Pointe a la Hache, LA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pointe a la Hache, LA

June 14, 2024 10:22 AM CDT (15:22 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:57 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 1:27 PM   Moonset 1:17 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ552 Expires:202406150315;;005228 Fzus54 Klix 141440 Cwflix
coastal waters forecast national weather service new orleans la 940 am cdt Fri jun 14 2024
pascagoula to atchafalaya river out to 60 nm
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz550-552-150315- coastal waters from port fourchon la to lower atchafalaya river la out 20 nm- coastal waters from the southwest pass of the mississippi river to port fourchon louisiana out 20 nm- 940 am cdt Fri jun 14 2024

Rest of today - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east late. Seas 1 foot or less, then 1 to 2 feet this afternoon. Wave detail: northeast 1 foot at 2 seconds, becoming east 1 foot at 2 seconds. A slight chance of showers late this morning.

Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then 1 to 2 feet in the afternoon. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 2 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 2 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 7 seconds. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: southeast 6 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 940 Am Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure will remain in place through tomorrow with light winds and calm seas expected. The high will shift to the east on Sunday, and winds will shift to the east and southeast at 10 to 15 knots. These winds will strengthen early next week in response to a broad area of low pressure developing in the bay of campeche. Seas will also build in response to the strengthening winds.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pointe a la Hache, LA
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Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 141116 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 616 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Convective activity will remain suppressed today and tomorrow as deep layer ridging becomes centered over the region. Very dry air aloft associated with deep layer subsidence will effectively cap off any rain chances over most of the forecast area, and PWATS will fall to around an inch over northern zones and closer to 1.4 inches along the coast. These values are in the 10th to 25th percentile for mid-June. Temperatures will also be warmer than average with readings in the mid to upper 90s expected.
Fortunately, the drier air mixing down to to the surface will keep dewpoints just low enough to produce heat index values of 100 to 105. These values are below our advisory criteria, but those who are more susceptible to heat illness including children and the elderly should limit time outdoors on Friday and Saturday.
Additionally, the lack of wind and the strong inversion will lead to lower air quality today, and an air quality alert is in effect for metro Baton Rouge, metro New Orleans, and the MS Gulf Coast.

The deep layer ridge axis will shift to the east of the area on Sunday, and this will open the door for a plume of deeper tropical moisture to begin feeding into the region. Sunday will see PWATS rise back to average for mid-June, and this will allow for greater convective activity from Sunday afternoon through Sunday night.
PoP values will range from 30 to 50 percent north of I-10 and 50 to 70 percent south of I-10. The highest rain chances will be along the immediate coast and offshore where the deepest moisture is expected. The influence of the departing ridge will still be felt, especially over northern zones, as drier air in the mid- levels lingers. Downdraft CAPE values of 1000 to 1200 J/KG are expected over the northern half of the CWA Sunday afternoon, and there is the potential for a few wet microburst events to occur.
The strongest convective updrafts punching above 20k feet will have the greatest potential for microburst development as dry air entrainment into the updraft occurs. There will be some locally higher rainfall rates Sunday into Sunday night, and this could lead to some street flooding issues in poorly drained and low lying areas. Temperatures will be closer to seasonal averages on Sunday into Sunday night due to the increase in convective coverage.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

There has been little change in thinking from Monday through Wednesday from previous forecasts. The region will remain on the western periphery of a deep layer ridge and deep tropical moisture will continue to feed into the region. PWATS will be in the 90th percentile or higher each day with readings of between 2 and 2.25 inches expected. The result will be numerous showers and thunderstorms forming each day as temperatures climb into the mid to upper 80s. This is reflected by the high PoP values of 60 to 80 percent forecast each day. The convective activity will decrease in coverage a bit each night as temperatures cool back into the 70s, but will still be at least scattered in nature.
Storm motion will remain decent at 10 to 15 knots on Monday and Tuesday with a further increase to around 20 knots on Wednesday.
However, very high rainfall rates of 3 to 4 inches per hour with the strongest convection could lead to some localized flash flooding issues each day next week. The highest threat will be for urban drainage systems that could be easily overwhelmed by these excessive rainfall rates.

Thursday will see a change in the pattern as the deep plume of tropical moisture shifts toward Texas and an inverted trough axis associated with a more easterly flow regime aloft begins to move into the Gulf South. PWATS will decline back to more average levels for mid-June, and this will result in convective coverage becoming more scattered in nature. The decrease in convection and cloud cover will also allow temperatures to climb back to more normal levels in the lower 90s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions and light winds are expected at all of the terminals. Wind direction at NEW, GPT, MSY, and HUM will feel in the influence of the sea-breeze and lake-breeze cycle with winds shifting to the south after 15z and increasing in speed at HUM and GPT and winds shift to the north and increasing in speed at MSY and NEW. These winds will persist through 02z before turning more variable as temperatures begin cooling after sunset.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A dry and stable high pressure system centered over the area will keep VFR conditions and light winds in place at all of the terminals. Wind direction at NEW, GPT, MSY, and HUM will feel in the influence of the sea-breeze and lake-breeze cycle with winds shifting to the south after 15z and increasing in speed at HUM and GPT and winds shift to the north and increasing in speed at MSY and NEW. These winds will persist through 02z before turning more variable as temperatures begin cooling after sunset.

MARINE
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Benign conditions will remain in place across all of the waters through tomorrow as high pressure remains centered directly over the region. On Sunday, the high will shift to the east and a developing area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche will lead to a tighter pressure gradient across the northern Gulf. East and southeast winds will be on the increase through the first half of next week with prevailing small craft advisory conditions expected over the open Gulf waters by Monday afternoon. A decent swell train is expected form as these long fetch winds of 20 to 25 knots extend from the eastern Gulf into the northern Gulf. This swell will combine with the wind waves already in place to produce seas of 7 to 10 feet in the open Gulf waters. Additionally, the prolonged nature of these stronger onshore winds will lead to some minor coastal flooding issues by Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 95 71 98 73 / 10 10 10 10 BTR 95 74 97 75 / 10 10 10 10 ASD 96 74 96 75 / 10 10 10 10 MSY 93 78 95 79 / 10 10 10 10 GPT 93 77 95 79 / 10 10 10 10 PQL 94 74 95 76 / 10 10 10 20

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Grand Isle, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGAO SOUTH LAFOURCHE LEONARD MILLER JR,LA 15 sm27 minN 0510 smPartly Cloudy88°F73°F62%29.95
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Wind History graph: GAO
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Tide / Current for Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana
   
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Manilla
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Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:17 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:10 AM CDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:26 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:27 PM CDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Independence Island, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana
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Independence Island
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Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:16 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:56 AM CDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:24 PM CDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:25 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:00 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Independence Island, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,




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