Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cross City, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:32PM Thursday December 12, 2019 8:53 AM EST (13:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:13PMMoonset 7:36AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Expires:201912122015;;225259 Fzus52 Ktae 120713 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 213 Am Est Thu Dec 12 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-765-122015- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 213 Am Est Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of rain.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers likely after midnight.
Friday..East winds 10 knots becoming south 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Rain showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots early in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely through the night.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Saturday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters smooth.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..South winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 213 Am Est Thu Dec 12 2019
Synopsis.. Strong northeasterly winds will continue today as strong high pressure remains in place along the eastern seaboard. Conditions should improve by Friday into Saturday as weak low pressure develops over the gulf and the gradient weakens. A small craft advisory will remain in place into today into tonight. Increasing onshore flow will return by late in the weekend ahead of the next cold front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cross City, FL
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location: 29.58, -83.25     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 121129 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 629 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019

. A WET AND CHILLY DAY IS IN STORE WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS .

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Friday]

Cigs will lower from VFR to MVFR 14-18Z as RA overspreads the TAF sites. High enough confidence in thunder to include VCTS at ABY and DHN 17-05Z. Cigs lower to IFR after 00Z all sites, as RA ends at TLH and VLD, where confidence is highest in LIFR cigs/vsbys late tonight. Northeast winds will maintain around 10 to 15 knots through the TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION [239 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Today].

An overrunning regime will remain in place as a mid-level shortwave approaches from the west, and a warm front develops over the gulf waters. Expect precipitation to expand northwest across the area through the day, while a drying trend takes place across the south- east FL Big Bend. Elevated instability will favor a slight chance of thunder, which will also lead to some heavier downpours, but no strong storms. Factoring in the precipitation, temperatures in the mid 50s, and northeast wind gusting to 20 mph at times, it will feel raw out there! Bundle up and stay dry.

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday].

Surface low pressure will take shape over the northern Gulf of Mexico overnight tonight ahead of a progressive upper trough. As the low pressure develops, isentropic lift will increase with rain chances increasing overnight into Friday. A warm front will lift northward Friday ahead of the low track which will move northeast through the area Friday afternoon and evening. Instability will increase along and south of the front, and coupled with adequate shear, could lead to strong to isolated severe thunderstorm development. SPC has outlooked the eastern third of the CWA in a marginal risk, citing isolated damaging wind gusts with organized storms and perhaps an isolated tornado. The severe threat, as well as precipitation, will decrease from west to east overnight Friday night into Saturday morning.

LONG TERM [Saturday Night Through Thursday].

The latter half of the weekend will be dry with seasonal temperatures as the southeast US will reside between frontal systems. The next front arrives Monday night and Tuesday with another round of rainfall. Cooler temperatures will move in behind the front with highs Wednesday in the low to mid 50s.

MARINE.

Strong northeasterly winds will continue today as strong high pressure remains in place along the eastern seaboard. Conditions should improve by Friday into Saturday as weak low pressure develops over the Gulf and the gradient weakens. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in place into today into tonight. Increasing onshore flow will return by late in the weekend ahead of the next cold front.

FIRE WEATHER.

A wet pattern will remain in place through the first half of the weekend. Low dispersions are likely to persist today around and south of the I-10 corridor. Low dispersions are likely on Friday across the area. Otherwise, hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected.

HYDROLOGY.

A wet pattern is in store for the Tri-State region through Saturday. Generally, 1-2 inches of rainfall is expected. The area remains in drought conditions and this rainfall will be beneficial and not cause any flooding or river flooding concerns.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 62 51 68 54 70 / 50 70 80 50 20 Panama City 61 52 69 56 68 / 50 80 80 50 20 Dothan 54 46 61 51 65 / 60 80 70 50 20 Albany 55 47 61 52 65 / 60 80 80 60 20 Valdosta 62 52 66 55 68 / 50 70 80 60 20 Cross City 71 58 72 58 73 / 20 50 70 60 30 Apalachicola 63 56 69 57 68 / 40 70 80 60 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Franklin.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Friday for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . LF SHORT TERM . Scholl LONG TERM . Scholl AVIATION . LF MARINE . Scholl FIRE WEATHER . LF HYDROLOGY . Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 25 mi53 min ENE 17 G 22 50°F 1027.4 hPa (+1.1)45°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 33 mi53 min NE 14 G 19 59°F 1026.3 hPa (+1.3)52°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 64 mi119 min NE 8 G 17 50°F 1027.5 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL8 mi78 minNE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F46°F74%1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCTY

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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S8--SW4SW3S3SW4SW3S4CalmS3S4NW4N10N9N11N12
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2 days agoS7S8S14
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Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 12:40 AM EST     3.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:03 AM EST     -0.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:29 PM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:49 PM EST     1.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.22.92.31.60.7-0-0.5-0.7-0.500.91.82.52.92.92.62.11.61.21.11.31.82.5

Tide / Current Tables for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 12:45 AM EST     3.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:36 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:08 AM EST     -0.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:34 PM EST     3.02 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:54 PM EST     1.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.232.41.70.80.1-0.5-0.7-0.6-00.81.72.5332.72.21.61.21.11.31.82.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.