Panacea, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panacea, FL

June 16, 2024 4:30 AM EDT (08:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:42 PM
Moonrise 2:50 PM   Moonset 1:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 906 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Overnight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 8 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 2 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 906 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis -
gentle to moderate southeast breezes will continue into Sunday. An unseasonable round of fresh to strong easterly breezes will get underway on Monday and continue through Wednesday, as pressure gradients tighten between strong high pressure off the u.s. Mid- atlantic coast and a deepening area of tropical low pressure over the bay of campeche. Seas will build in response to this and may lead to a few rounds of small craft advisory conditions. Showers and storms will be possible each day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 160803 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A surge of moisture from the south today will support a significant one-day increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage.
Strong high pressure will develop tonight over the U.S. Mid- Atlantic region, pushing drier air and unseasonably strong easterly breezes across the region from Monday through at least Wednesday. Moisture will increase from Thursday through Saturday as a fast-moving easterly wave moves off the Atlantic and across the tri- state area.

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Early this morning, a very moist air mass was located just south of the forecast area, characterized by Precipitable Water (PW)
values well in excess of 2 inches. In fact, the TBW sounding from Saturday evening observed a PW of 2.22 inches, which is near the max moving average for mid-June in the SPC sounding climatology for TBW. This moist air is spreading northwest and will overspread areas along and southwest of a Eufaula to Valdosta line later today. This will really prime the air mass for a large increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage today. Indeed, convection has increased rapidly since midnight about 70-80 miles south of Apalachicola over the warm 85-degree Gulf waters. This serves as another sign of the expected increase in showers and thunderstorms further north and inland today.

High temperatures will trend down a few degrees today, due to increased clouds and rain-cooled air.

Late tonight, low-level flow will turn from southeasterly to more easterly, bringing drier air. Showers and storms will wane late this evening and overnight.

SHORT TERM
(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A strong 500 mb high over the Carolinas will expand toward the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region and strengthen impressively during the first half of the week ahead. In response, the southern periphery of strong surface high pressure will bridge down the Southeast Atlantic coast. This will happen concurrent with development of a tropical low or perhaps a tropical cyclone over the southwest Gulf (see NHC Tropical Weather Outlook). An unseasonably strong pressure gradient will develop between these two features, and a prolonged period of strong easterly flow will get underway and crank up on Monday and Monday night. A dry air mass emanating from the strong surface high to our northeast will funnel into the forecast area from the northeast and east. PW values will be in the process of dropping below 1.5 inches on Monday, then bottom out in the 1-1.5 inch range on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Have reluctantly carried slight chance PoPs forward in the forecast over our FL counties from Monday through Wednesday, but PW values well below 1.5 inches suggest a greater potential for convective shutdown on those days. In the unseasonably breezy environment, mesoscale speed surges and speed convergence could generate some transient low-topped convection, which is the justification for holding onto low PoPs for now.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

The southern base of the upper trough out near Bermuda today will get detached from the mid-latitude westerlies, then become orphaned and transition into an easterly wave as strong high pressure builds in to its north over the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region.
This easterly wave or inverted trough should pass westward past the Bahamas on Wed night, then across the FL Peninsula and south Georgia on Thursday, then across the FL Panhandle and Lower Alabama around Thursday night.

As low-mid level flow quickly flips out of the southeast behind this trough axis, a moister air mass will stream in and bring a return of convection from Thursday through Saturday.

A small but growing number of guidance members do form a closed low around midweek somewhere within the easterly wave axis. Such development could happen just about anywhere along or east of the Florida/Georgia coast. The latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook from 2 AM EDT on Sunday reflects this possibility with a low chance (30 percent) of tropical cyclone formation around midweek.
If this occurs, it would be a fast-moving system coming off the Atlantic, moving westward or west-northwestward.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

VFR conditions through the period. The main concern will be chances for SHRA with embedded TSRA and timing on Monday.
Highest confidence is at ECP and TLH, where TEMPO groups are included. CAMS indicate activity getting close enough to DHN and ECP to justify VCTS. There is uncertainty in timing TSRA, and it may have to be adjusted (possibly earlier) in subsequent TAF issuances. Easterly winds tonight become more southerly at DHN, ECP, and TLH on Monday.

MARINE
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

It is going to be an unseasonably rough week on the waters, as easterlies start to pick up tonight. The roughest conditions will come from Tuesday through Thursday. This will also make for dangerous rip currents along our beaches this week.

A prolonged period of fresh to strong easterly breezes will develop on Monday and then continue through at least Thursday.
This will occur as pressure gradients tighten between strong high pressure off the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast and deepening low pressure over the southwest Gulf. Small craft advisory conditions are expected for much of the week ahead, marked by nocturnal surges and afternoon lulls that are common in easterly flow.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

The air mass will moisten substantially today, bringing an increase in shower and thunderstorm coverage through this evening.
Then unseasonably strong easterly flow will develop on Monday and continue through about next Friday. This will come with a dry air mass from Monday through Wednesday, then some moistening on Thursday and Friday. Given the strong transport winds starting Monday, look for high dispersion values for much of the week ahead.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 403 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase today, posing the concern for intense rainfall rates within the core of heavier thunderstorms which could lead to short-lived runoff issues.
However, no widespread or significant flooding is expected.

Rainfall, if any, from Monday through Wednesday will be hydrologically insignificant. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase from Thursday through Saturday, once again posing the risk of short-lived runoff issues stemming from intense rainfall rates beneath the core of heavier thunderstorms. Riverine flooding is not expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 94 74 94 74 / 50 40 30 0 Panama City 89 76 92 76 / 60 20 30 20 Dothan 94 73 93 73 / 50 30 20 20 Albany 96 73 94 72 / 30 30 20 10 Valdosta 96 72 94 71 / 30 10 20 0 Cross City 93 71 94 71 / 80 40 30 0 Apalachicola 87 79 88 78 / 70 40 30 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ this morning through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi121 minS 8G11 85°F 29.9676°F
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 27 mi91 minSSE 4.1 83°F 30.0178°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi43 minS 8G11 83°F 87°F29.97
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi31 min 82°F 29.98


Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAAF35 sm37 minS 0710 smA Few Clouds82°F75°F79%29.97
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Wind History graph: AAF
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
   
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Alligator Point
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Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:08 AM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:33 AM EDT     2.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:54 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:54 PM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
1.6
2
am
1.4
3
am
1.2
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.4
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.9
9
am
2.1
10
am
2.3
11
am
2.3
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
1.9
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.8
8
pm
1
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.9


Tide / Current for Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida
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Panacea
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Sun -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:16 AM EDT     1.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:57 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:03 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
2.1
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.5
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.4
6
am
1.6
7
am
2
8
am
2.4
9
am
2.7
10
am
3
11
am
3.1
12
pm
3
1
pm
2.7
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
2.1
11
pm
2.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Tallahassee, FL,




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