in the development of precipitation this afternoon. Some storms have the potential to be on the stronger side with moderate to high CAPE values forecast and weak to moderate bulk shear. Lapse rates are forecast to remain weak and moisture in the low levels of the atmosphere is expected to be limited as indicated on forecast skew- ts which should keep the potential for any strong storms to develop low. Showers and storms will diminish and push offshore into the late evening and early morning hours as we temporarily dry out through the overnight hours. Highs will reach the low-to-mid 90s with lows in the low-to-mid 70s.

Sun-Mon . Weak troughing aloft over the southeast U.S. will slowly push south across the FL peninsula during this period. This will gradually allow for deeper moisture to overspread most of east central FL, but it will be a gradual process, especially south of Orlando. Increased moisture, surface heating, boundary collisions, and energy aloft should permit for higher PoPs (near seasonal) in the 50-60pct range thru the afternoon/early evening. A moderate steering flow aloft will aid in keeping the majority of showers and storms on the eastern side of the peninsula late day. Activity should taper off thru late evening with some additional convection over the local coastal waters overnight. Highs in the L-M90s on Sun and U80s to L90s on Mon. Overnight lows generally in the 70s with conditions humid.

Tue-Sat . The aforementioned weak upper troughing slips into the southern peninsula on Tue and Wed. The surface ridge axis over the FL Straits early in the period will advance northward into the central peninsula thru mid-week. The National Hurricane Center is watching a trough of low pressure that is forecast to develop over the Bay of Campech in the SW GOMEX. This feature could have tropical implications and is expected to drift slowly northward thru late week, but differences in medium range models exist in placement and timing this far out. We may see one more day of higher PoPs (50- 60pct) on Tue, then due to uncertainty in the later periods (perhaps drier air) will keep scattered showers and lightning storms in the forecast until things become a bit clearer. Mainly afternoon and evening activity will be the result of local sea breeze interactions and diurnal effects. Highs will be in the U80s to L90s with lows in the L-M70s.

AVIATION. VFR conditions outside of any showers or storms that develop will continue through the TAF period. Isolated-to-scattered showers and storms are expected to develop this afternoon before diminishing as we head into the late evening. Winds will be breezy from the southwest during the afternoon and lighten overnight.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Moderate southwesterly flow will continue today with winds of 10-18kts. Seas will remain near 1-3 ft with up to 4ft possible across Volusia County's far offshore waters. The primary marine concern will likely be an increasing risk for strong offshore moving thunderstorms during the late afternoon hours and persisting into the early morning.

Sun-Wed . Weak troughing over the region will keep an offshore steering flow for afternoon/evening lightning storms (some strong) across ECFL. Mariners should keep an eye to the sky westward and seek safe harbor ahead of approaching storms. There will remain a 10- 15 kt SW/W component of wind into mid-week, but occasional 15-20 kt winds for a short time may be possible late afternoon/evening on a couple of days. Seas generally 1-3 ft, but could approach 4 ft well offshore Cape northward from time to time. Winds and seas locally higher invof storms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 93 74 91 72 / 30 30 60 40 MCO 96 74 93 75 / 30 20 60 40 MLB 92 74 93 75 / 40 30 60 40 VRB 92 74 93 72 / 40 30 60 40 LEE 93 76 89 75 / 20 20 60 40 SFB 95 76 92 75 / 30 20 60 40 ORL 96 76 93 77 / 30 20 60 40 FPR 92 72 93 72 / 40 30 60 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM . Fehling LONG TERM . Sedlock AVIATION . Fehling


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 39 mi76 min W 5.1 83°F 1014 hPa74°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 53 mi61 min W 9.9 G 14 83°F 80°F1012.8 hPa (+0.5)74°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 53 mi43 min SW 7 G 8.9 82°F 82°F1014.6 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL5 mi68 minW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds85°F71°F63%1013.2 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL5 mi74 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1012.9 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL14 mi71 minW 710.00 miA Few Clouds82°F72°F70%1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDAB

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW434E7E9E8E8SE84CalmS6S3S6S7S8S5S4S3S4S5S5SW6W6NW3
2 days ago3E11E10E9E11E94SE73SE44S3S4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmS3S7S8S5

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (4)
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:09 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:57 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:26 PM EDT     4.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.72.81.91.20.91.11.72.43.13.73.93.83.22.41.610.81.11.92.83.64.34.74.6

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:35 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:08 AM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:51 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.61.10.70.50.50.71.11.622.22.11.81.30.80.40.10.10.30.81.41.92.32.4

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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