Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marineland, FL
May 17, 2024 6:47 PM EDT (22:47 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:29 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 2:06 PM Moonset 2:14 AM |
AMZ454 Expires:202405180715;;377831 Fzus52 Kjax 171807 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 207 pm edt Fri may 17 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-180715- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 207 pm edt Fri may 17 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Sunday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: north 2 feet at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Monday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Monday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. A slight chance of showers through the day. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 207 pm edt Fri may 17 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-180715- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 207 pm edt Fri may 17 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 207 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis -
weak high pressure will linger today before a weak area of low pressure lifts to the north tonight, dragging a warm into the waters from the west. A slow moving cold front trailing the low will gradually push across the water late Saturday through Sunday, renewing chances for Thunderstorms. Winds will turn northerly as high pressure Wedges against a low pressure situated northeast of the waters early next week. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 16, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 82 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 97 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
weak high pressure will linger today before a weak area of low pressure lifts to the north tonight, dragging a warm into the waters from the west. A slow moving cold front trailing the low will gradually push across the water late Saturday through Sunday, renewing chances for Thunderstorms. Winds will turn northerly as high pressure Wedges against a low pressure situated northeast of the waters early next week. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 16, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 82 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 97 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 171852 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 252 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Another round of thunderstorms will impact the area this evening, primarily north of I-10. Convective models had a hard time pin- pointing the timing, but as of now it looks like storms will be entering the interior SE GA counties around 7-8pm, with things fizzling out just after midnight. With the sun peaking out of the clouds, enough instability will allow for strong to severe thunderstorms this evening, with the primary hazards being damaging winds and hail, but an isolated tornado and heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out.
Heavy cloud cover and southerly flow overnight will keep mild lows in the lower 70s. Patchy fog will be possible over north central Florida early Saturday morning given calm winds and increased moisture.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
A frontal boundary will be just to our north Saturday morning while a trough of low pressure aloft moving over the region. CAM models suggest a organized cluster of storms will moving west to east from AL, FL panhandle, and south GA, but differ substantially on the timing. The HRRR brings in convection fairly early during the day but in general the HRRR suggests more of a midday arrival.
There is more than sufficient instability available and 0-6 km shear generally in the 40-50 kt range. The convection, if it develops earlier in the day, may allow for a quieter afternoon as the airmass will be overturned from the convection. Overall confidence is low to moderate on the timing. There is a risk of some of these storms to become severe given the combination of shear and instability. We can't rule out an isolated tornado threat.
Further south away from the front, southwest winds will be gusty at 15G25mph. Max temps could top out in the lower 90s over areas of northeast FL with resultant heat indices near 100. The front looks to bisect the forecast area Saturday evening from southwest to northeast then continue to sag southward as mid level troughing digs southeast into the region. This will continue to support elevated rain chances Saturday night.
Sunday, the front looks positioned over parts of northeast FL with scattered to numerous showers and storms still possible, as upper level vort lobe swings over the area. We continued high POPs still at about 60-70 percent, which may be a little generous. Chance of showers and a few storms lingers as a surface trough/reinforcing front pushes through from north to south.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
A relatively benign weather pattern looks in store for most of this period with mainly dry post-frontal airmass dominating.
There may be a few lingering showers or a storm southern most areas Monday before the front clears the area to the south. The nose of sfc high pressure then expected to persist across the Carolinas and GA before moving over our forecast area Wed and Thu. Another cold frontal boundary will then move into the southeast states, possibly into north GA by Thursday. Will have some low POPs for southern zones on Monday but at most 10-20 percent chances rest of the period. The cooler airmass immediately behind the front Mon and Tue and the northeast low level flow will let highs be in the 80s, with about 80 or so at the coast due to northeast winds. However, temps ramp up again Wed and Thu to upper 80s and lower 90s as high pressure will be over the area and upper level ridge will near us. For now on Friday, just slight rain chacnes with peristent warming temps in the lower to mid 90s, with the weak cold front likely remaining to the north still.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
VFR conditions should persist through the evening for all of the TAF sites, with remaining rain chances for SSI later this evening.
Tonight around 08-09Z, MVFR ceilings will move in from the west impacting the inland sites, confidence was too low to extend those MVFR cigs to the coastal sites (SSI, SGJ, CRG). Tomorrow, vicinity thunderstorms have been placed in the SSI TAF beginning at 16Z, however storms will likely impact the Duval sites after this TAF period.
MARINE
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
Weak high pressure will linger rest of today before a weak area of low pressure lifts to the north tonight. A warm front will push north over the area waters. A slow moving cold front trailing the low will gradually push across the water late Saturday through Sunday, renewing chances for thunderstorms. Winds will turn northerly as high pressure wedges against a low pressure situated northeast of the waters early next week. At this time, confidence in any small craft advisory is low from northerly flow. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents: Low surf and weak winds will keep a low risk of rip currents at area beaches.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 73 87 68 85 / 70 80 70 70 SSI 73 88 70 85 / 40 60 80 70 JAX 73 92 70 87 / 20 40 70 70 SGJ 73 94 70 87 / 10 30 70 80 GNV 71 91 69 86 / 0 40 70 80 OCF 73 92 71 85 / 0 30 60 80
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 252 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Another round of thunderstorms will impact the area this evening, primarily north of I-10. Convective models had a hard time pin- pointing the timing, but as of now it looks like storms will be entering the interior SE GA counties around 7-8pm, with things fizzling out just after midnight. With the sun peaking out of the clouds, enough instability will allow for strong to severe thunderstorms this evening, with the primary hazards being damaging winds and hail, but an isolated tornado and heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out.
Heavy cloud cover and southerly flow overnight will keep mild lows in the lower 70s. Patchy fog will be possible over north central Florida early Saturday morning given calm winds and increased moisture.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
A frontal boundary will be just to our north Saturday morning while a trough of low pressure aloft moving over the region. CAM models suggest a organized cluster of storms will moving west to east from AL, FL panhandle, and south GA, but differ substantially on the timing. The HRRR brings in convection fairly early during the day but in general the HRRR suggests more of a midday arrival.
There is more than sufficient instability available and 0-6 km shear generally in the 40-50 kt range. The convection, if it develops earlier in the day, may allow for a quieter afternoon as the airmass will be overturned from the convection. Overall confidence is low to moderate on the timing. There is a risk of some of these storms to become severe given the combination of shear and instability. We can't rule out an isolated tornado threat.
Further south away from the front, southwest winds will be gusty at 15G25mph. Max temps could top out in the lower 90s over areas of northeast FL with resultant heat indices near 100. The front looks to bisect the forecast area Saturday evening from southwest to northeast then continue to sag southward as mid level troughing digs southeast into the region. This will continue to support elevated rain chances Saturday night.
Sunday, the front looks positioned over parts of northeast FL with scattered to numerous showers and storms still possible, as upper level vort lobe swings over the area. We continued high POPs still at about 60-70 percent, which may be a little generous. Chance of showers and a few storms lingers as a surface trough/reinforcing front pushes through from north to south.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
A relatively benign weather pattern looks in store for most of this period with mainly dry post-frontal airmass dominating.
There may be a few lingering showers or a storm southern most areas Monday before the front clears the area to the south. The nose of sfc high pressure then expected to persist across the Carolinas and GA before moving over our forecast area Wed and Thu. Another cold frontal boundary will then move into the southeast states, possibly into north GA by Thursday. Will have some low POPs for southern zones on Monday but at most 10-20 percent chances rest of the period. The cooler airmass immediately behind the front Mon and Tue and the northeast low level flow will let highs be in the 80s, with about 80 or so at the coast due to northeast winds. However, temps ramp up again Wed and Thu to upper 80s and lower 90s as high pressure will be over the area and upper level ridge will near us. For now on Friday, just slight rain chacnes with peristent warming temps in the lower to mid 90s, with the weak cold front likely remaining to the north still.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
VFR conditions should persist through the evening for all of the TAF sites, with remaining rain chances for SSI later this evening.
Tonight around 08-09Z, MVFR ceilings will move in from the west impacting the inland sites, confidence was too low to extend those MVFR cigs to the coastal sites (SSI, SGJ, CRG). Tomorrow, vicinity thunderstorms have been placed in the SSI TAF beginning at 16Z, however storms will likely impact the Duval sites after this TAF period.
MARINE
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024
Weak high pressure will linger rest of today before a weak area of low pressure lifts to the north tonight. A warm front will push north over the area waters. A slow moving cold front trailing the low will gradually push across the water late Saturday through Sunday, renewing chances for thunderstorms. Winds will turn northerly as high pressure wedges against a low pressure situated northeast of the waters early next week. At this time, confidence in any small craft advisory is low from northerly flow. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents: Low surf and weak winds will keep a low risk of rip currents at area beaches.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 73 87 68 85 / 70 80 70 70 SSI 73 88 70 85 / 40 60 80 70 JAX 73 92 70 87 / 20 40 70 70 SGJ 73 94 70 87 / 10 30 70 80 GNV 71 91 69 86 / 0 40 70 80 OCF 73 92 71 85 / 0 30 60 80
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KFIN FLAGLER EXECUTIVE,FL | 11 sm | 57 min | NW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 86°F | 68°F | 55% | 29.90 | |
| KOMN ORMOND BEACH MUNI,FL | 23 sm | 57 min | NNE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 86°F | 72°F | 62% | 29.89 | |
| KSGJ NORTHEAST FLORIDA RGNL,FL | 24 sm | 51 min | E 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 72°F | 74% | 29.91 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida, Tide feet
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fort Matanzas, Matanzas River, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet
Jacksonville, FL,
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