Monday, January20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:32AMSunset 6:03PM Monday January 20, 2020 11:49 PM EST (04:49 UTC) Moonrise 3:44AMMoonset 2:33PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:202001210930;;268335 Fzus52 Ktae 210218 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 918 Pm Est Mon Jan 20 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz750-752-755-210930- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- 918 Pm Est Mon Jan 20 2020 /818 Pm Cst Mon Jan 20 2020/
.small craft should exercise caution...
Overnight..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 918 Pm Est Mon Jan 20 2020
Synopsis.. Winds will remain moderate to strong in the northeast gulf of mexico through the next several days. Small craft advisories remain over the offshore waters while cautionary conditions continue in the nearshore waters off the panhandle coastline. Dry conditions will remain over the next several days until the next low pressure system affects the area Thursday and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 210112 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 812 PM EST Mon Jan 20 2020

UPDATE.

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary. A widespread freeze is still expected tonight with overnight lows ranging from the mid 20s to lower 30s across most of the area.

AVIATION.

[Through 00z Wednesday] VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION [302 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A cold night tonight is in store for the Tri-State region under clear skies and light winds. Winds will nearly be calm across our I75 counties so added some patchy frost to those areas. Tonight is shaping up for a widespread freeze and wind chills in the 20s; low 20s for wind chills in southeast Alabama and mid/upper 20s wind chills elsewhere. Most locations will have low temperatures in the mid/upper 20s; low 30s near the coast and the eastern Big Bend areas. Any plants sensitive to freezing from the recent extended stretch of spring like temperatures should be covered or brought indoors. Don't forget the 4 Ps: People, Pets, Plants, and Pipes!

SHORT TERM [Tuesday through Wednesday Night].

A shortwave will pass by to the northeast Tuesday morning which may add a few high clouds across SW GA. Surface high pressure and drier air then build in behind this feature into Wednesday then lift away Wednesday night with the approach of the next weather system. Tuesday night appears even colder than Monday night by a degree or two with lows in the mid/upper 20s just about everywhere away from the immediate coast. As the high lifts away, some modification in the airmass will take place with lows Wednesday night around 10 degrees warmer than Tuesday night. Highs this period will range from the upper 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

Rain chances increase Thursday and Friday as the next low pressure system moves into the area. The supporting trough and surface low pressure will remain well north of the region with a secondary surface low moving across the Gulf coast. The Gulf will remain fairly scoured out and not much time for return flow to work into our area. But, appears there may be enough instability to get an isolated storm or two going Friday across the Florida panhandle and Gulf waters. At this time, severe weather threat is low. That system moves east Saturday with a return to dry and cool conditions for the weekend.

MARINE.

Winds will remain moderate to strong in the northeast Gulf of Mexico through the next several days. Small craft advisories remain over the offshore waters while cautionary conditions continue in the nearshore waters off the Panhandle coastline. Dry conditions will remain over the next several days until the next low pressure system affects the area Thursday and Friday.

FIRE WEATHER.

Another cold front will pass through the area tomorrow bringing drier conditions and elevated winds through the afternoon. This will allow dispersions to easily climb above 75 across the area, especially in SW Georgia and the FL Big Bend. This will increase fire concerns slightly but red flag conditions will not be met as the minimum relative humidity will stay above criteria and winds won't be strong enough.

HYDROLOGY.

Minor flooding on the Apalachicola River near Blountstown continues and is projected to fall below flood stage Tuesday.

The next several days will remain dry with high pressure in control. The next system makes its way into the southeast US Thursday and Friday and departs Saturday. Generally, an inch of rainfall or less is expected. No widespread flooding is expected this period.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 28 50 27 54 36 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 31 50 32 56 41 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 27 46 27 52 36 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 28 46 28 52 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 28 48 27 54 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 30 52 28 57 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 32 49 32 53 42 / 0 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Tuesday for Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



UPDATE . DVD NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Scholl LONG TERM . Scholl AVIATION . DVD MARINE . Scholl FIRE WEATHER . Dobbs HYDROLOGY . Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 12 mi64 min NNE 4.1 1029 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi49 min 42°F 58°F1028.4 hPa (+1.2)
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi115 min NNW 5.1 G 7 40°F 1027.2 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi49 min NNE 22 G 24 46°F 1027.2 hPa (+0.9)27°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi56 minNNE 710.00 miFair42°F23°F47%1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW6N9N8NW7N6N10
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1 day agoSE6S6S7SW6S6SW7SW4SW5S3SW4N9N10N12N11N9N9N10N10N9N9N9N9N8N9
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Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:58 AM EST     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 02:27 PM EST     1.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:33 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:27 PM EST     1.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:05 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:27 PM EST     2.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.30.80.3-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.20.10.40.70.911.11.11.11.11.31.61.822.12.1

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Apalachee Bay, St. James Island, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.