Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 7:37 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 9:32 AM

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GMZ534 Lake Borgne- 847 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 29 2024
.gale warning in effect until 1 am cdt Tuesday - .
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 feet. Showers with Thunderstorms likely early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Tuesday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves around 2 feet. Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Friday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 847 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 29 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
after this system moves through today, the rest of the week should be relatively benign with light onshore flow.

FXUS64 KLIX 292317 AAA AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service New Orleans LA 617 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

NEW AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A line of storms moved through our area this afternoon, and a wake low developed on the backside. As a result, short-term enhanced winds 25-35mph with frequent gusts up to 40-45mph are possible through 1AM CT. These enhanced winds will subside when the low moves eastward out of our area late tonight into tomorrow morning. A wind advisory is in effect for the entire land area as this enhanced low pressure moves eastward. Secure any tents and loose items and be cautious if driving on elevated roadways.

Additionally, coastal flooding is ongoing for the MS sound areas with high tide expected in the next couple of hours. A coastal flood advisory is in effect until 7PM this evening. As winds shift westerly tonight, the impacts will subside and tomorrow's high tide is forecast to be around 3ft, which should not have impacts, based on local thresholds. We do not expect coastal flooding issues to continue beyond tonight.

Tomorrow morning through Wednesday morning, westerly shifting to southerly winds will help to keep humidity a little lower for the morning hours, but reintroduce moisture for the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures tomorrow will be in the low to mid 80s with lows in the mid 60s. Looking at the models, rain is not expected tomorrow. MSW

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Sunday night)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Generally in the long term forecast, conditions will be fairly dry Wednesday through the end of the week as several shortwave systems approach central Louisiana before being pulled back northwestward before reaching our area. There is a system at the end of the week on Friday, which could bring some rainfall to our area, but it would mostly be for our northern areas. The details surrounding this system, like amounts and strength, are still very uncertain and it may slide north of our area completely. We will be monitoring for changes as these systems develop over the next week. MSW

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Any residual SHRA/TS activity will continue to move east and southeast away from our terminals. Low stratus will begin to develop or persist into the evening and overnight hours limiting CIGs to MVFR generally across the board. By sunrise or perhaps a bit before VIS issues become a problem for terminals along and north of the I10/12 corridor (Although HUM and MSY will also have the potential for lower VIS). IFR conditions cannot be ruled out with the low stratus and/or fog Tuesday morning. This will lift pretty quickly after sunrise leading to VFR conditions and rather light and variable winds on Tuesday. (Frye)

MARINE
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

As the line of storms moved through this afternoon, a wake low developed and is moving across our area. As a result, short term enhanced winds are expected through 1AM CT tonight. Generally, southeast winds 35-45kts with locally higher gusts are possible and a Gale Warning has been issued for all of our marine areas.
Once the higher winds have subsided, westerly winds and moderate winds (10-15kts) will prevail Tuesday. Southeasterly moderate (10-15kts) winds and benign marine conditions will be in place for the rest of the forecast period. MSW

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 61 84 61 86 / 40 0 0 20 BTR 66 87 67 89 / 30 10 0 30 ASD 64 86 65 86 / 60 10 0 10 MSY 67 85 70 85 / 50 10 0 20 GPT 65 84 66 84 / 80 10 0 10 PQL 65 86 63 88 / 80 20 0 0

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for LAZ034>037-039-046>048- 056>060-064>071-076>090.

Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ070- 076-078.

GM...Gale Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ530-532-534-536-538- 550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for MSZ068>071-077-083>088.

Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ086- 087.

GM...Gale Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ532-534-536-538-550- 552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

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Paris Road Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:31 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:18 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:54 AM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:07 PM CDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:36 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Paris Road Bridge, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet

Shell Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:56 AM CDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:30 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:20 PM CDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:34 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Beach, Lake Borgne, Louisiana, Tide feet

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