Wednesday, May27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Orange, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday May 27, 2020 3:03 AM EDT (07:03 UTC) Moonrise 9:41AMMoonset 11:51PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1032 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1032 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Synopsis..A weak area of low pressure offshore northeast florida will move north to northeast away from the local waters tonight. Poor marine conditions this evening will improve from late tonight through mid week. As the low lifts well northeast away from florida, the atlantic ridge will rebuild over the southeast u.s. Coast from mid to late week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 6 ft north of cape canaveral. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, may 24th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 35 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orange, FL
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location: 29.13, -80.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 270213 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1010 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

UPDATE.

Cluster of showers/few TS which redeveloped along the western flank of the remnant surface trough over the interior moved east and is now over, and moving offshore Brevard County. This convection will push offshore and across the Atlantic this evening, thus expect to be able to remove POPs over land with the late evening update.

AVIATION. VFR, aside from the convection around KMLB. Lingering precip will be outside of the KMLB aerodrome vicinity by 03Z, and expect to be able to clean up any mention of VCSH/SHRA by then.

MARINE. Late evening buoy data still indicates seas of 5-6ft well offshore north of Cape Canaveral, so will maintain the Cautionary Statement into the overnight. Winds/seas will continue to improve into Wednesday as a more well-defined offshore flow develops.

Cristaldi/Weitlich

Prev Discussion. /issued 344 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020/

Wednesday . Weak low pressure/trough will continue to lift north leaving the low-level ridge axis extending across south Florida. SSW/SW low-level flow will delay the onset of the east coast seabreeze until early afternoon but will be weak enough to allow it to progress fairly far inland to eventually collide with the west coast breeze across the interior. Sufficient moisture will allow scattered showers and storms to develop along both sea breezes during the afternoon with increasing coverage near the favored collision area by late afternoon into early evening (near Kissimmee to Orlando to Sanford). Westerly steering flow will allow some showers and storms to push back toward the coast late in the day. Have 40-50% PoPs drawn across most of east central Florida except 60% east of I-4 extending into Brevard county. Some dry air aloft will make the main storm hazard strong wind gusts of 40-50 mph along with frequent lightning and torrential downpours.

High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to low 90s.

Thursday . Ridge axis lifts northward putting the area in a light southerly flow. Sea breezes will be quicker to form and move inland as a result with collision farther across the interior toward late afternoon and early evening. Dry air aloft will again provide potential for strong wind gusts in the more robust convection, and weak steering flow will also allow more of an opportunity for heavy rain potential. Highest PoPs (60%) are drawn west of Orlando with more boundary interactions and then tapering back toward 40% toward the east coast.

High temperatures will reach the mid 80s along coast and low 90s inland.

Late Week(previous) . The cutoff is shown opening up as a wave and drawing away to the east late Fri. A Sfc ridge is advertised to build from the Wrn Atlc basin and across the peninsula, bringing lighter winds and a focus inland for a little more development of afternoon storms. Expect sct to numerous slow moving storms Fri, with slightly higher coverage inland due to expected boundary interactions during heat of the day. Coverage remain slightly higher than normal into the weekend due to less convective inhibition overall with temperatures near seasonal normal.

Extended(previous) . Sfc ridge across the Western Atlc basin to the Gulf of Mex will elongate while remaining the main map feature through Sunday. This regime will lead to mentionable chc of diurnally timed scattered showers and lightning storms light steering winds should favor inland areas for higher chances of rainfall in general with temperatures near to slightly above normal. A weak frontal boundary may break the ridge next Mon, providing drying and lower rain chances to begin the week.


AVIATION. Broad surface low and low level trough extending NE from KDAB will lift north tonight and Wed. Deep moisture will allow scattered diurnal showers and storms to develop most prevalent in the KVRB- KSUA corridor through 00z. Mainly VFR outside of SHRA/TSRA this afternoon which will contain MVFR CIGs briefly IFR visibility in heavy rain. Aft 01z, most airport should be VFR, have added late night stratus in the forecast along and north of a KISM-KTIX line.

MARINE.

Tonight . Lingering seas up to 6 ft through this evening will keep boating conditions poor north of Cape Canaveral. After, seas will continue to gradually subside to 3-4 ft nearshore and 4-5 ft offshore tonight. South to southwest winds will be around 10 kt nearshore and 10-15 kt offshore.

Wednesday . South to southwest winds of around 10-15 kt will back to southeast during the afternoon once the sea breeze develops. Seas around 3-4 ft can be expected. Winds and seas will be locally higher near numerous showers and embedded storms through midweek.

Late Week/Weekend (previous) . High pressure wl begin to establish from the Wrn Atlc basin toward the Gulf of Mex into the upcoming weekend. Marine conditions should correspondingly improve, with seas diminishing to around 3 ft Thu. Seas thereafter wl average around 3-5 ft into the weekend due to an expected swell component, with an light onshore wind, increasing in the afternoons due to sea breeze development.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 72 90 73 86 / 20 40 20 50 MCO 73 92 73 91 / 20 50 20 50 MLB 72 89 74 86 / 30 60 30 50 VRB 73 90 73 86 / 30 40 30 40 LEE 74 91 74 92 / 20 40 10 60 SFB 73 92 74 91 / 20 50 20 50 ORL 74 92 75 91 / 20 50 20 50 FPR 72 90 73 86 / 30 40 30 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Martin.

AM . None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 39 mi79 min WNW 1.9 74°F 1013 hPa73°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 53 mi64 min 76°F 76°F1011.5 hPa (-0.8)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 53 mi46 min S 9.9 G 12 77°F 80°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL5 mi71 minS 510.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1011.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDAB

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E6E6E3E4E4CalmNE9N6N4NW3NW6NE11NE8E6NE5E4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmS5S3
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Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida (4)
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Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:04 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:13 PM EDT     3.93 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:06 PM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.74.43.62.61.710.70.91.62.33.13.63.93.83.32.51.610.70.91.72.63.44.2

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:09 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:16 PM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:44 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.421.61.10.70.50.50.71.11.622.22.21.91.40.90.50.20.20.40.81.31.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.