Danbury, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Danbury, TX

June 16, 2024 8:20 PM CDT (01:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:21 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 2:34 PM   Moonset 1:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ355 Expires:202406170815;;133165 Fzus54 Khgx 161957 Cwfhgx
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service houston/galveston tx 257 pm cdt Sun jun 16 2024
upper texas coastal waters from high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nautical miles including galveston and matagorda bays.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz350-355-170815- coastal waters from freeport to matagorda ship channel tx out 20 nm-coastal waters from high island to freeport tx out 20 nm- 257 pm cdt Sun jun 16 2024

.small craft should exercise caution tonight - .

.small craft advisory in effect from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning - .

Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms this evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Monday - Southeast winds around 20 knots, rising to 20 to 25 knots late. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: southeast 6 feet at 6 seconds. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Monday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet, building to 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet after midnight. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 7 seconds, becoming southeast 9 feet at 8 seconds. Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots, rising to around 30 knots late. Seas 8 to 11 feet, occasionally to 14 feet. Wave detail: southeast 10 feet at 11 seconds. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds around 30 knots. Seas 9 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet. Wave detail: southeast 11 feet at 11 seconds. Showers with Thunderstorms likely.

Wednesday - East winds around 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots. Seas 9 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet. Wave detail: southeast 11 feet at 10 seconds. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds around 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots. Seas 9 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday - East winds around 25 knots. Seas 8 to 10 feet, occasionally to 13 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.

Thursday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots, easing to around 20 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet, subsiding to 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet after midnight. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

Friday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.

Friday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, easing to around 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 257 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
a broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the southwestern gulf of mexico, bringing unsettled weather to the gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper texas coastal waters as we head into the early and midweek time period. Small craft advisories are likely and gale warnings cannot be ruled out in the gulf waters. Mariners should closely Monitor the forecasts.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Danbury, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 162341 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 641 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

As we head into the beginning of the upcoming week, we will enter into a period of active weather that will be characterized by widespread, occasionally heavy rainfall which could lead to flooding along area rivers, streams and bayous as well as some street flooding. Global models continue to show cyclogenesis in the Bay of Campeche overnight tonight, likely leading to the development of a weak closed low by the early hours of Monday.
This feature, as well as a developing lee cyclone to our northwest, will produce a tighter synoptic pressure gradient and thus a stronger onshore flow regime that will bring a plume of deeper tropical moisture to the area. With an associated midlevel trough providing some vorticity advection along with the impacts of diurnal heating, we will begin to see shower/thunderstorm activity pick up across the area overnight into the early hours of tomorrow and expand in coverage during the afternoon.

Any stronger storms that develop will have the potential to tap into relatively deep moisture (PWs > 2.0 in by Mon afternoon) and produce some locally heavy downpours. As such, the WPC has maintained a Slight Risk of Excessive rainfall roughly along and south of the Hwy 59 corridor. Urban and poor drainage areas may see some localized street flooding depending on the location of any stronger developing storms. Otherwise, rainfall totals will generally sit around an inch south of the 59 corridor and less across the northern zones.

Temperature wise, increasing cloud cover along with the impacts of afternoon rainfall may keep highs from exceeding 90 for much of the area, especially closer to the coast. Despite this, dew points in the mid 70s will still contribute to heat stress as heat indicies once again reach the century mark. Overnight lows, bolstered by WAA and greater cloud cover, will sit in the mid to upper 70s inland and near 80 along the coast.

Cady

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A closed low is expected to develop in the Southwestern Gulf by Tuesday. Combined with high pressure/ridging spanning the eastern sea board, this will greatly tighten the pressure gradient, setting up a 30-40 knot LLJ over portions of the Texas/Louisiana coast.
Converging winds along the coastline & forcing from this system, in combination with deep moisture (PWs in excess of 2" at times), will result in numerous storms across the Northwestern Gulf throughout the first half of the week. Forecast soundings during this period feature deep saturation, with a warm cloud layer in excess of 15,000 ft, still indicative of high precipitation efficiency necessary to produce heavy rainfall.

WPC has a Moderate (level 3/4) to Slight (level 2/4) Risk of excessive rainfall over SE Texas for Tuesday through Wednesday.
These storms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall, with areas south of US-59 most at risk for heavy rains and flooding (denoted by the Moderate Risk area). This includes the Houston Metro area, with urban locations such as these already prone to flooding due to poor drainage. Areas south of US-59 could see rainfall totals of 5-8 inches with isolated higher amounts possible. Areas to the north will generally receive 2-4 inches during this same period. This rainfall will likely result in rises in rivers, streams and creeks.
Additionally, strong winds and long fetch induced by this system may result in moderate coastal flooding as well. Some uncertainties still remain in the forecast, mainly with the track of the system.
It's important to remember that even small deviations in the expected path of this system can greatly shift where the heaviest rain falls. Regardless, confidence in tropical development is growing, and NHC now has a 70% chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 7 days. Impacts from this low will still be felt across SE Texas, regardless of if it becomes a named cyclone.

The heavy rainfall threat diminishes on Thursday as the aforementioned system tracks into Mexico and dissipates. However, wet conditions look to continue through the end of the week as a broad upper level low traverses through the Gulf of Mexico. An upper level high over portions of the Southern Plains looks to keep that next disturbance restricted to the Southern Gulf, thus limiting it's impacts to SE Texas.

03

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

VFR conditions into the late night hours. With the arrival of deeper moisture on Monday, expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to begin developing near the coast as we head into sunrise...eventually spreading inland as the day progresses.
Difficult to narrow down the most favorable timing for the TAF sites...as the precip will probably be coming in intermittent band/waves with periods of rain & no-rain. We should get somewhat of a break in activity in the evening and overnight Monday followed by higher chances on Tues. 47

MARINE
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Winds and seas will increase over the next several days as the pressure gradient tights from a developing low over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Ample Gulf moisture will bring numerous showers/storms daily, beginning later tonight into the upcoming week. Small Craft Advisories take effect on Monday and will likely be extended over the next several days as winds approach 20 to 30 knots with gusts in excess of Gale-Force possible. Seas are expected to reach 10 to 15 feet at times. These strong onshore winds over a long fetch will also bring a high risk of rip currents and potentially moderate coastal flooding across the Texas coastline as early as Tuesday. Forecasted winds and seas may vary depending on how this system evolves. Gale warnings cannot be completely ruled out at this time. Stay tuned over the next several days as we monitor this system.

Conditions begin to improve on Thursday as the aforementioned tropical system dissipates over Mexico, with winds and seas falling below Small Craft Criteria on Friday.

03

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Ongoing river flooding persists for a few sites along the Trinity River. The Trinity River near Liberty continues to gradually rise in moderate flood stage and may crest into major flood stage later this week. The Trinity River at Riverside crested in moderate flood stage, but will take a while to recede. The Trinity River at Moss Bluff continues on a slow and gradual climb in minor flood stage.
The current forecasts do not take into account the upcoming rainfall event later this week.

We are continuing to monitor an area of disturbed weather currently over the Yucatan Peninsula that is expected to become a broad surface low in the Bay of Campeche (southwestern Gulf of Mexico)
over the next few days. This low would then have the potential to become a tropical depression by midweek as it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT, the deeper tropical moisture from this system will bring periods of moderate to heavy rainfall for portions of Southeast Texas (mainly areas near and south of I-10). Tuesday into Wednesday in particular look to be the main days with heavy rainfall potential. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to localized instances of street flooding in some areas. Forecast uncertainty remains rather high though, but for now we're continuing with the messaging of 5-8" of rainfall near and south of US-59/I-69 and 2-4" north of US-59/I-69. That total rainfall forecast is over a four day period from Monday-Thursday.
New river flooding will be possible as early as Tuesday. We'll also be monitoring for the potential for flooding along area creeks and bayous as well. With there being general consensus for the higher end of the rainfall amounts occuring near/along the coast, this will be beneficial rainfall for drought stricken areas (mainly those near Matagorda Bay).

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/).

Batiste

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 76 91 75 89 / 0 50 0 30 Houston (IAH) 77 89 75 84 / 10 60 20 70 Galveston (GLS) 80 88 80 86 / 40 70 50 80

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through Monday afternoon for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Monday to 7 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
LUIT2 7 mi50 minSE 12G16 90°F29.82
FPST2 16 mi50 minESE 16G18 89°F29.80
GRRT2 19 mi50 minESE 9.9G12 91°F29.80
GTOT2 24 mi50 minSE 7G12 90°F29.80
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 27 mi50 minSE 13G16 91°F29.83
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 29 mi50 minSSE 14G16 90°F29.81
KGVW 35 mi25 minESE 13G19 86°F 77°F
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 38 mi50 minESE 14G19 88°F29.82
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 39 mi50 minS 5.1G15 29.79
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 42 mi30 minESE 14G16 88°F3 ft29.83
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 44 mi50 minSSE 14G17 97°F29.83
EMAT2 49 mi50 minE 13G18 92°F29.80


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLBX TEXAS GULF COAST RGNL,TX 14 sm27 minSE 13G1810 smClear84°F79°F84%29.83
KGLS SCHOLES INTL AT GALVESTON,TX 20 sm28 minSE 1210 smClear86°F77°F75%29.85
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLBX
   
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Wind History graph: LBX
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Tide / Current for Alligator Point, West Bay, Texas
   
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Alligator Point
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Sun -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:04 AM CDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:03 AM CDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:24 PM CDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:33 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:03 PM CDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Alligator Point, West Bay, Texas, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Christmas Point, Christmas Bay, Texas
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Christmas Point
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Sun -- 02:30 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:57 AM CDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:01 AM CDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:17 PM CDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:33 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:01 PM CDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Christmas Point, Christmas Bay, Texas, Tide feet
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Houston/Galveston, TX,




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