Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panacea, FL

SHORT TERM and LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

The strong 500 mb high center east of JAX on Sunday night will gradually weaken and retreat southeastward toward the Bahamas through Wednesday. This will open the door for weak southwest flow aloft to develop, and a weakening surface cold front will enter northwest Alabama on Monday night and get into central Alabama on Tuesday, before dissipating around Tuesday night. Proximity of this feature will support 15-25 percent rain chances over southeast Alabama on Tuesday PM. Overall, recent guidance runs have been trending downward and drier with rain chances Tuesday, and we have now eliminated rain chances on Monday.

Starting Wed night, a 500 mb ridge axis will start to rebuild from the Southwest Gulf to the coastal Carolinas. Flow aloft will weaken, and 500 mb heights will rise modestly. Surface high pressure will strengthen between New England and Bermuda on Thursday, bringing a renewed surge of easterlies or southeasterlies around Thursday night. All things considered, this will support a continuation or a reinvigoration of above normal temperatures, while keeping the atmosphere capped and rain-free.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 218 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Southerly winds, occasionally gusty at times in the afternoon, will affect area TAF sites.

MARINE
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

A strong high pressure ridge stretching from Bermuda to the coastal Carolinas will keep moderate to perhaps fresh southeast breezes over the waters through Tuesday morning. The high pressure ridge axis will push south closer to the waters on Tuesday and Wednesday, as a weakening cold front dissipates over the Southeast States. High pressure will strengthen off the Northeast U.S. coast around Thursday, bringing a restrengthening of east or southeast breezes over the northeast Gulf waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Much above normal temperatures will continue for the next 7 days.
No wetting rain is expected either, so that we will be nearing 3 weeks with no rain by the time we reach the last weekend of April.
Strong upper level high pressure will remain parked near region through Monday night, then it will start to weaken and retreat southward on Tuesday. Otherwise, gentle or moderate southeast to south breezes will prevail through Monday, before weakening a little on Tuesday.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

No flooding is expected through the at least the last weekend of April.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 85 62 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 81 64 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 88 62 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 89 62 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 90 62 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 89 60 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 76 66 77 66 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT this evening for FLZ115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.