Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Carrabelle, FL
April 20, 2024 2:37 AM EDT (06:37 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:02 AM Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 4:28 PM Moonset 4:26 AM |
GMZ755 Expires:202404200830;;044987 Fzus52 Ktae 200134 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 934 pm edt Fri apr 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-200830- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- 934 pm edt Fri apr 19 2024 /834 pm cdt Fri apr 19 2024/
Overnight - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Areas of fog late.
Saturday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters a light chop. Areas of fog in the morning.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Monday - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 934 pm edt Fri apr 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-200830- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- 934 pm edt Fri apr 19 2024 /834 pm cdt Fri apr 19 2024/
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 934 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis -
mostly benign boating conditions are expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through, a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
mostly benign boating conditions are expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through, a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
(hide/show) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 200616 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 216 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 936 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
Areas of fog are possible early Saturday morning, mainly across the southern half of the area.
NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A broad mid-level shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to enter the lower Mississippi valley late Saturday morning, and early Saturday afternoon. This mid level forcing combined with a weakening cold front that is expected to slowly eject southward into central Alabama and Georgia Saturday afternoon will lead to a scattered showers and thunderstorms developing across SE Alabama and SW Georgia in the late afternoon and early evening. Mid 60s dewpoints combined with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s, and a slight lower of heights across the region will lead to around 2000 J/Kg of SBCAPE across the region. While instability will be moderately high for the region, the amount of upper level shear will be the limiting factor. This will especially be the case as 0-6km bulk shear is forecast to be around 20-25 knots.
This will keep storm mode as clusters that may lead to outflow dominant storms through the evening. With the amount of instability across the region, the potential for hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across the aforementioned regions.
Given this threat for severe weather SPC has issued a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for portions of SE Alabama and SW Georgia.
Initially in the morning hours, areas of fog and low stratus will once again develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama, which may limit daytime temperatures from reaching the low 90s as they were initially forecasted the last couple of days.
Due to this, high temperatures were reduced to the upper 80s for much of the region.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Storms will be diminishing into early Sunday morning with spotty showers likely continuing into the early hours of Sunday and then into much of the afternoon Sunday. There's likely to be a lull in activity overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning as the region will be between passing upper level systems. The next system moves through during Sunday afternoon as the main front begins to pass through.
The main forecast challenge for Sunday will be with temperatures, and possibly a low-end severe threat. Convection from Saturday afternoon storms will likely leave a outflow boundary that lingers. North of this boundary temperatures will be slow to recover in the afternoon, and it's likely some areas will not warm up much on the north side of this boundary thanks to cloudy/rainy conditions and cooler air advecting in from the north. Further south, away from the boundary, showers/storms will be slower to arrive so we'll likely see conditions warm up into the mid 70s to low 80s, with the warmest conditions across the southeast Big Bend. These warmer conditions, with the stronger wind shear in place could allow a isolated strong storm to develop in Florida, but warmer mid-level temperatures are likely to reduce the overall severe threat compared to what's possible on Saturday.
While conditions are not likely to be this cool on Sunday, some guidance does indicate temperatures not warming up much above the low 60s across our northwest counties in southeast Alabama due to the heavy cloud cover and increase rain chances. For now, forecast temperatures across southeast Alabama are in the upper 60s, but would not be surprised if they're too high.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
The front moves through by Monday with quiet and cool conditions prevailing through the beginning of the week. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s as the upper level trough passes through.
Northwesterly flow aloft will lead to no appreciable rain chances through much of next week. With sunny skies and no significant cold air advection in the northwesterly flow, expect a quick warm up with temperatures back in the mid to upper 80s by Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 156 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Tricky aviation forecast this morning, with satellite starting to show fog on via the night fog product but it is not very well defined yet on the RGB advanced nighttime microphysics. KECP has been the only TAF site to drop ahead of the signal, with the latest METARS reporting either fog and smoke or mist and smoke.
This could be due to lingering smoke from nearby burns, which is some what modeled via the HRRR. Tried to account for that looking at the current observations, modeled threat for fog,and the LVORI.
But confidence is low as KECP has been bouncing around as we could vary from MVFR to VLIFR. Outside of that, confidence is highest that the FL counties have the best chance for fog, with confidence lowering as you go north to KVLD and KDHN and then KABY. Opted to generally keep the same trend of the forecast. Any fog and/or stratus that does develop this morning should erode a couple of hours after sunrise.
Then the next concern will be the chance for showers and thunderstorms, particularly over SE AL and SW GA this afternoon and evening. Guidance is a bit all over the place with how long these will last, with hi-res guidance showing a potential break during the overnight hours. Timing will likely be refined over the next two TAF cycles.
MARINE
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Mostly benign boating conditions expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Fog and low stratus will initially develop towards the early morning hours across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama Saturday morning. This fog and low stratus looks to hang around through the late morning hours prior to lifting around noon. Westerly transport winds will eventually transition to southwesterly through the afternoon hours on Saturday, while remaining around 5-10 mph.
Mixing heights will be highest across SW Georgia where early morning fog and stratus is not expected, which will lead to slightly higher dispersions across this region. Minimum RH values will drop into the mid 40s to low 50s for most interior locations, and upper 70s across coastal areas. Overall, there are no fire weather concerns on Saturday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Rain chances begin to increase for Saturday through Sunday night.
The systems will be moving somewhat quickly with rainfall accumulations not expected to exceed 1.0 inches, although isolated higher amounts may be possible.
In addition to the St Marks, Withlacoochee, and Aucilla, remaining in flood, the Suwanee has now risen into flood at Rock Creek, Luraville, and Branford. Expect possible rises to continue down the Suwannee with additional points possibly reaching flood in the days ahead.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 67 80 56 / 30 10 60 30 Panama City 76 67 75 55 / 10 10 60 20 Dothan 85 64 67 51 / 60 20 70 10 Albany 85 64 71 53 / 60 30 70 30 Valdosta 88 67 81 57 / 40 20 60 50 Cross City 84 65 82 60 / 0 0 30 50 Apalachicola 74 68 76 58 / 0 0 50 30
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ early this morning for FLZ108-112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 216 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 936 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
Areas of fog are possible early Saturday morning, mainly across the southern half of the area.
NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A broad mid-level shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to enter the lower Mississippi valley late Saturday morning, and early Saturday afternoon. This mid level forcing combined with a weakening cold front that is expected to slowly eject southward into central Alabama and Georgia Saturday afternoon will lead to a scattered showers and thunderstorms developing across SE Alabama and SW Georgia in the late afternoon and early evening. Mid 60s dewpoints combined with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s, and a slight lower of heights across the region will lead to around 2000 J/Kg of SBCAPE across the region. While instability will be moderately high for the region, the amount of upper level shear will be the limiting factor. This will especially be the case as 0-6km bulk shear is forecast to be around 20-25 knots.
This will keep storm mode as clusters that may lead to outflow dominant storms through the evening. With the amount of instability across the region, the potential for hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across the aforementioned regions.
Given this threat for severe weather SPC has issued a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for portions of SE Alabama and SW Georgia.
Initially in the morning hours, areas of fog and low stratus will once again develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama, which may limit daytime temperatures from reaching the low 90s as they were initially forecasted the last couple of days.
Due to this, high temperatures were reduced to the upper 80s for much of the region.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Storms will be diminishing into early Sunday morning with spotty showers likely continuing into the early hours of Sunday and then into much of the afternoon Sunday. There's likely to be a lull in activity overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning as the region will be between passing upper level systems. The next system moves through during Sunday afternoon as the main front begins to pass through.
The main forecast challenge for Sunday will be with temperatures, and possibly a low-end severe threat. Convection from Saturday afternoon storms will likely leave a outflow boundary that lingers. North of this boundary temperatures will be slow to recover in the afternoon, and it's likely some areas will not warm up much on the north side of this boundary thanks to cloudy/rainy conditions and cooler air advecting in from the north. Further south, away from the boundary, showers/storms will be slower to arrive so we'll likely see conditions warm up into the mid 70s to low 80s, with the warmest conditions across the southeast Big Bend. These warmer conditions, with the stronger wind shear in place could allow a isolated strong storm to develop in Florida, but warmer mid-level temperatures are likely to reduce the overall severe threat compared to what's possible on Saturday.
While conditions are not likely to be this cool on Sunday, some guidance does indicate temperatures not warming up much above the low 60s across our northwest counties in southeast Alabama due to the heavy cloud cover and increase rain chances. For now, forecast temperatures across southeast Alabama are in the upper 60s, but would not be surprised if they're too high.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
The front moves through by Monday with quiet and cool conditions prevailing through the beginning of the week. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s as the upper level trough passes through.
Northwesterly flow aloft will lead to no appreciable rain chances through much of next week. With sunny skies and no significant cold air advection in the northwesterly flow, expect a quick warm up with temperatures back in the mid to upper 80s by Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 156 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Tricky aviation forecast this morning, with satellite starting to show fog on via the night fog product but it is not very well defined yet on the RGB advanced nighttime microphysics. KECP has been the only TAF site to drop ahead of the signal, with the latest METARS reporting either fog and smoke or mist and smoke.
This could be due to lingering smoke from nearby burns, which is some what modeled via the HRRR. Tried to account for that looking at the current observations, modeled threat for fog,and the LVORI.
But confidence is low as KECP has been bouncing around as we could vary from MVFR to VLIFR. Outside of that, confidence is highest that the FL counties have the best chance for fog, with confidence lowering as you go north to KVLD and KDHN and then KABY. Opted to generally keep the same trend of the forecast. Any fog and/or stratus that does develop this morning should erode a couple of hours after sunrise.
Then the next concern will be the chance for showers and thunderstorms, particularly over SE AL and SW GA this afternoon and evening. Guidance is a bit all over the place with how long these will last, with hi-res guidance showing a potential break during the overnight hours. Timing will likely be refined over the next two TAF cycles.
MARINE
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Mostly benign boating conditions expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Fog and low stratus will initially develop towards the early morning hours across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama Saturday morning. This fog and low stratus looks to hang around through the late morning hours prior to lifting around noon. Westerly transport winds will eventually transition to southwesterly through the afternoon hours on Saturday, while remaining around 5-10 mph.
Mixing heights will be highest across SW Georgia where early morning fog and stratus is not expected, which will lead to slightly higher dispersions across this region. Minimum RH values will drop into the mid 40s to low 50s for most interior locations, and upper 70s across coastal areas. Overall, there are no fire weather concerns on Saturday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Rain chances begin to increase for Saturday through Sunday night.
The systems will be moving somewhat quickly with rainfall accumulations not expected to exceed 1.0 inches, although isolated higher amounts may be possible.
In addition to the St Marks, Withlacoochee, and Aucilla, remaining in flood, the Suwanee has now risen into flood at Rock Creek, Luraville, and Branford. Expect possible rises to continue down the Suwannee with additional points possibly reaching flood in the days ahead.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 67 80 56 / 30 10 60 30 Panama City 76 67 75 55 / 10 10 60 20 Dothan 85 64 67 51 / 60 20 70 10 Albany 85 64 71 53 / 60 30 70 30 Valdosta 88 67 81 57 / 40 20 60 50 Cross City 84 65 82 60 / 0 0 30 50 Apalachicola 74 68 76 58 / 0 0 50 30
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ early this morning for FLZ108-112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 13 mi | 98 min | W 6 | 73°F | 30.09 | 70°F | ||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 19 mi | 50 min | WNW 1.9G | 70°F | 72°F | 30.06 | ||
| SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 25 mi | 164 min | W 7G | 73°F | 56 ft | 30.05 | 68°F | |
| SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL | 32 mi | 38 min | 71°F | 30.07 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KAAF APALACHICOLA RGNLCLEVE RANDOLPH FIELD,FL | 21 sm | 44 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 64°F | 94% | 30.05 |
Tide / Current for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show) Help
Carrabelle
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:11 AM EDT 1.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:13 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:59 PM EDT 1.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:06 PM EDT 0.85 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:11 AM EDT 1.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 07:07 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:13 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:59 PM EDT 1.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:06 PM EDT 0.85 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.4 |
| 4 am |
| 1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Turkey Point, Apalachee Bay, St. James Island, Florida, Tide feet
Tallahassee, FL,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE