Sunday, February28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hunters Creek Village, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:21PM Sunday February 28, 2021 9:57 PM CST (03:57 UTC) Moonrise 8:02PMMoonset 7:56AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 934 Pm Cst Sun Feb 28 2021
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst Monday...
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming smooth after midnight. Areas of fog. A chance of showers late.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth becoming choppy in the afternoon. Areas of fog until late afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning. Showers likely and isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers likely until early morning. Isolated Thunderstorms. A chance of showers late.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming smooth after midnight.
Wednesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Wednesday night..South winds around 5 knots becoming north after midnight. Bay waters smooth.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth becoming slightly choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 934 Pm Cst Sun Feb 28 2021
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Conditions remain favorable for sea fog through Monday morning as high pressure east of the region keeps onshore winds through. A cold front will move through the coast and gulf waters by Monday afternoon, bringing showers and Thunderstorms through late night. Behind the front, gusty north winds are expected along with elevated seas, mainly over the offshore waters. A north to northeast flow will prevail Tuesday and Wednesday. Onshore winds will return Wednesday night and Thursday as the surface drifts east of the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hunters Creek Village, TX
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location: 29.76, -95.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 282341 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 541 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

AVIATION. Like the past several evenings, aviation conditions are starting out from IFR at the coast to VFR well inland. Look for cigs to fall fairly quickly in the 2-6z timeframe areawide and most locations should be IFR by the end of that period.

A cold front will be moving into the CLL area around 3z and continue to sag slowly southward overnight and Monday. Anticipate the boundary to be positioned along the US59-I69 corridor by sunrise and eventually southeastward and off the Galveston coastline by 20z. Look for areas of rain along and north of the front thru the period . and perhaps some shra/tstms mixed in at times. Terminals north of the metro area could see some tonight, with the more "favorable" environment for the metro terminals occurring during the day Monday. Not anticipating much improvement in overall cigs which should remain in the 500-122ft range for the majority of the day. 47

PREV DISCUSSION. /ISSUED 328 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021/ SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Tuesday Night] . Warm and humid across the region with southeast and southwest winds. Temperatures soared up into the lower 80s inland with the southwesterly flow. Tonight expect skies to become cloudy as WAA pattern is firmly entrenched ahead of the approaching cold front. The front should move through the inland areas between around 9 pm and 9 am slowing as it gets deeper into SETX. As the upper low over 4-Corners slips eastward the the cold front slows down Monday then starts to pick up speed and moves east allowing a strong Pacific ridge to settle into the area Monday night/Tuesday.

In the meantime though will have some instability to work with mainly beneath the cap (700mb temperatures at 18z over IAH were still 10C per AMDAR) but with the arrival of some cooler air aloft the showers this evening should become mixed with thunderstorms and still have a threat of a few strong thunderstorms across the north the main focus will more likely become heavy rainfall. Rainfall rates of 1-2"/hour will be possible and well within the realm of the possible to see accumulations of 2-3" across the areas from College Station to Groveton northward. Isolated heavier amounts certainly possible. As the front nears the coast Monday morning loss of the deeper instability takes place though still with an axis of lift centered over the northern counties. CAMs have split into two camps with some stronger storms focused near the front and out over the Gulf while the other focus on a band from Matagorda Bay to Lake Livingston northward through Monday evening. For now will maintain the heavy rain mentioned through noon Monday and primarily over the northern 2/3 of the area.

Sea fog lurking just offshore should spread back into the coastal areas tonight and will preemptively issue a Dense Fog Advisory for the barrier island that will probably need expanding later tonight.

The warm nights come to an end as cooler air arrives highs Monday will probably remain in the 50s to mid 60s across the region falling into the 40s inland and near 50 coast by early Tuesday morning. 45

LONG TERM [Tuesday through Sunday] . Upper-level trough finally ejects into the Middle MS Valley on Tuesday. Some lingering showers will still be possible early in the morning before upper-level subsidence leads to drier conditions by late morning. Decent CAA will take place with northwest winds and surface dewpoints dropping into the 40s. Highs will range from the mid 50s to low 60s. With skies clearing and colder air moving in, a cold night is expected with overnight lows from the upper 30s (far inland) to near 50 (coastal zones).

Surface high pressure will remain in control across the region Wednesday and Thursday with mostly clear skies and light winds. Wedenesday's high will be warmer but still near to slightly below normal for this time of year. Highs will generally be in the 60s. Surface high pressure will scoot eastward Wed night into Thursday, bringing a return of south winds. This will result in temperatures back to near seasonal normal for Thursday.

The next chance of precipitation will be possible towards the end of the week as an upper-level trough and surface front move through. Deterministic and ensemble means have trended further north/northwest with the upper-level trough; therefore, its impacts across southeast TX could be minimal. The ECMWF and Canadian suggest increasing PWAT values and bring a frontal boundary all the way to the coast by late Friday night. The GFS, on the other hand, struggles and keep the surface low somewhat weak/disorganized over central TX. Given that, have lowered PoPs and kept low-end chances Friday into late Friday night.

Ridge aloft builds in over the weekend, leaving us with pleasant weather conditions. Daytime highs will be in the 60s to low 70s. Overnight lows will be in the 40s and 50s. 05

MARINE. The primary weather hazard in the near-term continues to be sea fog. While visibility has improved at the bays, areas of dense fog persist over the nearshore waters. The environment looks favorable for dense fog to re-develop and/or expand tonight given persistent onshore flow and surface temperatures/dewpoints. With that said, have issued a Marine Dense Fog Advisory for the 0-20 nm waters through noon CST Monday. Will continue to monitor for further updates this evening, as fog may also redevelop over the bays.

A cold front will move over the coastal waters Monday afternoon, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms through late night. Behind the front, dry northwest winds will filter in, diminishing the fog threat. The fog threat decreases, but north-northwest gusty winds and elevated seas will be possible Monday night into late Tuesday. A SCA will be possible during this time-frame.

Surface high pressure develops over east/central TX Wednesday, shifting eastward by Thursday. This will result in east to southeast winds into the end of the week. An area of low pressure system develops over north/west TX Thursday into the weekend, keeping moderate northeast flow over the Gulf waters. 05

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. College Station (CLL) 52 54 43 58 37 / 70 90 80 20 0 Houston (IAH) 63 64 48 59 41 / 70 80 70 20 0 Galveston (GLS) 63 67 52 59 47 / 10 60 70 30 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. TX . Dense Fog Advisory until 7 AM CST Monday for the following zones: Brazoria Islands . Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula . Matagorda Islands.

GM . Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Monday for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM . Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 11 mi58 min S 4.1 G 7 72°F 64°F1012.4 hPa (+1.6)
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 26 mi58 min SE 6 G 8 65°F 59°F1013.3 hPa (+1.7)
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 35 mi58 min SE 6 G 7 64°F 61°F1012.8 hPa (+1.6)
GRRT2 44 mi58 min S 8 G 8.9 66°F 67°F1012.8 hPa (+1.5)
GTOT2 47 mi58 min SE 5.1 G 7 65°F 58°F1013.1 hPa (+1.6)
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 48 mi58 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 64°F 57°F1012.3 hPa (+1.5)

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
John Dunn Helistop, TX5 mi63 minSE 11 G 174.00 miFog/Mist72°F70°F94%1012.2 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX12 mi65 minSSE 107.00 miOvercast73°F69°F87%1013.1 hPa
Houston, Sugar Land Municipal / Hull Field Airport, TX14 mi65 minSSE 810.00 miOvercast75°F70°F84%1012.3 hPa
Houston Intercontinental Airport, TX16 mi65 minSSE 117.00 miOvercast74°F69°F85%1012.4 hPa
Houston / Ellington, TX18 mi68 minSSE 96.00 miFog/Mist72°F70°F94%1012.9 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX18 mi63 minSSE 45.00 miFog/Mist71°F70°F96%1013.2 hPa
Houston, Pearland Regional Airport, TX20 mi65 minSSE 66.00 miFog/Mist72°F69°F91%1013.3 hPa
Houston, Hooks Memorial Airport, TX22 mi65 minSSE 39.00 miOvercast73°F68°F84%1012.2 hPa
Houston Executive Airport, TX23 mi63 minSSE 76.00 miFog/Mist73°F72°F94%0 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCJ

Wind History from MCJ (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
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Lynchburg Landing
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:33 AM CST     0.80 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:13 AM CST     1.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM CST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:00 PM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:51 PM CST     1.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.1110.90.80.80.9111.11.110.80.70.50.40.30.30.40.60.80.91.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:54 AM CST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:10 AM CST     0.54 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM CST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:00 PM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:58 PM CST     0.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.40.40.30.20.20.20.30.40.50.50.50.40.20-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.30.4

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