Taylor Lake Village, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Taylor Lake Village, TX

June 17, 2024 11:53 AM CDT (16:53 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:19 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM
Moonrise 3:30 PM   Moonset 1:57 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 1050 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

.small craft should exercise caution this morning - .

.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning - .

Rest of today - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms.

Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the late evening and overnight.

Tuesday - East winds around 20 knots, rising to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters rough. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Bay waters rough. Showers. Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Bay waters rough. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Gusts to 35 knots in the evening. Bay waters rough. Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Thursday - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Bay waters rough. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, easing to around 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy, easing to slightly choppy after midnight. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1050 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern gulf of mexico will bring unsettled weather to the gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper texas coastal waters over the next few days. Small craft advisory conditions are expected to begin today and last through much of the week. The chance of gale force winds, at least in gusts, is increasing for the Tuesday to Wednesday time frame. Mariners should closely Monitor the forecasts.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylor Lake Village, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 171135 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 635 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 254 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A broad area of low pressure is expected to materialize in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico today or tonight. The system will push deep tropical moisture into southeast Texas over the next few days. Conditions are conducive for gradual development into a tropical depression or tropical storm by mid-week. However, the overall impacts are likely to be the same regardless of development.

Key Points

1) There is a daily risk of heavy rainfall beginning today and lasting through Thursday.

2) The best chance of heavy rainfall capable of flooding is late Tuesday into Wednesday.

3) Hazardous winds and seas are likely offshore and in the bays through much of the upcoming week.

4) Coastal flooding is possible Tuesday night into Wednesday, and possibly Thursday, along the Upper Texas Coast.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 254 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

TODAY

As of writing this AFD, spotty showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf are already pushing towards the coast, a sign that our surge of deep tropical moisture has begun. PWATs are already 1.50-1.80" and rising. HRRR ensemble mean PWATs show values surpassing 2.00" for most areas east of I-45 and south of I-10 by this afternoon.
Such high PWATs are indicative of an environment favorable for heavy rainfall. Most of the southern half of the CWA remains in a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall today, while areas farther north are in a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4).
Widespread totals are expected to be manageable today. But locally heavy downpours capable of dropping a quick 2-4 inches of rain cannot be ruled out. Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish overnight. However, rain and thunderstorm chances will remain elevated over the Gulf. Winds will increase through the day (especially at the coast) thanks to the steepening gradient between the Gulf low and an area of high pressure over eastern CONUS. By this afternoon, winds at the coast could be gusting near 30 MPH.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY

Deep tropically oriented LL flow will push PWAT values even higher on Tuesday. Global and HRRR ensemble means suggest a very high chance of widespread peak PWATs of at least 2.25-2.50 inches Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon. Ensemble PWAT means near the coast are closer to 2.75 inches while deterministic guidance suggests the possibility of 3.00 inch PWATs near the coast. By Tuesday afternoon, the Gulf low (whether a tropical system or not) may already be producing rainbands on the north and east side of the circulation. With deep moisture in place, these rainbands and their embedded thunderstorms will be primed to produce heavy rainfall. Though scattered showers/thunderstorms and locally heavy rain are a concern Tuesday afternoon, it is really Tuesday evening into Wednesday where the best chance of heavy rainfall occurs.

Most of the southern half of the CWA (including the City of Houston) is under a Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) for excessive rainfall Tuesday evening through Wednesday. The northern half of the CWA is in a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4). Though there is general consensus that rainfall totals will be higher near the coast, uncertainty remains regarding the location of the heaviest rainfall due to continued forecast complexities. For example, rainfall could become enhanced by small vorticity maxima embedded in the LL flow. Overnight global deterministic runs suggest that these vort maxes are more likely to track into the central Texas Coast, suggesting that the heaviest totals could occur south of our region. However, ensemble data is quick to point out that southeast Texas remains in the risk zone for these corridors of higher rainfall totals. Current predicted storm total (Monday- Thursday) rainfall ranges from 6-10 inches near the coast, to 4-6 inches along the I-10 corridor, and 2-4 inches over most of our northern counties.

Heavy rainfall will not be the only concern. Strong coastal winds are likely Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds at the coast could gust over 40 MPH. These winds will result in hazardous seas, rough surf, and dangerous rip currents. We have also issued a Coastal Flood Watch for tonight through Wednesday night due to the prospect of water levels 4-5 feet (potentially up to 6 feet) above Mean Lower Low Water (MLLW) during high tide. In addition to the high coastal winds, models suggest a LLJ in the 925-850MB layer where winds could be 40-50 knots in the jet's core. Any embedded thunderstorm would have the opportunity to mix these winds down to the surface. Generally speaking, the severe weather threat is considered low. However, isolated damaging wind gusts cannot be ruled out, especially near the coast.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 254 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Unfortunately for those sick of the rain, the pattern appears to remain unsettle through week's end. Residual moisture from the current system may still be with us on Thursday, bringing a chance of locally heavy showers and thunderstorms. Increased mid/upper ridging may attempt to bring drier conditions to the CWA on Friday and Saturday. Fri-Sat PoPs are much lower across our northern counties. However, we opted to keep 30-50 PoPs across the southern CWA since the global models don't think the ridging will be sufficient to eliminate shower/thunderstorm activity.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 254 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Unfortunately for those sick of the rain, the pattern appears to remain unsettle through week's end. Residual moisture from the current system may still be with us on Thursday, bringing a chance of locally heavy showers and thunderstorms. Increased mid/upper ridging may attempt to bring drier conditions to the CWA on Friday and Saturday. Fri-Sat PoPs are much lower across our northern counties. However, we opted to keep 30-50 PoPs across the southern CWA since the global models don't think the ridging will be sufficient to eliminate shower/thunderstorm activity.

AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast ahead is challenging to say the least, and though I'd love a perfect TAF, I suspect amendments lie in the future.
Broadly speaking, however, confidence is fairly high in an increasingly rainy pattern as a tropical airmass moves in, associated with area being monitored in the southern Gulf/Bay of Campeche. Should be mostly showers, but can't rule out thunder this afternoon, so have some TEMPOs for that possibility. Coverage of showers is isolated to scattered this morning, and should become more numerous to widespread with time. CIG/VSBY generally VFR, but could see VSBY restrictions in heavier rain, and some MVFR CIGs later tonight as tropical moisture surges in.

MARINE
Issued at 254 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will bring unsettled weather to the Gulf waters through much of this week. Look for increasing winds, seas, and water levels across the upper Texas coastal waters over the next few days. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to begin today and last through much of the week. The chance of gale force winds, at least in gusts, is increasing for the Tuesday to Wednesday time frame. Seas offshore are expected to easily exceed 10 feet and could potentially approach 15 feet. Mariners should closely monitor the forecasts.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Ongoing river flooding persists for a few sites along the Trinity River. The Trinity River near Liberty continues to gradually rise in moderate flood stage and may crest into major flood stage later this week. The Trinity River at Riverside crested in moderate flood stage, but will take a while to recede. The Trinity River at Moss Bluff continues on a slow and gradual climb in minor flood stage.
The current forecasts do not take into account the upcoming rainfall event later this week.

We are continuing to monitor an area of disturbed weather currently over the Yucatan Peninsula that is expected to become a broad surface low in the Bay of Campeche (southwestern Gulf of Mexico)
over the next few days. This low would then have the potential to become a tropical depression by midweek as it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT, the deeper tropical moisture from this system will bring periods of moderate to heavy rainfall for portions of Southeast Texas (mainly areas near and south of I-10). Tuesday into Wednesday in particular look to be the main days with heavy rainfall potential. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to localized instances of street flooding in some areas. Forecast uncertainty remains rather high though, but for now we're continuing with the messaging of 5-8" of rainfall near and south of US-59/I-69 and 2-4" north of US-59/I-69. That total rainfall forecast is over a four day period from Monday-Thursday.
New river flooding will be possible as early as Tuesday. We'll also be monitoring for the potential for flooding along area creeks and bayous as well. With there being general consensus for the higher end of the rainfall amounts occuring near/along the coast, this will be beneficial rainfall for drought stricken areas (mainly those near Matagorda Bay).

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/).

Batiste

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 91 75 89 74 / 50 10 30 30 Houston (IAH) 89 76 85 74 / 70 30 70 70 Galveston (GLS) 87 80 85 78 / 80 50 80 80

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Watch from late tonight through late Wednesday night for TXZ214-313-335>338-436>439.

High Rip Current Risk from 10 AM CDT this morning through Tuesday morning for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 10 mi53 minE 12G13 86°F 87°F29.87
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 10 mi53 minE 11G16 87°F 88°F29.87
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 15 mi53 minSSE 1.9G5.1 89°F 29.85
GRRT2 20 mi53 minE 8G14 86°F 87°F29.85
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 23 mi53 minESE 17G19 85°F 88°F29.85
GTOT2 23 mi53 minSE 9.9G16 87°F 89°F29.85
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 30 mi53 minE 15G21 84°F 92°F29.89
LUIT2 34 mi53 minESE 13G18 87°F 89°F29.86
HIST2 36 mi53 minE 13G17 80°F 93°F29.88
KGVW 41 mi18 minESE 11 84°F 77°F
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 42 mi43 minE 14G18 87°F29.88
FPST2 45 mi53 minESE 15G17 86°F 87°F29.83


Wind History for Eagle Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEFD ELLINGTON,TX 6 sm59 minE 14G229 smPartly Cloudy90°F75°F63%29.86
KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX 9 sm60 minSE 1110 smA Few Clouds90°F73°F59%29.88
KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX 13 sm60 minESE 1210 smPartly Cloudy Lt Rain 90°F77°F67%29.86
KAXH HOUSTONSOUTHWEST,TX 22 sm18 minESE 0810 smMostly Cloudy90°F77°F67%29.88
KGLS SCHOLES INTL AT GALVESTON,TX 23 sm61 minESE 1210 smClear90°F79°F71%29.88
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Wind History graph: EFD
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Tide / Current for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
   
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Clear Lake
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Mon -- 02:07 AM CDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:57 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:46 AM CDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:27 PM CDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:29 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:06 PM CDT     0.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0
1
am
-0
2
am
-0.1
3
am
-0.1
4
am
0
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.5
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.6
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.1


Tide / Current for Bolivar Roads, Texas Current
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Bolivar Roads
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Mon -- 02:56 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:22 AM CDT     1.84 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:22 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     -2.06 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:46 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
12
am
0.3
1
am
1.1
2
am
1.6
3
am
1.8
4
am
1.8
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.2
7
am
0.8
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.1
10
am
-0.2
11
am
-0.4
12
pm
-0.4
1
pm
-0.5
2
pm
-0.6
3
pm
-0.8
4
pm
-1.1
5
pm
-1.5
6
pm
-1.9
7
pm
-2.1
8
pm
-2
9
pm
-1.8
10
pm
-1.3
11
pm
-0.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Houston/Galveston, TX,




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