Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panacea, FL

SHORT TERM
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 141 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Little or no sensible change is expected today. A strong upper ridge will dominate our weather, keeping things warm and dry.
Nothing more than flat fair weather cumulus are expected this afternoon.

Some fog may form early this morning, then again early Tuesday morning, over the Panhandle and Southeast Alabama, mainly west of the Choctawhatchee River.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 141 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Through Saturday, a strong and amplified 500 mb ridge axis will remain aligned from the Yucatan across the FL Peninsula. Our 500 mb heights will remain high throughout this week, with the ensuing warm dry air aloft strongly capping the atmosphere. Precipitable Water (PW) values of 0.5 to 1.0 inches will be way too dry for any seabreeze convection. Under such a strong upper high, temperatures will run 5-10 degrees above normal, most notably the afternoon highs.

Next Sunday, the ridge will flatten as a more significant upper trough progresses across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. A cold front will try to push south across the region, but it will be losing strength as it moves south across our region. Upper support will leave it behind, and it will be moving beneath an increasingly warm and dry mid-level air mass as it pushes south.
Most ensemble members keep next Sunday dry. The low percentage that do show some rain keep it quite light... just a few mere hundredths of an inch.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Abundant high cirrus appears to be inhibiting any fog/low stratus development so far. Judging from dewpoint depressions, ECP and VLD are the only two sites with any such potential through about 13z-14z.

Otherwise, the air mass is dry. Expect nothing more during the day than high-based fair weather cumulus, if at all.

MARINE
Issued at 141 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

An Atlantic ridge axis will extend across South Georgia for most of this week, maintaining gentle to occasionally moderate southeast breezes, with nearshore seabreezes each afternoon. Late in the week, the ridge axis will settle south a little and set up more directly across the waters. Light and gentle southerlies will prevail then.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 141 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

The main story through next weekend will be the continued lack of rain. Drought conditions will continue worsening. Otherwise, a warm and dry air mass will be in place throughout this week. Light southerly flow will prevail, with stronger seabreezes becoming dominant each afternoon.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 141 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Little or no rainfall is expected through the next 7 days.
Drought will continue or worsen. Flooding is not expected.

For more local drought information & statements, visit the following websites: weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 83 58 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 79 59 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 84 56 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 84 57 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 85 58 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 86 57 88 57 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 74 61 76 63 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.