Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Perry, FL

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 322 PM EDT Sun May 10 2026

For the rest of today, there may be isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze, mainly in our Florida counties. A couple of storms may become strong enough to produce wind gusts up to around 40 mph. PoPs today range from 30-50 percent with highest values along and south of I-10.

Monday, another round of showers and thunderstorms are forecast with PoPs around 40-60% with highest values along and north of I-10. The CWA is highlighted by the SPC in a Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe weather. Main threat will be strong to damaging wind gusts. There is also a small potential for hail, depending on how warm it can get ahead of the cold front. The most likely area for a concentration of wind and hail occurrence will be where the surface front intersects any inland moving sea breeze. The rain and thunderstorms will move out of the region following a cold front Monday evening into Tuesday. There may be a few lingering showers on Tuesday, keeping about a 50% PoPs. High pressure will then settle over the region filtering in drier air.
Slightly cooler temperatures can be expected on Tuesday due to the lingering showers and cloud cover. Gradual warming into the upper 80s is forecast for the remainder of the week. Another cold front is expected by Thursday but, at this time it appears to be a dry front with little impact on temperatures.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 202 PM EDT Sun May 10 2026

Generally VFR this afternoon though some tempo MVFR as the cu field thickens especially from DHN/ABY. The seabreeze may spark a few showers/thunderstorms from ECP/TLH/VLD as well as isolated showers at DHN. Overnight, patchy fog and low cigs will develop with IFR/LIFR at TLH/DHN whereas MVFR at the other terminals. Most likely timing is 09-14Z. Thereafter, VFR conds return. Winds will remain light with the exception of under or around any heavier showers/storms that develop.

MARINE
Issued at 322 PM EDT Sun May 10 2026

Light southerly winds today will clock around to northwesterly then northerly by Tuesday morning following a cold front on Monday. Winds will then shift northeasterly to easterly by midweek. For the remainder of this weekend, scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible, during which there may be erratic gusty winds and higher seas. Following the passage of the cold front Monday night, seas will be steady at 1-2 feet through the week. High pressure will settle over the region and another frontal passage expected near the end of this week that will shift winds northwesterly/northerly again.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 322 PM EDT Sun May 10 2026

Showers and thunderstorms today will be seabreeze driven. A couple of possible strong storms, mainly in the FL Panhandle and Big Bend, may produce wind gusts around 30-40 mph and lightning today and tomorrow. Low to poor dispersions are expected today due to transport winds being light and variable and cloud cover.
Winds will be southwesterly and westerly before a cold front approaches late Monday into Tuesday. Ahead of the front, showers and thunderstorms are expected with potentially gusty winds frequent lightning. Following the frontal passage, drier conditions will filter in with fair to moderate dispersions expected for the afternoons.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 322 PM EDT Sun May 10 2026

We have had very beneficial rainfall over the past couple of days. Rain is forecast through Monday with a few lingering showers possible through Tuesday. A cold front arrives late Monday that may slow or stall which would keep a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms for Tuesday. We have so far received widespread 1-3 inches and locally higher amounts for much of the region except the FL Southeast Big Bend. Another 0.5-1" of rain is possible through Tuesday. After Monday's cold front and any wrap-around moisture moves through, drier air will filter in bringing all this to an end. It is possible that this rain event may have put a dent in current drought conditions however, a dry pattern is expected to prevail through the next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 67 86 66 82 / 0 50 40 50 Panama City 68 82 68 82 / 0 20 30 30 Dothan 63 84 63 79 / 0 50 30 20 Albany 63 85 63 79 / 10 40 30 20 Valdosta 65 87 65 79 / 0 40 40 40 Cross City 67 87 67 85 / 0 10 40 60 Apalachicola 70 81 69 80 / 0 30 30 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.