Saturday, June12, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Asbury Lake, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 8:30PM Saturday June 12, 2021 10:33 AM EDT (14:33 UTC) Moonrise 7:03AMMoonset 9:40PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Expires:202106122145;;147987 Fzus52 Kjax 121416 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 1016 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz450-452-454-122145- Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 1016 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
Rest of today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of morning showers, then showers and Thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. Winds and seas locally higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Winds and seas locally higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Winds and seas locally higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1016 Am Edt Sat Jun 12 2021
Synopsis.. A cold front and low pressure area will move off the southeast coast today. Breezy offshore winds ahead of this front will continue through tonight. Scattered Thunderstorms will move across the waters this afternoon and evening with gusty winds. A second round of showers and Thunderstorms will move over the waters overnight as the front approaches from the north. This front will stall just to the north of the area waters from Sunday through midweek, resulting in breezy southwesterly winds and scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms each day.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 12, 2021 at 1200 utc... 65 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 78 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 90 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 88 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asbury Lake, FL
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location: 30.08, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 121151 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 751 AM EDT Sat Jun 12 2021

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Sunday]

Two rounds of convection on tap for the next 24 hours. The first round is now developing from south-central Georgia to the Altamaha River and then dropping south across the fields between 18 and 00 Utc. The second round will come overnight with a band of convection dropping due south out of the Savannah River area. this band should come through overnight between 06 and 12 utc. With this one due to the directionality of the storm motion I applied a 360 direction for potential gusts as opposed to normal variable for our daily summertime pulse storms. In the case of the first band covered convection with TEMPO groups and for the second used PROB30s.

PREV DISCUSSION [412 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Shortwave energy will continue to drop southward from the southern Appalachians through inland southeast GA late this afternoon and this evening, which will sharpen the longwave trough over the southeastern states, allowing for deeper moisture to continue to overspread our region to the south of a backdoor cold front that will be approaching the GA coastal plain overnight. Low pressure along this front near the Outer Banks will move offshore this afternoon, but a tight local pressure gradient in place this morning will be slow to loosen through tonight, resulting in breezy west-southwesterly winds developing over our area shortly after sunrise. These breezy winds will likely keep the Atlantic sea breeze pinned near or just offshore from area beaches this afternoon, resulting in another hot and breezy day along the I-95 corridor, where highs will soar to the low and mid 90s. A lingering dry air mass should result in dewpoints dropping to the upper 60s this afternoon along the I-95 corridor and across north central FL, keeping maximum heat index values around 100.

Deepening westerly flow in the mid levels will push the Gulf coast sea breeze inland late this morning, and this boundary should initiate scattered convection before noon over the northern Suwannee Valley, while cooling temperatures aloft associated with the digging trough also develop convection over inland southeast GA. Activity will move east-southeastward at a quick 20-25 mph pace, with scattered coverage continuing south of I-10 and numerous showers and thunderstorms expected from I-10 northward this afternoon and evening. Model soundings indicate that ML CAPE values will reach the 2,000-3,000 j/kg range over inland southeast GA and the northern Suwannee Valley, and these locations have been placed within a Marginal risk for severe thunderstorm development for today. Downdraft CAPE values around 1,000 j/kg at these locations will promote a risk for downburst winds of 40-60 mph within stronger convection that develops and potentially pulses up towards severe limits.

Highs should climb to near 90 in these locations towards noon before convection and cloud cover overspreads the area. An additional round of convection ahead of the aforementioned "backdoor" cold front may cross the Altamaha River later this evening, and isolated convection may continue to develop elsewhere overnight as mesoscale boundaries continue to collide within a moist and increasingly unstable environment due to the upper trough moving overhead. Lows tonight will generally fall to the low and mid 70s.

SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday].

Showers and storms will carry over on into Sunday due to instability associated with the trailing end of the upper level trough. An advancing frontal boundary from out of the north and southwest to westerly flow brings moist air with PWAT values upwards of 2.25 inches through the region. Diurnal convection will develop on Monday as an upper level shortwave crosses over the southeastern US. Highest likelihood for for thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are expected to occur over northeast Florida, south of the I-10 corridor. Temperatures for this period will reach up into the upper 80s and lower 90s, with the highest temperatures occuring in areas that receive less rainfall.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday].

Daily bouts of showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout next week as a frontal boundary ahead of a drier air mass extends south over southeastern Georgia by midweek, with the frontal boundary currently expected to stall somewhere near the Florida- Georgia border. Instability and moist air flowing from west to east ahead of the stalled frontal boundary will result in increased chances of storms and rainfall for northeast Florida and reduced chances for southeast Georgia.

MARINE.

Low pressure situated along a southward moving cold front over the Carolinas will push offshore of the Outer Banks today. Breezy offshore winds will prevail ahead of this cold front through tonight, with scattered showers and thunderstorms impacting the waters this afternoon and evening. Outside of thunderstorm activity, southwesterly winds will increase to Caution levels of 15-20 knots this evening before diminishing after midnight. Showers and thunderstorms will likely move over the Georgia waters overnight as the front approaches from the north. Seas of 3-5 feet will prevail both near shore and offshore through tonight. The front will then stall just to the north of the Georgia waters from Sunday through midweek, resulting in prevailing southwesterly winds and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. Seas of 2-4 feet will prevail over our local waters from Sunday night through at least midweek.

Rip Currents: Prevailing offshore winds and low wave heights will keep a low risk in place at area beaches this weekend through early next week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Breezy westerly surface and transport winds today will promote good dispersion values area-wide outside of thunderstorm activity. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening across southeast GA and the Suwannee Valley. Westerly transport winds will remain breezy on Sunday across north central FL, with lighter winds elsewhere resulting in marginally low dispersion values. Numerous afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected throughout our region on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 89 71 88 69 90 / 50 60 70 20 30 SSI 89 75 88 74 88 / 60 60 70 40 30 JAX 92 72 91 71 89 / 60 60 80 50 50 SGJ 93 74 89 72 87 / 60 50 70 60 50 GNV 90 73 88 70 87 / 60 50 80 60 70 OCF 90 73 89 72 87 / 60 60 70 60 70

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BKBF1 9 mi46 min 83°F 1012 hPa
JXUF1 20 mi46 min 84°F
NFDF1 23 mi46 min WSW 5.1 G 9.9 84°F 1011.3 hPa76°F
DMSF1 24 mi46 min 83°F
BLIF1 25 mi46 min W 11 G 16 83°F 1012.5 hPa77°F
LTJF1 27 mi46 min 82°F 72°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 28 mi46 min WSW 13 G 15 81°F 80°F1012 hPa
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 30 mi34 min W 9.9 G 14 83°F 80°F1012.8 hPa (+0.5)74°F
41117 36 mi64 min 80°F2 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 40 mi109 min W 5.1 81°F 1014 hPa74°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 44 mi46 min WSW 8 G 11 84°F 82°F1011.5 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cecil Airport, FL11 mi44 minW 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F73°F62%1011.8 hPa
Jacksonville Naval Air Station, FL12 mi41 minWNW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F72°F67%1011.5 hPa
Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport, FL21 mi41 minW 910.00 miFair86°F72°F63%1011.6 hPa
Keystone Airpark, FL22 mi39 minW 10 G 169.00 miA Few Clouds84°F73°F70%1012.5 hPa
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL24 mi38 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVQQ

Wind History from VQQ (wind in knots)
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SW55SW754S55SE5SE545S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3W6W6
2 days agoS10S5S54SE6--SW95NW6NW6N644CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3S6SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida
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Black Creek
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Sat -- 02:47 AM EDT     5.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:17 AM EDT     4.89 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:35 PM EDT     5.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:23 PM EDT     4.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.35.65.75.75.65.55.35.1554.94.95.15.35.55.55.45.35.154.94.94.94.9

Tide / Current Tables for Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida
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Orange Park
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Sat -- 01:38 AM EDT     0.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:43 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:24 PM EDT     0.30 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:08 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.50.40.2-0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.200.20.30.30.20-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.1

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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