Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Taylor Lake Village, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 6:19PM Thursday February 27, 2020 7:08 AM CST (13:08 UTC) Moonrise 9:13AMMoonset 9:56PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Expires:202002272230;;165941 Fzus54 Khgx 270936 Cwfhgx Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Houston/galveston Tx 336 Am Cst Thu Feb 27 2020 Upper Texas Coastal Waters From High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 10 Percent Of The Waves. Gmz330-335-272230- Matagorda Bay-galveston Bay- 336 Am Cst Thu Feb 27 2020
.low water advisory in effect until 8 am cst this morning...
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Tonight..South winds around 5 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Bay waters smooth.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon.
Saturday night and Sunday..South winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 336 Am Cst Thu Feb 27 2020
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Low water levels will linger in the bays this morning, but gradual recovery is expected thereafter. High pressure over south texas will drift eastward into the upper texas coastal waters today. Onshore winds. Onshore winds will resume Saturday, with increasing speeds and building seas expected into early next week. We will Monitor the potential for possible sea fog development early next week, but at this time wind speeds appear to be a limiting factor.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylor Lake Village, TX
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location: 29.56, -95.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 271000 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 400 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2020

SHORT TERM [Through Friday].

With a dry northwest flow aloft and surface high pressure over south Tx drifting eastward into the upper Tx coastal waters, look for clear skies thru the period. Overnight lows in the 30s will rebound to near 60 today . and around 70 Friday. 47

LONG TERM [Friday night through Thursday].

A northwest upper flow pattern backing more zonal through the weekend, in tandem with regional surface high pressure centered off to the east, will ensure a very dry and pleasant start to the weekend. The mainly clear Leap Day (Saturday) will begin cool with inland low to middle 40s / coastal lower to middle 50s and will warm into the interior middle 70s / coastal upper 60s as onshore flow returns through the day.

Early March will begin much more warm and humid as southerlies strengthen and increase PW's into the 1.30 inch range through Tuesday (above the 75th percentile for early March). Partly becoming mostly cloudy early week days with slight precipitation chances for streamer showers on Monday. Very stout southerlies in the 10 to 20 mph range will be what enhances a warm/moist air advection regime as mid layer southwesterly winds downstream of an approaching U.S. Southwest trough push 850mb temperatures back up in the lower to middle teens (deg C). Hence, much warmer early day conditions with minimum temperatures in the lower to middle 60s . days warming well into the middle to upper 70s.

Models still show a deep upper trough entering the state late Tuesday and then lifting up and over northeast state early Wednesday. The deepness of this trough is projected to produce a split jet feature over East Texas overnight Wednesday morning. The best upper level dynamics and lower level frontogenesis will occur during the overnight hours Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. While shortwave energy riding up and over eastern Texas Tuesday afternoon generates periods of rain and possible isolated (elevated) thunder, the best chance for the strongest weather/highest QPF will be focused over the northern half of the CWA Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The front will sweep through early Wednesday and clear any lingering light rain and cloud cover out to the east mid to late Wednesday morning. Mainly clear skies under westerlies Wednesday afternoon as the day warms from the 50s to the 70s. A reinforcing dry cold front on Thursday will veer winds more northwesterly and strengthen them while advecting in a much drier air mass (sub 0.20 inch pwats). As of now, late work week humidities are progged to be very low as dew points plunge into the lower 20s by Friday morning. The cold air advection will not be as strong as this dry air intrusion but still strong enough to regulate a mostly sunny Thursday afternoon's maximum warmth to the middle to upper 60s. 31

MARINE. Will extend the low water advisory until 8am for the bays (mainly the northern peripheries) . which should cover the next low tide cycle. Look for gradual recovery thereafter. Will also maintain the caution wording in the Gulf for a few more hours with ongoing 15- 20kt north winds. Speeds should continue diminishing thru the day. Surface high pressure will move eastward and into the upper Tx coastal waters today . eventually exiting to the east on Saturday. Onshore winds will then resume. A lengthening fetch of moderate to strong sse winds and building seas are then expected into early next week. A combo of caution/advsy flags is possible as early as Sunday. Dependent on conditions at the time, we'll also be on the lookout for possible sea fog development Mon/Tue but wind speeds appear to be a limiting factor. The next wx system & associated cold front is penciled in for Tue night. 47

AVIATION. VFR. 47

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. College Station (CLL) 59 35 70 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 57 37 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 55 46 65 54 68 / 0 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. TX . NONE. GM . Low Water Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for the following zones: Galveston Bay . Matagorda Bay.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 6 AM CST early this morning for the following zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.



Short/Marine/Aviation . 47 Long . 31


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 10 mi51 min N 4.1 G 4.1 42°F 57°F1030.4 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 10 mi51 min WNW 2.9 G 4.1 42°F 54°F1029.9 hPa
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 15 mi57 min WNW 1.9 G 1.9 39°F 60°F1030 hPa
GRRT2 20 mi51 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 41°F 53°F1030.2 hPa
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 23 mi57 min NNE 5.1 G 7 44°F 56°F1029.2 hPa
GTOT2 23 mi51 min 56°F
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 30 mi51 min NNE 6 G 7 41°F 45°F1030.5 hPa
LUIT2 34 mi51 min WNW 7 G 8 42°F 56°F1031.8 hPa
HIST2 36 mi57 min NNW 2.9 G 2.9 36°F 55°F1030.1 hPa
KXIH 39 mi34 min N 6 G 12 46°F 23°F
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 42 mi29 min 7.8 G 14 1031.2 hPa
FCGT2 - 8772447 - USCG Freeport, TX 44 mi51 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 41°F 59°F1031 hPa
FPST2 45 mi51 min NW 6 G 6 42°F 64°F1030.3 hPa

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houston / Ellington, TX7 mi79 minN 010.00 miFair34°F28°F81%1030.1 hPa
Houston, Pearland Regional Airport, TX10 mi16 minN 010.00 miFair34°F28°F79%1031.3 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX13 mi16 minN 010.00 miFair37°F27°F67%1031.2 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX22 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair29°F28°F99%1031.2 hPa
Galveston, Scholes Field, TX23 mi17 minN 010.00 miFair43°F27°F53%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEFD

Wind History from EFD (wind in knots)
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NW10N12NW8NW7N7N7N6N5N4N3CalmCalm
1 day agoN6N6N5CalmNW3NW7N4N5W3W3NW11NW13NW1317N14N13
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SW9SW4CalmW5W4W9W9W5W6W4W4W4W3SW4SW4CalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalm--

Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:34 AM CST     0.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM CST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:48 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:12 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:31 PM CST     0.37 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:43 PM CST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:56 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.20.10.1000.10.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.10.10000.10.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Bolivar Roads, Texas Current
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Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:47 AM CST     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:21 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:47 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:33 AM CST     0.53 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:11 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:37 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:36 PM CST     -0.44 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:14 PM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:16 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:47 PM CST     0.54 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:19 PM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:55 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-1.1-1.2-1-0.6-0.20.30.50.50.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.50.50.40.1-0.2-0.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Houston/Galveston, TX (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Houston/Galveston, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.