Friday, July19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Daytona Beach Shores, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:24PM Friday July 19, 2019 5:58 AM EDT (09:58 UTC) Moonrise 9:30PMMoonset 7:55AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 414 Am Edt Fri Jul 19 2019
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 414 Am Edt Fri Jul 19 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge of high pressure will stretch from the atlantic across east central florida through this weekend. The ridge will be pushed to south florida around Tuesday through midweek allowing for higher rain and storm chances to develop. Favorable wind and sea conditions are expected for small craft operation through the weekend and into next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday july 18th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 26 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Daytona Beach Shores, FL
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location: 29.15, -80.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 190802
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
402 am edt Fri jul 19 2019

Discussion
Today-tonight... Overall, persistence forecast continues to reign
over the regime with axis of atlantic high tilted across central
fl. Diurnal convection along the sea breeze boundary is supported
once again, with sufficient moisture and heating to spark strong
thunderstorms this afternoon. Near daybreak, activity over the
gulf stream southern waters initiates as in previous days, adding
in a slight chance for showers to brush the immediate treasure
coast. By late morning, the sea breeze boundary develops, leading
to isolated thunderstorms along i-95 through early mid afternoon.

As the breeze pushes inland, additional scattered tstorms will
develop along outflows, with highest coverage over the interior.

Have slightly increased pops to 50% west of orlando in latest
forecast, while adding in a chc for the northern coast as opposed
to previous days, due to a S SW wind component from the ridge axis
position. Thunderstorms will have a decent gust potential yet
again with 500 mb temps hovering near -8c, leading to gusts of 50
mph and frequent lightning. Steering flow remains weak, so
torrential rain from slow moving storms is possible, leading to
minor flooding. Similar to yesterday evening, convection will wane
near dusk with the loss of heating. Slight chance for remnant
storms across lake county near sunset; overnight storms for the
gulf stream waters.

Temps this afternoon will be near normal in the low to mid 90s;
warmest spots in west volusia lake counties where temps could climb
to the mid 90s. This will lead to higher heat indices in the 101-105
range during peak afternoon heating. Overnight lows in the low to
mid 70s, upper 70s for some coastal sites.

Weekend... No notable change in position and strength of bermuda ridge
over the peninsula this weekend will keep a forecast of coastal
and inland pop separation with higher pcpn chcs inland due to
mid-late afternoon boundary collisions, with se-s component
steering level winds. Pop chcs about 25 to 30 percent coastal
zones and 35 to 45 percent inland. Expect highs in the l-m 90s
with heat indices 101-105 inland from the immediate coastline,
and overnight lows in the m70s.

Next week... A more promising chc for areawide rains will develop
by Tue as weakening of local ridge is indicated due to a notable
trough moving into the across the SE states. This wl act to
displace the bermuda ridge south of the forecast area into the
latter part of next week. Higher rain chcs begin to develop by
tue and persist through midweek, and this looks to improve the
dry conditions, especially along the immediate coast, where many
places have not had measurable rainfall in a week (see below).

Aviation
GenerallyVFR outside of convection. Forecast similar to previous
days, with calm overnight winds becoming SE 5 kts by sunrise,
shifting easterly after 17z with sea breeze initiation. Morning
onshore-moving shra for sua fpr vrb again, becoming iso tsra along
the coast in the early afternoon. Storms will push inland,
warranting tempo groups for interior terminals from 18-22z, with
gusty, variable winds through evening. Activity will clear by 00z,
lingering only near lee after sunset.

Marine
Today-tonight... Good boating conditions prevail today and tonight
with ridge axis anchored across the forecast area. SE S winds 5-10
kts with seas 1-2 ft. Slight chc of showers storms south of cape
canaveral this morning, tapering off nearshore through the
afternoon. Overnight storms possible over the gulf stream waters.

Weekend... Favorable winds and seas with dominant surface ridge
over the marine area. Winds largely 6-12 kts, or less with seas
1-2 ft.

Extended... Early next week shows continuation of favorable open
water conditions with s-se winds becoming more southerly, and then
developing some offshore component by wed. Seas averaging 2-3 ft,
with 1-2 ft near the coast tue-wed.

Climate
Notable consecutive days without measurable rainfall
mlb... 6
vrb... 6
fpr... 6
dab... 5 ended on Thursday with only 0.01 inch

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 91 75 92 75 30 20 30 20
mco 93 76 94 76 50 20 40 20
mlb 89 77 90 77 30 10 30 20
vrb 90 75 91 75 30 20 30 20
lee 92 75 95 77 50 20 40 20
sfb 93 76 95 76 40 20 40 20
orl 93 76 95 77 50 20 40 20
fpr 90 74 91 75 30 20 30 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Smith
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 38 mi73 min WSW 1 74°F 1019 hPa74°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 51 mi58 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 79°F1017.7 hPa (-0.7)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 54 mi58 min S 6 G 7 80°F 84°F1019.2 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL5 mi65 minS 310.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmS7S6S4S46SE4E7SE3--CalmS3S3CalmCalmCalmS3W3CalmCalmCalmS3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmE3E7E6E5E7E9SE5SW13
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W4Calm3E7E8E8E8E6E6SE4SE4S5S4S3S3CalmSW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
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Fri -- 04:28 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:23 AM EDT     3.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:20 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:42 PM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.52.51.50.60.10.10.61.42.333.43.42.92.11.20.50.10.20.71.62.63.54.14.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.