Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Perry, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 5:38PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 9:19 AM EST (14:19 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 5:38AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 219 Am Est Tue Dec 10 2019
.dense fog advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..South winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Areas of fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the day.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Rain showers likely.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 219 Am Est Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis..Dense marine fog will continue in the apalachee bay area this morning. A cold front will move across the coastal waters tonight with winds becoming north to northeasterly behind the passage with speeds increasing. Exercise caution is expected across all waters Wednesday with advisory conditions mainly in near and offshore waters along and west of apalachicola.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Perry, FL
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location: 29.97, -83.83     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 101132 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 632 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Wednesday]

All TAF sites currently LIFR or VLIFR with a variety of low clouds in GA/AL and fog in Florida. Conds will improve towards mid morning back to MVFR or VFR. A front will move into the area this afternoon which will help dissipate remaining IFR as winds become northwesterly behind the front. Some showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop ahead of the front as it moves in with VCSH placed in those TAFs that will be affected.

PREV DISCUSSION [315 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Today].

Most of the morning will be cloudy with areas of fog, some dense, burning off and dissipating by mid morning. By late morning, isolated showers will develop over southeast Alabama and the western Florida panhandle ahead of an approaching cold front. That cold front will enter our Alabama counties in the early afternoon with showers and isolated thunderstorms ahead of it northeast into southwest Georgia. The front appears to make it to the Flint river by the end of the day. Winds will become northwesterly behind the front with falling temperatures. Highs will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday].

The cold front will continue through the area tonight and progress into the southern Gulf Wednesday and Thursday. Cold air advection behind the front will send highs tumbling into the mid 50s north to mid 60s south with lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Although winds will be northerly to northeasterly behind the front, a moist and south to southwest flow will exist above the surface to maintain cloudy skies and a chances for light rain much of this period.

LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday].

As an upstream trough moves through the southern Plains, low pressure will develop in the northwestern Gulf Thursday night then move northeastward across the southeast US Friday and Friday night then off the eastern seaboard Saturday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop Friday and Friday night along and ahead of this low. There is atleast a low chance of severe storms near the coast with the apparent shear profiles and returning dewpoints in the low 60s. Too far out to nail down specifics at this time and considering some model discrepancies. Some wrap around moisture will linger into Saturday with dry conditions Sunday. Another system is on tap for early next week.

MARINE.

Dense marine fog will continue in the Apalachee Bay area this morning. A cold front will move across the coastal waters tonight with winds becoming north to northeasterly behind the passage with speeds increasing. Exercise caution is expected across all waters Wednesday with advisory conditions mainly in near and offshore waters along and west of Apalachicola.

FIRE WEATHER.

Aside from high dispersions today, no hazardous fire weather conditions are expected over the next few days.

HYDROLOGY.

Decent rainfall chances will exist today through Saturday. Although we will be in an increasingly wet pattern, rainfall amounts will generally be an inch or less with isolated higher amounts. Since the area remains in dry to moderate drought, no flooding is anticipated.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 80 52 65 46 63 / 20 40 40 30 40 Panama City 77 51 61 48 62 / 50 60 50 40 40 Dothan 78 47 57 44 55 / 70 50 40 20 40 Albany 80 50 59 45 55 / 50 60 40 30 40 Valdosta 82 54 66 46 63 / 10 40 40 30 40 Cross City 81 58 72 52 71 / 20 30 40 30 40 Apalachicola 76 54 65 50 64 / 30 40 40 40 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ this morning for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes- Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson- Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

GA . Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Decatur- Seminole.

AL . None. GM . Dense Fog Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM.



NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Scholl LONG TERM . Scholl AVIATION . Scholl MARINE . Scholl FIRE WEATHER . Scholl HYDROLOGY . Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 16 mi19 min SSE 7 G 8 69°F 1019.7 hPa (+1.0)67°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi85 min SSE 5.1 G 7 65°F 1017.8 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 57 mi94 min SSE 1.9 1019 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Perry-Foley, Perry-Foley Airport, FL15 mi44 minS 410.00 miFair67°F66°F97%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40J

Wind History from 40J (wind in knots)
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S10S9S6S3S4S4S4S6S4S3SE3S3CalmSE3SE4S4S4
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2 days agoCalmE4E5NE4CalmCalmE3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmE5E7E6E7E5E5E5E6E5E5E8E6

Tide / Current Tables for Rock Islands, Florida
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Rock Islands
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:38 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:28 PM EST     2.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:49 PM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.82.41.710.3-0.2-0.4-0.20.311.82.52.92.92.521.51.21.11.31.72.32.8

Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:37 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:22 PM EST     2.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:48 PM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.82.31.70.90.3-0.2-0.4-0.20.31.11.92.52.92.82.521.51.21.11.31.72.32.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.