Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mexico Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 7:18PM Thursday August 22, 2019 1:52 PM CDT (18:52 UTC) Moonrise 11:36PMMoonset 12:20PM Illumination 53% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:201908230715;;044553 Fzus52 Ktae 221840 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 240 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-230715- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 240 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019 /140 Pm Cdt Thu Aug 22 2019/
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots in the evening becoming light and variable winds. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast early in the afternoon, then becoming southwest late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night through Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 240 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis..Light winds and low seas will prevail into next week, with an uptick in rain chances starting late in the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
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location: 30.03, -85.47     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 221847
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
247 pm edt Thu aug 22 2019

Near term [through today]
Most of the convective activity to develop this afternoon is
expected to end by sunset followed quiet and calm conditions
overnight. Weak southerly flow around 5kts and scattered skies will
prevail through the period. By day break tomorrow, areas located
along the al-fl border could see localized low ceilings and
visibility restrictions. 18z ecam guidance is suggesting 50-60%
chance of 3k ft or less ceilings and ~50% chance of three miles or
less visibilities in those areas. Since ecam guidance is only
suggesting a very localized area of visibility restrictions and does
not agree well with other guidance (i.E., sref) , uncertainty at
this time is quite high and fog has not been included in this
forecast update.

Short term [tonight through Saturday]
Zonal flow aloft and ridging at the surface will prevail through
the start of the weekend. Afternoon storms will driven by the
seabreeze and associated mesoscale boundaries. On Friday, we may
see a lower coverage of storms from the big bend eastward where
drier air aloft will be present. Pops should return to normal by
Saturday. Highs are expected to reach the lower to middle 90s with
heat indices in the low 100s.

Long term [Saturday night through Thursday]
Through the extended period, the northern stream longwave trough
will amplify over the eastern CONUS as shortwaves move through the
northeast and the plains ms valley. A resultant wedge of high
pressure will force a front down the eastern seaboard as another
front approaches the southeast from the west. Eventually the
frontal boundaries will merge and become stationary across the
gulf coast resulting in above normal rain chances through the
whole period. Highs and lows will be right around seasonal
normals.

Aviation
[through 18z Friday]
high pressure across the tri-state region will cap most shower and
thunderstorm activity today with only isolated coverage expected
along the sea breeze. By sunrise, new model guidance is suggesting
3k ft ceilings and localized visibility restrictions across
terminals in SE al and fl panhandle. Although low ceilings were not
included in this set of tafs, they could be included in the
following update as uncertainty decreases.

Marine
Light winds and low seas will prevail into next week, with an
uptick in rain chances starting late in the weekend.

Fire weather
A wet pattern will return this weekend and linger through next
week. Patchy fog is possible in the early morning hours.

Otherwise no fire weather concerns.

Hydrology
A typical scattering of summertime storms is expected through
Saturday. Thereafter, we'll transition to a wet period as a front
stalls across the southeast. Due to the ongoing drought across
much of the region, widespread flooding is not anticipated at this
time.

The steinhatchee, fenholloway, and econfina remain in flood from
heavy rain this past weekend. All impacted rivers have crested and
water-levels have begun to fall. Hopefully, the bulk of the rain
next week will fall east and west of this region otherwise a
return to flood may be possible.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 74 93 75 95 75 10 20 10 40 50
panama city 77 88 77 90 77 10 20 10 30 50
dothan 73 92 73 91 74 20 30 20 50 50
albany 75 94 76 93 74 20 20 20 50 70
valdosta 75 93 74 94 75 10 20 20 50 50
cross city 74 93 74 94 76 10 20 20 30 40
apalachicola 76 88 76 90 77 10 10 10 20 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Dicatarina
short term... Harrigan
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Dicatarina
marine... Harrigan
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Harrigan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi52 min SSE 7 G 8.9 86°F
PCBF1 25 mi52 min SE 9.9 G 12 83°F 87°F1017.7 hPa (-1.0)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi52 min SE 5.1 G 7 84°F 85°F1018.1 hPa (-0.8)
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 35 mi67 min ESE 5.1 1019 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi1.9 hrsS 910.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F76°F72%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS10SW7E6NE3E3CalmE4E3CalmE4NE3CalmE3E3E3E5E4E4NE4E8SE8S9S9SW7
1 day agoS7S10S7S5S5SE4SE4SE3CalmE4NE3NE3E3CalmE3CalmCalmNE5E5E7E5SE3E3S5
2 days agoSW14
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SW11W13SW13SW11SW11SW9SW9W7W6SW5SW4--S3CalmE3E3SE4--E4SE5SE7----

Tide / Current Tables for Farmdale, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Farmdale
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:17 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:20 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:07 PM CDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:15 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:35 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.21.31.41.41.51.51.41.31.21.110.90.80.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.911.1

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:08 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:20 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:52 PM CDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:16 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:35 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.31.31.41.41.51.41.41.31.21.110.90.80.70.70.70.70.70.80.90.911.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.