Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Asbury Lake, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:30PM Sunday December 15, 2019 10:53 AM EST (15:53 UTC) Moonrise 9:07PMMoonset 10:21AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Expires:201912152100;;821655 Fzus52 Kjax 151300 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 800 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz450-452-454-152100- Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 800 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Rest of today..North northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters smooth. Patchy morning fog.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. Patchy dense fog.
Monday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north northwest 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Showers likely.
Wednesday and Wednesday night..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. A chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 800 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure will remain in the region through Monday. Cold front will approach from the west on Tuesday and cross the waters Tuesday night. Strong high pressure build north of the waters Wednesday and Thursday.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 14, 2019 at 1200 utc... 42 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 41 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 50 nautical miles east southeast of jacksonville beach. 74 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asbury Lake, FL
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location: 30.08, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 151303 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 803 AM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

NEAR TERM [Through This afternoon].

High pressure overhead this morning, will move to the east this afternoon. Remaining patchy fog will lift in the next hour or so. Clear skies will be expected through the afternoon. With winds becoming more onshore, temperatures will be cooler near the coast this afternoon, as coastal water temperatures are in the lower to mid 60s. Readings will reach the lower to mid 70s inland NE FL, and mid to upper 60s coastal NE FL this afternoon. And upper 60s to around 70 inland SE GA, and middle 60s coastal SE GA.

PREV DISCUSSION [528 AM EST].

SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday].

Dry weather comes to an end as high pressure moves off and a cold front passes through the region on Tuesday. A round of showers with embedded thunderstorms is expected with this boundary. Continued south-southwesterly flow will advect warm air causing temperatures to rise well above climo. Highs peak in the mid to upper 70s with the potential for our southern counties to be in the low 80s.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Saturday].

High pressure builds in behind the frontal passage bringing a drier, colder air mass over the region. Widespread freezing temperatures are possible across inland counties Wednesday night. Below climo temperatures on Wednesday rise to near normal by the end of the week. On Friday, as the high moves off to the northeast, an inverted trough develops along the Atlantic coast bringing the potential for coastal showers. The trough strengthens on Saturday increasing the chance for onshore showers.

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Monday]

A few patches of IFR VSBYS and/or LIFR CIGS in shallow fog this morning from 12-14z at all TAF sites except for SGJ. Otherwise becoming VFR through the day and into the evening hours. Some chance again for late night fog tonight after 06z for inland TAF sites once again and will show a brief trend at VQQ/GNV again.

MARINE.

High pressure over the waters today will generally lead to light and variable winds 5 to 10 knots with seas 2-5 ft. High pressure moves east of the local waters with winds becoming south to southeast 10-15 knots tonight through Monday Night with seas 3-6 ft. Ahead of the next front on Tuesday, south to southwest winds increase to 15-20 knots with seas 3-6 ft. Cold front crosses the waters Tuesday Night with Northwest winds increasing to 20-25 knots and expecting Small Craft Advisory headlines that will continue into Wednesday and Thursday as Strong High Pressure builds north of the waters and Winds become North to Northeast at 20-25 knots and seas build into the 5 to 9 feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 68 45 76 61 74 / 0 0 0 30 60 SSI 64 54 74 62 74 / 0 0 0 10 60 JAX 69 51 78 61 78 / 0 0 0 10 60 SGJ 68 56 77 62 79 / 0 0 0 10 30 GNV 73 51 78 61 78 / 0 0 0 0 60 OCF 75 52 81 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 30

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NFDF1 23 mi59 min NE 2.9 G 5.1 56°F 1023.6 hPa
DMSF1 24 mi59 min 63°F
BLIF1 25 mi59 min N 2.9 G 4.1 58°F 1023.4 hPa50°F
LTJF1 27 mi59 min 57°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 28 mi59 min NNE 1.9 G 4.1 58°F 62°F1022.7 hPa
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 30 mi53 min N 5.1 G 6 59°F 64°F1022.7 hPa (+2.6)
41117 36 mi53 min 67°F2 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 40 mi68 min N 2.9 59°F 1024 hPa52°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 44 mi59 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 62°F 61°F1023.3 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cecil Airport, FL11 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair61°F50°F68%1022.3 hPa
Jacksonville Naval Air Station, FL12 mi60 minVar 310.00 miFair59°F46°F64%1022.1 hPa
Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport, FL21 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair59°F46°F62%1022.3 hPa
Keystone Airpark, FL22 mi58 minENE 710.00 miFair57°F50°F77%1022 hPa
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL24 mi57 minNNE 310.00 miFair59°F50°F72%1022.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVQQ

Wind History from VQQ (wind in knots)
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----W15W6W6W6CalmCalm----CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4
1 day ago4NW53333CalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmS55S7
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NE12NE12NE13NE13NE11NE8NE8N9NE5NE4N3N3CalmCalmN3N3Calm--NW63NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida
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Black Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:08 AM EST     5.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:39 AM EST     4.80 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:20 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:56 PM EST     5.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:35 PM EST     4.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.25.55.55.55.45.254.94.84.84.84.95.25.55.75.85.75.65.35.154.94.94.9

Tide / Current Tables for Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida
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Orange Park
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:15 AM EST     0.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:01 PM EST     0.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:01 PM EST     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.40.30-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.300.30.50.50.50.30.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.