Flagler Beach, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Flagler Beach, FL

April 25, 2024 11:25 AM EDT (15:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM
Moonrise 8:53 PM   Moonset 6:34 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Expires:202404252130;;349759 Fzus52 Kjax 251352 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 952 am edt Thu apr 25 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-252130- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 952 am edt Thu apr 25 2024

Rest of today - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.

Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.

Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.

Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.

Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 952 Am Edt Thu Apr 25 2024

Synopsis -
a weak cold front entering the southeastern states will move southward today and cross the georgia waters tonight, stalling over the northeast florida waters Friday evening before dissolving over the weekend. Onshore winds will begin to increase Friday afternoon, with speeds and seas likely reaching small craft advisory levels early Saturday evening through Sunday morning for the offshore waters adjacent to northeast florida, while caution conditions are forecast for the near shore waters adjacent to northeast florida. High pressure will then gradually weaken as it shifts southward late this weekend, becoming anchored off the carolina coast by early next week. Onshore winds and seas will gradually diminish throughout our local waters late this weekend and early next week.


Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 23, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
60 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 90 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flagler Beach, FL
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Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 251300 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 900 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 900 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Forecast is still on track. No notable changes were made.

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Surface analysis depicts a weakening cold front extending from the Mid-Atlantic coast southwestward across the southern Appalachians, with this boundary then becoming stationary further westward across the lower Mississippi Valley and the southern Plains states. Meanwhile, high pressure (1021 millibars) was located to the south of this cold front along the northern Gulf coast and the FL peninsula, while a stronger high pressure center (1029 millibars) was building over the Great Lakes region in the wake of the cold front
Aloft
troughing was progressing across New England and the Mid-Atlantic states, while ridging was building over the Plains states, which were positioned downstream of a potent trough that was progressing eastward from southern California towards the Desert Southwest. Mid-level cloud cover associated with the approaching cold front was located to the north of Waycross in southeast GA, with fair skies prevailing elsewhere across our region.

NEAR TERM
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Ridging aloft over the Plains states will build eastward as troughing slides off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts, allowing for heights to rise as ridging builds eastward from the Plains states. This weather pattern will leave little in the way of support for the frontal boundary that will be moving slowly across the southeastern states today and tonight, with this boundary crossing inland southeast GA this afternoon and then decelerating as it approaches the FL/GA border this evening. Mid- level cloud cover will continue to gradually increase this morning ahead of the approaching boundary across southeast GA, with this cloud cover then shifting over northeast FL this afternoon.
Weakening high pressure to the south of the approaching cold front will leave our area within a weak local pressure gradient today, allowing for the Gulf and Atlantic sea breezes to develop towards noon at coastal locations, followed by these boundaries moving more quickly inland this afternoon when compared to previous days.
A collision of these boundaries seems to be likely along the U.S.
Highway 301 corridor towards sunset, but a dry and increasingly subsident air mass will only allow for mid-level cloudiness to be generated by these inland moving mesoscale boundaries this afternoon. This dry air mass and rising heights aloft will allow highs to climb to the mid 80s at most inland locations this afternoon, while developing breezy onshore winds this afternoon after the passage of the sea breeze boundary keeps coastal highs closer to 80.

Mid-level cloud cover generated by the weakening cold front will shift over northeast and north central FL tonight. Clearing skies over southeast GA could result in at least patchy fog development along the U.S. Highway 301 corridor towards sunrise on Saturday.
Otherwise, light winds and a lingering dry air mass should allow lows to fall to the upper 50s at most inland locations, ranging to the low and mid 60s at coastal locations.

SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Weak, dry cold front becomes more diffuse and dissipates on Friday over northeast FL, while sfc high pressure ridging strengthens to the northeast of the area. Anticipate light southeast winds Friday morning turning more to the east during the afternoon up to near 10-15 mph and gusty as the sea breeze moves in quickly. PWATs near 1.2 inches and sufficient low level moisture looks to support low rain chances at only 10-15 percent.

Friday night through Saturday night, high pressure continues to dominate to the northeast of the area with prevailing easterly flow, breezy during the daytime, and breezy at night near the coast. A couple of showers can't be ruled out over the marine zones given the fairly moist low levels and some convergent bands.

Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy given a mix of mostly daytime cumulus and scattered to broken high clouds. Max temps expected in the lower to mid 80s Friday and around 80-85 deg Saturday. Warmest temps will be inland given the prevailing east flow. Lows near normal from upper 50s and lower/mid 60s.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Mostly dry and warm conditions this period. A strong mid/upper level ridge will be across the east coast Sunday, but will break down while moving east. A weak mid level trough will move into GA Monday night into Tuesday, but ridging is still dominate in the mid levels that will keep our area in a stable pattern. A sfc high pressure system near 1028 mb starts out off the Mid Atlantic states and will drift southward through Wednesday. Breezy east to southeast winds Sunday and Monday will gradually ease by Tuesday and Wednesday as the pressure gradient relaxes. Mostly clear to partly cloudy each day. There may be some slight chance for convection across inland southeast GA by Wednesday as a weak pre- frontal trough triggers a couple of showers.

Fairly seasonal max temperatures around 80-85 deg anticipated Sunday, but a warming trend commences Monday through Wednesday.
Temperatures will steadily increase into the upper 80s to near 90 by mid week inland zones, and generally lower 80s coastal areas.
Lows will be near normal.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 551 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Periods of broken ceilings around 6,000 feet will be possible at SSI today, with this cloud cover then expanding southward to the northeast FL terminals this afternoon and evening. Light westerly surface winds early this morning will increase to 5-10 knots before 15Z. The Atlantic and Gulf coast sea breezes will develop towards noon and will push inland more quickly than prior days, resulting in surface winds shifting to westerly at GNV following the passage of the Gulf coast sea breeze, with sustained speeds increasing to around 10 knots towards 20Z. Surface winds will shift to easterly at SGJ following the passage of the Atlantic sea breeze boundary shortly after noon, with sustained speeds increasing to 10-15 knots during the early to mid afternoon hours.
Surface winds elsewhere will shift to easterly or southeasterly during the early to mid afternoon hours, with speeds increasing to around 10 knots, except at GNV, where this wind shift will likely not occur until around sunset as the Atlantic and Gulf sea breeze boundaries collide around U.S. Highway 301. Surface winds will then shift to southeasterly or southerly by the mid-evening hours at the regional terminals, with speeds diminishing to 5-10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

A weak cold front entering the southeastern states will nudge southward today, crossing the GA waters tonight and then becoming stationary over the northeast FL waters by Friday evening before dissolving during the weekend. Seas of 2 to 4 feet will prevail today near shore, with 3-5 foot seas expected offshore. Meanwhile, strong high pressure building over the eastern Great Lakes in the wake of this cold front will shift eastward over New England on Friday, with this feature then wedging down the southeastern seaboard from Friday afternoon through early Sunday. Onshore winds will strengthen beginning on Friday afternoon, with speeds and seas likely reaching Caution levels of 15-20 knots by late afternoon. Small Craft Advisory conditions are becoming increasingly likely for the offshore waters adjacent to northeast FL from early Saturday evening through at least Sunday morning, where seas will build to 5-7 feet. Caution conditions will persist for the near shore waters adjacent to northeast FL during this period, as seas build to 4-6 feet. High pressure will then gradually weaken as it shifts southward late this weekend, with this feature then becoming anchored off the Carolina coast by early next week. Onshore winds and seas will gradually diminish throughout our local waters late this weekend and early next week.

Rip Currents: A long period northeasterly ocean swell will combine with breezy onshore winds this afternoon to create a high end moderate rip current risk at all area beaches, with breakers of 2-4 feet expected. Onshore winds will then strengthen to 15-20 mph on Friday afternoon, keeping at least a high-end moderate rip current risk in place, with a possible high risk at the northeast FL beaches. Onshore winds will then strengthen to around 20 mph during the weekend, with building and increasingly rough surf resulting in a high rip current risk at all area beaches.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Moderate flooding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the Three Rivers Estates gauge will continue through the weekend, with water levels then gradually falling, but remaining in minor flood for much of next week. Water levels near the gauge at Hildreth on the lower Santa Fe will also gradually subside late this weekend, with minor flooding expected to continue through at least the middle portions of next week. Water levels are gradually falling along upper portions of the Suwannee River near the gauge at Suwannee Springs, where minor flooding will likely continue through Friday morning. Minor flooding will otherwise continue along most of the lower Suwannee River through the weekend.
Elsewhere, water levels are expected to fall below flood stage along lower portions of the Satilla River near the gauge at Atkinson towards sunrise on Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 84 58 84 62 / 0 0 10 0 SSI 82 63 78 67 / 0 0 10 0 JAX 85 60 82 64 / 0 0 10 0 SGJ 81 62 82 67 / 0 0 10 10 GNV 86 59 85 62 / 0 0 10 0 OCF 86 58 86 63 / 0 0 10 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 13 mi100 min WSW 4.1 73°F 30.2158°F
41069 22 mi77 min 73°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 27 mi85 min WSW 7G8 74°F 72°F30.1672°F
41117 36 mi59 min 71°F3 ft


Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KFIN FLAGLER EXECUTIVE,FL 4 sm35 minW 0510 smClear75°F57°F54%30.17
KOMN ORMOND BEACH MUNI,FL 13 sm35 minW 077 smClear77°F59°F54%30.17
KDAB DAYTONA BEACH INTL,FL 21 sm32 minWSW 0510 smA Few Clouds77°F59°F54%30.17
Link to 5 minute data for KXFL


Wind History from XFL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
   
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Smith Creek
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Thu -- 02:54 AM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:08 PM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:14 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida, Tide feet
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0.6
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0.8
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0.8
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11
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0.3
12
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0.5
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0.7
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0.8
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0.9
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0.3



Tide / Current for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida, Tide feet




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Jacksonville, FL,



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