Thursday, August13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 8:21PM Thursday August 13, 2020 3:36 AM EDT (07:36 UTC) Moonrise 12:49AMMoonset 2:57PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:202008131915;;372069 Fzus52 Ktae 130630 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 230 Am Edt Thu Aug 13 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-131915- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 230 Am Edt Thu Aug 13 2020 /130 Am Cdt Thu Aug 13 2020/
Today..Light and variable winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 230 Am Edt Thu Aug 13 2020
Synopsis.. The active period of isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms is expected to continue for our coastal waters, especially in the morning hours. Overall, winds outside shower and Thunderstorm activity will generally remain below 10 knots, and seas will remain calm at around 1-2 feet through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 130520 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 120 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Friday]

VFR will prevail through the TAF away from showers and thunderstorms. Expect storms to be most likely across SE AL and SW GA (DHN/ABY/VLD) late this afternoon, with a more widely scattered nature elsewhere.

PREV DISCUSSION [926 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Thursday].

Convection is off to a much slower start compared to yesterday afternoon, likely due to less upper level support. However, with daytime heating and precipitable water values close to 2 inches, we still expect scattered thunderstorms to develop inland through the remainder of the afternoon. Storms have also developed along the sea breeze boundary close to the coast, and those will slowly move northward. Overnight lows will generally be in the low to mid 70s.

For Thursday, expect similar conditions to this afternoon with very weak flow aloft, although slightly higher convective coverage is possible with preciptable water values climbing above 2 inches for some areas. With the tropical airmass and very weak steering flow, isolated pockets of locally heavy rain are possible. Afternoon highs will generally range from the low to mid 90s.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Night Through Friday Night].

Upper troughing moves into the Southeast CONUS Friday, leading to another uptick in coverage of showers and thunderstorms. Showers and storms are expected first over the waters during the overnight and early morning hours before developing inland with the afternoon sea breeze. Although PWs are expected to remain around 2 inches, forecast soundings show a little increase in steering flow which could mitigate the heavy rain potential somewhat. Minor flooding issues will still be possible however, especially in areas that receive a lot of rain over the next couple of days. Gusty winds and lightning will also be possible. High temperatures on Friday are forecast around 90 degrees with low temperatures in the mid 70s Friday night.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday].

Saturday will likely remain pretty wet with the upper trough still expected to be over the southeast CONUS. Showers and thunderstorms are once again expected first over the waters overnight into the early morning hours before developing inland during the afternoon. A weak cold front could sag southward into our area Saturday night into Sunday before stalling out. While not expected to do much for our temperatures, it could bring a bit of drier air into the region, lowering expected coverage of afternoon showers and storms a bit for Monday. Rain chances increase once again heading into midweek as another trough rotates across the eastern CONUS and the stalled front hangs around, creating a focus for shower and thunderstorm development. High temperatures through the long term are generally expected in the low to mid 90s with lows in the low to mid 70s.

MARINE.

An active pattern with daily chances for showers and storms is expected, especially in the morning hours. Outside of winds from any thunderstorms, marine conditions will be good with winds generally less than 10 knots and seas less than 2 feet.

FIRE WEATHER.

Humid conditions and high rain chances will keep fire weather concerns low through the week. Patchy fog will be possible in the mornings, especially in areas that receive rainfall the previous day.

HYDROLOGY.

A wetter pattern is expected this week with widespread rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall expected over the next 7 days with locally higher amounts possible. While river flooding is not expected, some localized areas of minor street flooding are possible each afternoon.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 92 74 91 74 91 / 50 20 60 30 70 Panama City 89 78 89 78 88 / 30 20 60 40 60 Dothan 91 73 89 73 89 / 70 40 70 30 70 Albany 93 74 91 74 91 / 70 40 70 30 70 Valdosta 91 73 90 73 90 / 60 30 60 20 70 Cross City 91 74 91 74 91 / 50 20 50 20 60 Apalachicola 89 78 89 77 88 / 30 20 50 40 60

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . DVD SHORT TERM . Merrifield LONG TERM . Merrifield AVIATION . Harrigan MARINE . Merrifield FIRE WEATHER . Merrifield HYDROLOGY . Merrifield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 12 mi51 min SE 1.9 1017 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi48 min Calm G 0 80°F 87°F1016.3 hPa
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi102 min W 5.1 G 7 80°F 1015.7 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi36 min SW 5.1 G 6 83°F 1016.3 hPa (-0.3)73°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1015.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE4NE5W8E4CalmN5E5CalmSE6SE7S7NW8SW8SW10SW9W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW6W5NW9W9--W9S5NE4NE6N3NW4NE4N3CalmCalmCalmNE4Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmS6CalmSW6N4W3W4W7W10SW10W6W3CalmN3SW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:08 AM EDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:24 AM EDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:33 AM EDT     2.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:00 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.51.51.51.61.822.22.32.32.221.71.410.70.50.40.50.60.91.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Apalachee Bay, St. James Island, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.