Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 12:26 PM   Moonset 1:25 AM

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GMZ765 Expires:202405160815;;268474 Fzus52 Ktae 151957 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 357 pm edt Wed may 15 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-160815- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 357 pm edt Wed may 15 2024 /257 pm cdt Wed may 15 2024/
Tonight - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Thursday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 4 seconds and south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning. Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds and south 3 feet at 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Saturday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Sunday - West winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 357 Pm Edt Wed May 15 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure will pass across the waters on Thursday. Southerly breezes will start to increase on Friday, and a cluster of strong to severe storms will pass the waters on Saturday, all in advance of the next weak frontal passage on Sunday. High pressure will pass across the waters on Monday.

FXUS62 KTAE 152000 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 400 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

NEAR TERM
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Dry and benign conditions are expected through tomorrow now that we're post-frontal. Mostly clear skies are expected tomorrow. Expect daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Thursday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

The next round of severe weather is possible Friday into Saturday and SPC shows a marginal risk for portions of the area at this time.
The main threat looks to be Friday night into Saturday, with one or more complexes of storms moving through the region. Damaging winds appear to be the main threat, but tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
There are still a lot of timing differences to be ironed out, so please stay tuned, and weather aware if you have outdoor/travel plans.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Tuesday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

The front will be making its passage Sunday, clearing out the remaining showers, with thunderstorms possible across eastern areas. This will make way for upper level ridging to build and finally clear out the clouds and rain for the remainder of the long term period.

Temperatures will remain warm to around 90 for the afternoon highs, and overnight lows will be in the upper 60s. Rain chances are low for the long term. We could expect afternoon seabreeze convection yet PoPs are generally less than 15%.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the TAF period.
Gusty winds this afternoon settle by sunset this evening.

MARINE
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

High pressure will pass across the waters on Thursday. Southerly breezes will start to increase on Friday, and a cluster of strong to severe storms will pass the waters on Saturday, all in advance of the next weak frontal passage on Sunday. High pressure will pass across the waters on Monday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Dry weather is expected to prevail into Thursday, with the main fire weather concern being high dispersions. Come Friday, another change in the weather pattern is forecast with showers and thunderstorms expected late Friday into the weekend. Given the recent wetting rains that have occurred over the last few days, and once again this upcoming weekend, there are currently no fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 301 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

The Withlacoochee River (Valdosta Skipper Bridge) is expected to go into minor flood. The Ochlockonee River (Concord) may approach flood stage.

The next round of showers and thunderstorms has the WPC highlighting the region in a Slight (2 of 4) Risk for excessive rainfall for Friday into Saturday in our northwestern counties, and a Marginal risk for the rest of the CWA Through the weekend, a forecast of 2-3" is possible with isolated higher amounts.
Potential flash flooding will be possible, and we will monitor for ongoing and future riverine flooding.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 89 66 91 68 / 10 0 0 0 Panama City 84 69 86 72 / 0 0 0 10 Dothan 86 63 88 68 / 0 0 0 10 Albany 86 63 88 67 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 87 65 88 67 / 10 0 0 0 Cross City 84 67 88 66 / 70 0 0 0 Apalachicola 84 71 85 73 / 20 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Steinhatchee River ent.
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:43 AM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 09:41 AM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:13 PM EDT     1.89 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:21 PM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 09:36 AM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:08 PM EDT     1.89 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:16 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pepperfish Keys, Florida, Tide feet

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