Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mexico Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 6:44PM Sunday September 19, 2021 9:53 AM CDT (14:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:23PMMoonset 5:00AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202109200315;;856962 Fzus52 Ktae 191426 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 1026 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-200315- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1026 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021 /926 Am Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021/
Rest of today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1026 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis.. No change to the forecast this morning. Winds are expected to stay just below 10 kt and waves should hold at about 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms will remain possible through Wednesday, before a pattern change occurs. A cold front will sweep through the region which shift winds to the north and increase them to 10-15 kt. Wave heights will rise in response, with heights peaking around 2-3 feet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
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location: 30.03, -85.47     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 191431 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1031 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

UPDATE.

The forecast remains on track this morning. The upper air sounding supports the forecast high PW values, with TLH reporting 2.2 inches. Expect showers to become scattered to widespread showers by the afternoon. Thunderstorms will remain possible as well, along with the chance for localized flash flooding.

PREV DISCUSSION [636 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

The wet pattern will continue through the near term. An upper level low situated over southern Louisiana this morning will lift northward through the day and begin to become absorbed into a main trough tonight. In this pattern the region will remain under southwesterly flow with high PW values again near 2.3 inches. This will allow for widespread convection across the region today and PoPs range from 70- 90 percent.

The main focus for today will continue to be heavy rain. Widespread totals around one inch fell yesterday with isolated areas of 3-4 inches. An additional 1-2 inches of rain with isolated higher amounts is expected today. Between this additional rainfall and localized heavy rain yesterday, isolated flash flooding will be possible so expect to see Flood Advisories or even a flash flood warning. See the hydro section for more details.

Highs today will be limited by the low clouds initially and widespread rain today so expect highs in the low to mid 80s. Lows tonight will be in the lower 70s.

SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday].

A quasi-stationary upper level short wave trough is expected to finally lift north of the region on Monday and Tuesday ahead of an approaching long wave trough from the western Conus. These two days will likely be the last two days where PoPs will be in the 60-80% range for the afternoon and evening hours. With PW values remaining around 2 inches, the threat for efficient rainfall rates and thus localized flash flooding will still be present. As the upper level short wave lifts north and east, the region will be under the influence of the deep upper level ridge that is currently across the eastern Conus. This will lead to an increase in temperatures for Monday and Tuesday, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to near 90 across the region. Lows will also be warm in the low 70s.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Night Through Sunday].

An approaching upper level trough is expected to propagate eastward through the Conus earlier in the week, and reach the eastern seaboard by Tuesday night. As the trough slides east, and an associated cold front pushes through the region late Wednesday, the airmass across the region is expected to change as much drier air invades the area behind the cold front. Temperatures on Wednesday will be warm in the upper 80s as the front approaches, but by Thursday high temperatures will only be in the low 80s. Low temperatures will also drop into the low to mid 60s and even upper 50s across northern portions of the forecast area. The biggest change; however, will be the drier air as dewpoints will drop from the mid to upper 70s to the low 60s across the region. This will lead to a few refreshing days through the end of the long term period.

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Monday]

TAF sites are mainly LIFR to IFR this morning due reduced cigs and in some cases vsbys. Conditions will be slow to improve this morning. Showers can already be noted near ECP and ABY and showers and thunderstorms will increase, particularly for this afternoon. Some brief gusty winds will be possible with the thunderstorms.

MARINE.

The chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue through Wednesday across all near and offshore waters. During this time through Wednesday, wave heights will generally remain between 1 to 2 feet, and winds will remain below 10 knots outside of any thunderstorm activity. A cold front is expected to move through the region on Wednesday, which will lead to a rise in wave heights to around 2 to 3 feet as well as an increase in winds to around 10 to 15 knots.

FIRE WEATHER.

A wet pattern will continue today and tomorrow across the region with high precipitation changes. Based on the wet conditions, there are no fire weather concerns except for low dispersion values expected today and tomorrow.

HYDROLOGY.

The complex pattern that has been in place across the region will once again plague the area today. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected again today, with a slight risk for excessive rainfall forecast for zones west of the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee rivers. All other areas east of these rivers are in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall. Another 1-2 inches of widespread rainfall is forecast for today, with localized heavier totals once again possible. Saturday saw isolated pockets of 3-4 inches across SE Alabama and SW Georgia, which lead to some flash flooding across these regions. Although no flash flood watch is planned for today, the threat similar to yesterday still exists; however, it is too difficult to pinpoint which areas will see these heavy totals as they will remain isolated in nature once again. If storm motions once again remain slow enough and training storms develop they may take advantage of the high PW values still near or over 2 inches across the region, and produce extremely heavy rainfall rates. Given the above, a few flood advisories and flash flood warnings can't be ruled out again for today.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 83 73 87 72 88 / 80 50 70 40 60 Panama City 84 74 86 73 87 / 70 30 50 20 40 Dothan 82 72 85 71 86 / 90 50 80 50 60 Albany 84 73 86 73 87 / 90 70 90 30 60 Valdosta 84 72 85 72 87 / 80 60 90 40 70 Cross City 85 73 87 73 89 / 80 60 80 50 70 Apalachicola 83 75 85 75 85 / 70 40 50 20 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Coastal Bay-South Walton.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . KR NEAR TERM . Fieux SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . Fieux MARINE . Bunker FIRE WEATHER . Fieux HYDROLOGY . Bunker


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi54 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 82°F
PCBF1 25 mi54 min ENE 2.9 G 7 77°F 83°F1017.3 hPa (+1.3)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi54 min ENE 5.1 G 5.1 77°F 80°F1017.3 hPa (+1.1)
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 36 mi69 min E 2.9 77°F 1018 hPa76°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi58 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F74°F91%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5E6S8SW4SW9S9S5CalmCalmNE3E3NE4E5E5E5CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4E3E6E6
1 day agoCalmE5E3CalmS3SE3CalmSE7SE5S4E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3NE3E3CalmNE3NE3E5
2 days agoE8CalmSE5E9SE9S9S7S9S9SE6E5E4SE5SE5SE7SE4E3E4E3E4E4E5SE5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Farmdale, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Farmdale
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Sun -- 05:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:28 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:16 AM CDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:01 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.80.911.11.31.51.61.81.91.91.91.81.71.51.41.210.90.80.70.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:28 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:07 AM CDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:46 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.80.911.21.31.51.61.81.91.91.91.81.71.51.31.110.80.80.70.70.7

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