Bacliff, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bacliff, TX

June 13, 2024 2:30 PM CDT (19:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM
Moonrise 11:55 AM   Moonset 12:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 943 Am Cdt Thu Jun 13 2024

Rest of today - East winds 5 to 10 knots, veering to southeast late. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning and early afternoon.

Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north late. Bay waters smooth.

Friday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, veering to southeast late. Bay waters smooth.

Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.

Sunday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, rising to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth, rising to slightly choppy in the afternoon. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 943 Am Cdt Thu Jun 13 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
generally light onshore flow and low seas should prevail through the end of the week. There will be a daily risk of isolated showers and Thunderstorms generally diminishing through Saturday. Storms may produce locally higher winds and seas along with the potential for waterspouts.
mariners should continue to Monitor conditions in the gulf for next week, including the tropical weather outlook from the national hurricane center, which currently highlights an area in the bay of campeche with a medium (40 percent) chance of development into a tropical cyclone over the next seven days. At this time for our area, anticipate stronger winds and a corresponding increase in seas along with increased potential for showers and Thunderstorms regardless of any tropical development that may or may not not occur.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bacliff, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 131748 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1248 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For better and for worse, attention for the forecast is focusing on the potential for tropical development in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. On the one hand, keeping an awareness of potential weather hazards is good! Staying aware is a key part of good hurricane preparation. It's also important, though, to keep things in perspective, and evaluate everything in the whole context of the forecast. There is no need to place excessive importance on single model runs, especially for one deterministic model.
This is particularly true in the pre-development phase, where confidence is quite low in the specifics of the evolution of a storm (that may or may not even form!) that isn't expected to even exist for several days. Here's what we can speak of with confidence at this point: - Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone develops or not, there is confidence that next week will feature disturbed weather for Southeast Texas, including gustier winds and increased potential for rain and thunderstorms.
- Continue to monitor trusted sources of information, such as this office and the National Hurricane Center, for the latest forecast information. Consider new information in a broad context. Good questions to ask yourself are: "Is this new information complementary to what these trusted sources have said previously, or is it wildly different?"; "What are the trends in forecast changes? Are expectations getting more or less threatening?"; "Is the confidence in the forecast increasing or decreasing?" - The best day to have your hurricane preparations for the season ready is June 1. The second best day is today (or as soon as you can reasonably complete them). Many hurricane preparations can be made for an entire season, leaving you less to do when a storm does threaten. The more preparation you can have out of the way early, the less you will need to accomplish under the stress of an incoming storm.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

With surface high pressure sinking south into the Lower Mississippi River valley...rain chances will be decreasing across much of SE TX today and tomorrow. Lingering deeper moisture (PWs around 2") along the coast/SW counties should help to fuel scattered showers/thunder- storms with the seabreeze moving inland through this afternoon. For the most part, rainfall totals are expected to average around 1/2-1 inch with higher totals in the stronger storms (1-2"). Any activity that does get going today should weaken/be gone by this evening.

Elsewhere across the CWA today, the much lower/nil rain chances are going to lead to warmer temperatures. And, with the wet grounds and light winds already in place, heat index values up to 105F might be possible this afternoon at some locations. Otherwise, highs will be in the lower to mid 90s. Lows tonight (and tomorrow night) are prog- ged to be in the lower and mid 70s (to around 80 along the beaches).

With the ridge aloft building in from the west and the surface high staying put over the Lower Mississippi...POPs are going to decrease even further tomorrow...even along the coast. So Fri should feature very warm daytime temperatures across the region, with highs in the mid 90s for most locations but some readings into the upper 90s are going to be possible. Fortunately, slightly drier air aloft will be filtering in/mixing down over the region with this pattern. And this could help to temper heat index values a bit...with indicies likely staying around 100F. Not *that* bad, but still within normal ranges for SE TX summers.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Saturday - yup, still looks hot. Expectations remain for high temperatures in the lower 90s in the cooler spots, up into the middle 90s, and even some upper 90s in the hot spots. Peak heat index values look to generally be in the 101 to 107 range. That said...my forecast this morning is ever so slightly cooler than yesterday. Guidance is suggesting that the mid-level ridging doesn't come in quite as strong, as a trough in the northern stream digs down far enough to keep a bit of a weakness in place over us. It's not a big deal...but perhaps enough to keep my concern levels about needing heat advisories at a lower level.
That said, it's still looking hotter than mid-June averages, so heat safety remains a consideration for outdoor plans this weekend.

Heat may be a continuing concern earlier on Sunday - both from low temps being hung up in the 70s to even around 80 degrees at the coast, and into mid-day/early afternoon. With deeper moisture anticipated already, we won't mix out humid conditions as much in the afternoon, and we could still see peak heat index values well into the triple digits. Eventually, though, Sunday will also give us our transition to next week's stormier pattern. While shower and storms will be nil to isolated far inland, we can expect more scattered to widespread development over the Gulf waters and coastal areas.

For the rest of the first half of next week, I don't want to get TOO too specific, as some details will certainly depend on the evolution of our expected friend in the southwestern Gulf (more on that in the tropical section below), but there are certainly some more broad-brushed things we can say with more confidence at this point. An inverted upper trough over the Bay of Campeche will help keep a weakness in the subtropical ridge in place over the eastern half of Texas. This may help play a part in the development of surface low pressure, which may be tropical, but it will also help keep heights down modestly for us, allowing for more daily convective development over Southeast Texas. This is complemented by a surge of a Gulf airmass with deeper moisture that will make potential for showers and thunderstorms more likely through the first half of next week. This will be an expectation regardless of the status of tropical development in the Gulf.

Increased onshore flow is also a fairly high confidence proposition, with our area expected to see a tighter pressure gradient between whatever low pressure thingamajig is happening over the Gulf and high pressure over the Eastern Seaboard.
Temperatures during the daytime will be seasonably hot, but a bit cooler than the forecast for tomorrow/Saturday, thanks to increased cloudiness and rain coverage. At night, however, we may be looking at a different scenario - as onshore flow continues to pump humid, low-level air into Southeast Texas, we may be looking at overnight lows drifting higher into the 70s across the area the deeper we get into the week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR prevailing at all sites through the period. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible as the sea breeze moves inland this afternoon. Otherwise, quiet weather with generally light and variable winds.

MARINE
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Generally light onshore flow and low seas should prevail through the end of the week. There will be a daily risk of isolated showers and thunderstorms generally diminishing through Saturday.
Storms may produce locally higher winds and seas along with the potential for waterspouts.

Most of the attention on weather conditions, though, will likely be focused on next week, with a medium probability (40 percent as of 2am) of tropical cyclone development in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Mariners should continue to monitor conditions in the Gulf for next week, including the tropical weather outlook from the National Hurricane Center, for the latest information. At this time for our area, anticipate stronger winds and a corresponding increase in seas along with increased potential for showers and thunderstorms regardless of any tropical development that may or may not not occur.

TROPICAL
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The area that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring for potential tropical development has had its probability of development increased to the medium range - 40 percent - over the next seven days. The timeframe for development is still next week, and the probability of tropical cyclone development in the next two days is near 0 percent.

There remains good consensus in the model guidance that some sort of low pressure center, and possibly a tropical cyclone will form in the southwestern Gulf/Bay of Campeche, and drift west- northwestward, eventually making landfall along the northeastern Mexican coastline. Of course, even relatively consistent model guidance must be taken with some more caution for a storm that has not yet formed, as small scale changes in the formation process could significantly change expectations.

Regardless of whether there is tropical cyclone development of not, the broad impacts for our area are fairly consistent - somewhat gustier winds due to a tighter pressure gradient, and an influx of deep Gulf moisture to fuel more numerous showers and thunderstorms next week. Continue to monitor forecasts from our office and NHC into next week for the latest information.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 93 74 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 93 76 95 74 / 10 10 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 89 80 90 81 / 30 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 5 mi42 minE 8G8.9 89°F29.92
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 11 mi42 minESE 8G9.9 86°F29.91
GRRT2 16 mi42 minNE 6G7 89°F29.90
GTOT2 18 mi42 minE 7G11 89°F29.90
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 20 mi42 minSW 2.9G6 29.90
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 25 mi42 minESE 8.9G11 93°F29.92
HIST2 32 mi42 minSSE 6G8.9 93°F29.90
LUIT2 32 mi42 minESE 7G11 89°F29.92
KGVW 36 mi15 minE 8.9 86°F 77°F
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 37 mi30 minE 9.7G12 87°F29.92
FPST2 44 mi42 minE 8.9G11 87°F29.91


Wind History for Eagle Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEFD ELLINGTON,TX 11 sm36 minE 0510 smMostly Cloudy90°F73°F59%29.92
KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX 14 sm37 minSE 079 smPartly Cloudy90°F75°F63%29.94
KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX 18 sm37 minE 0510 smPartly Cloudy91°F73°F56%29.92
KGLS SCHOLES INTL AT GALVESTON,TX 19 sm38 minESE 08G1510 smPartly Cloudy90°F79°F71%29.94
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Wind History graph: EFD
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Eagle Point, Texas
   
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Eagle Point
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Thu -- 01:10 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:53 AM CDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:25 PM CDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:55 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Eagle Point, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.2
9
am
0.3
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.8
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Bolivar Roads, Texas Current
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Bolivar Roads
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Thu -- 12:11 AM CDT     -0.80 knots Min Ebb
Thu -- 01:10 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:40 AM CDT     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:26 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:35 AM CDT     1.54 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:53 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:49 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:50 PM CDT     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
12
am
-0.8
1
am
-0.8
2
am
-0.9
3
am
-1
4
am
-1
5
am
-0.9
6
am
-0.6
7
am
-0.2
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.8
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.5
12
pm
1.5
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
-0.6
6
pm
-0.9
7
pm
-1.2
8
pm
-1.2
9
pm
-1.1
10
pm
-0.8
11
pm
-0.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Houston/Galveston, TX,




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