Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Apalachicola, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 4:44PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 1:23 PM CST (19:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:30PMMoonset 6:42AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ752 Expires:201912112230;;194489 Fzus52 Ktae 111525 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 1025 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz750-752-755-770-772-775-112230- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1025 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019 /925 Am Cst Wed Dec 11 2019/
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Rest of today..Northeast winds 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters rough. Chance of showers.
Tonight..Northeast winds 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters rough. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Rain showers likely in the evening, then showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Rain showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 knots in the late evening. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Saturday..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1025 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis.. Strong northeasterly winds and small craft advisory conditions will continue through the early morning hours on Friday. Isolated gale force gusts are possible across the waters west of mexico beach and beyond 20 nautical miles Wednesday evening. Seas will generally increase to 5-8 feet as the stronger 20-25 knot winds pick up across the waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Apalachicola, FL
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location: 29.71, -84.98     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 111815 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 115 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Thursday] High clouds and light rain will continue to stream across the area through the evening hours. However, minimal impacts to aviation are expected with good visibility and high cigs. Cigs are expected to begin lowering before midday on Thursday, but VFR conditions are still expected to prevail.

PREV DISCUSSION [1052 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Today]. Shallow cold air mass has moved into the area this morning, with temperatures holding in the 40s to lower 50s. Deep southwesterly flow just above the surface is overrunning the cold air and producing showers across the Panhandle into southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia. The showers should continue through the afternoon before diminishing this evening when a shortwave aloft exits to the northeast. While rainfall should generally be light, have bumped up the PoPs to account for current coverage.

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday].

The main concern is a period of heavier rainfall and thunderstorm potential Friday and Friday night.

A general overrunning regime is maintained through Thursday night with considerable cloudiness and a chance of showers. It will remain cool with elevated north to northeast winds in place, and high temperatures in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

A negatively tilted shortwave trough moves through the TN Valley on Friday. Additional disorganized shortwave energy over the Gulf of Mexico will advect ahead of the greater long wave trough axis. Model solutions continue to struggle with resolving the evolution of low pressure development, in terms of location and strength, with substantial convective feedback noted in the mass fields.

Given high pressure wedged southward into the area, it appears as though a warm front initially over the Gulf of Mexico will struggle to move northward. This will be key in terms of any severe weather potential. If the warm front can lift northward through the area, an isolated severe weather threat could materialize, and this is plausible east of the Flint River and south of I-10. The main concern is the potential for an isolated damaging wind gust or a brief, weak tornado.

While confidence in severe weather is low, it's high for a period of heavy rainfall, with the potential for amounts of 1-2 inches.

LONG TERM [Saturday Night Through Wednesday].

Beyond this Friday and Saturday's system, a brief dry period through the later half of the weekend and early next week is expected ahead of the next system that will impact the area on Monday night and Tuesday. Currently, confidence is low on the impacts and rain totals expected with this system.

MARINE.

North to northeasterly winds in the wake of a cold frontal passage will remain elevated into Thursday night. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the waters east of the Ochlocknee River through Thursday morning and for the remainder of the waters into Thursday night. Isolated gale force gusts are possible across the waters west of Mexico Beach and beyond 20 nautical miles this evening. Wave heights west of the Ochlocknee River will also approach 8 feet at times. A low pressure system could lead to cautionary conditions late Friday into Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER.

Considerable cloudiness and a chance of showers over the next couple of days with below average temperatures in the wake of a cold frontal passage. Relative humidity values will drop this afternoon into the 30 to 40 percent range northwest of the Flint River and I-10. Transport winds will remain elevated out of the north to northeast around 20 knots through Thursday. This will contribute to high dispersions near the I-10 corridor this afternoon, otherwise hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected. Patchy fog is possible early this morning in the southeast Florida Big Bend.

HYDROLOGY.

Rainfall through Thursday will be light with amounts generally under one-half an inch. A period of heavier rainfall is likely Thursday night and Friday w/the potential for 1-2 inch amounts. At this time, flooding is not a concern given dry antecedent. conditions. Additional rainfall is likely during the early to middle part of next week with another cold frontal passage.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 46 62 51 67 54 / 30 30 70 80 50 Panama City 48 61 52 68 56 / 30 30 80 80 50 Dothan 43 54 46 60 50 / 20 40 80 80 50 Albany 45 56 47 60 52 / 20 50 80 80 60 Valdosta 47 62 51 65 55 / 20 30 70 80 60 Cross City 51 71 56 71 57 / 20 20 50 70 70 Apalachicola 49 63 55 68 58 / 30 20 80 80 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST Thursday for Coastal Franklin.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Friday for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . Camp SHORT TERM . LF LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . Camp MARINE . LF FIRE WEATHER . LF HYDROLOGY . LF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 1 mi53 min NNE 14 G 21 53°F 62°F1025.7 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 8 mi98 min N 20 1027 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 22 mi23 min NNE 28 G 30 56°F 1024.6 hPa (-0.5)47°F
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi53 min N 13 G 18 62°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL3 mi30 minN 1310.00 miOvercast52°F44°F75%1025.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8SE7E6CalmSE4S4SW6NW12N11N14N15
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1 day agoSW7SW4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE5S5S7S5S8SE9S7S8S9
2 days agoE13
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E9E9E7E8SE9SE6S11S10S9W8--W7SW6W7

Tide / Current Tables for Apalachicola, Apalachicola Bay, Florida
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Apalachicola
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:21 AM EST     1.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:42 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:46 AM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:19 PM EST     1.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:07 PM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.51.310.70.3-0-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.3-0.10.30.611.21.31.31.21.11.11.11.2

Tide / Current Tables for St. George Island, Sikes Cut, Florida
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St. George Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:41 AM EST     1.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:42 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:18 AM EST     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:47 PM EST     0.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:30 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:59 PM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.61.51.310.70.30-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.10.20.60.81110.90.90.90.91.11.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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