Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Jersey Village, TX

LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 332 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Conditions will stay a bit unstable across Southeast TX on Thursday as a cold front slowly makes its way across Central Texas. We can expect isolated showers to begin during the morning hours, mainly over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region. As we daytime heating ramps up, expect isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with the higher PoPs residing over areas east of I-45 and north of I-10. Temperatures will be warmer on Thursday, and highs are expected to be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

On Friday, there may be higher chances for showers and storms as a shortwave, vort maxes, and the weak cold front moves through during the day. The highs on Friday will be slightly cooler with highs likely to be closer to the mid 80s range. The unstable weather pattern is expected to prevail during upcoming weekend, with periods of showers and storms expected each day. One good thing for the weekend is even cooler temperatures, with highs likely to peak in the low 80s.
Conditions look to improve next Monday as drier air and high pressure dominate the local weather pattern.

Cotto

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

VFR conditions will continue into the evening hours with gusty southeasterly winds trending down to around 7-10 kt overnight.
Expect MVFR ceilings to filter in from south to north again tonight, especially for sites along and west of the I-45 corridor.
Winds around ~3K ft will be around 30-35 kt beginning around 06Z as a LLJ develops overhead, which will keep ceilings from dropping too low overnight. Ceilings will gradually lift back to VFR by the mid to late morning hours (by 17Z). The LLJ remains overhead going into Wednesday (mainly along and north of I-10) leading to another day of gusty winds with sustained winds around 15-20 kt and gusts up to 25-30 kt through the afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers develop in the morning hours drifting northeastward, which has been covered with a VCSH at most sites.
This should come to an end around the afternoon hours, then our attention turns towards our northern sites as some isolated convection will be possible. As of right now, the best chances are for UTS which has been covered with a PROB30 for TS in the late afternoon hours. Going into Wednesday evening, MVFR ceilings will be filtering in once again as we monitor the potential for a line of showers/storms to push into the region after 06Z/Thursday.

Batiste

MARINE
Issued at 332 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Moderate to occasionally strong onshore winds and seas of 4 to 6 feet will prevail through Wednesday as the local pressure gradient tightens in response to high pressure to our east and low pressure to our northwest. Seas could briefly rise 7 feet late tonight into Wednesday morning over the offshore waters. Expect Bay waters to be choppy as well. Caution flags and Advisories are currently in effect for the bays and offshore waters through at least Wednesday afternoon.
Elevated water levels are expected over the bays and nearshore waters, in particular during high tide Wednesday morning as levels rise to around 3.5 feet above MLLW. This could result in minor coastal flooding.
There is also the risk for strong rip currents along the Gulf facing beaches through the end of the work week. A Beach Hazard Statement is in effect to account for the minor coastal flooding and rip currents.
Please avoid going into the waters if Red Flags are present along the beaches.

Winds will relax on Thursday and seas will gradually several hours after.
Chance for showers and storms over the waters can be expected Wednesday through the upcoming weekend.

Cotto

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 71 87 71 90 / 0 40 40 30 Houston (IAH) 72 85 73 88 / 10 10 20 40 Galveston (GLS) 76 82 76 83 / 10 10 10 20

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Beach Hazards Statement through Wednesday evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ330-335.

Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 11 PM CDT this evening for GMZ350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ350-355-370-375.