Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Asbury Lake, FL
November 30, 2023 10:35 PM EST (03:35 UTC)
Sunrise 7:03AM Sunset 5:27PM Moonrise 8:22PM Moonset 10:17AM
AMZ452 Expires:202312011015;;682867 Fzus52 Kjax 010054 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 754 pm est Thu nov 30 2023
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-011015- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 754 pm est Thu nov 30 2023
Rest of tonight..East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 754 pm est Thu nov 30 2023
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-011015- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 754 pm est Thu nov 30 2023
Rest of tonight..East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 754 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis..
high pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over the area Tuesday.
Gulf stream..
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 25, 2023 at 1200 utc...
47 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 47 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 56 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 75 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Synopsis..
high pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over the area Tuesday.
Gulf stream..
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 25, 2023 at 1200 utc...
47 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 47 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 56 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 75 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 010043 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 743 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 732 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Forecast remains on track as mid/high clouds continue to stream aloft out of the Gulf of Mexico and across the region with local radars showing some weak echoes (likely mid level Virga) but enough dry air below 500 mb to have most of any moisture aloft evaporate before reaching the ground and measurable rainfall chances remain at 10% or less tonight. Closer to the surface, the boundary layer flow has shifted to the south and is advecting a bit more moisture just overtop of the surface flow from the East and Northeast and this has already cooled surface temps back down into the 50s in most locations, with lows expected in the upper 40s across SE GA and lower/middle 50s across NE FL. Winds will remain light through the night and if enough breaks in the clouds occur towards sunrise, there might be enough cooling to support some patchy fog (mainly 3-5 mile vsbys) and significant dense fog is not expected at this time. On Friday, quasi warm frontal boundary will lift north of the region and SW steering flow ahead of the approaching system will push temps back above normal as skies become partly sunny. Highs should reach into the upper 70s across inland SE GA and around 80F/lower 80s across inland NE FL, while surface flow from the SE will keep the Atlantic beaches in the 70s for afternoon highs. A few light pre-frontal showers will be possible, mainly across inland SE GA and the Suwannee Valley of inland NE FL, but overall rainfall chances remain around 20% or less, although showers will remain possible over the Atlantic Coastal waters late tonight through Friday.
NEAR TERM
(through Tonight)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure will continue to move away to the northeast through Tonight, with lingering inverted trough over the coastal waters. The region is in the east side of a large and fairly flat 500 mb trough, which will allow upper energy to move across area producing high cloudiness. It is expected to be a mainly dry night, but a few light showers will be possible over north central and coastal FL due to inverted trough.
With the flow onshore, it will be a much milder night, with lows ranging from the upper 40s well inland SE GA, to the lower 60s coastal NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
This will be an active weather period.
The surface high will move away to the east northeast Friday, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. A warm front is expected to develop on the approaching frontal system, and extend east across the area near the GA/FL line Friday afternoon. Lift associated with this warm front will result in a few showers well inland in the afternoon. The upper trough will become more amplified on Friday, with upper clouds continuing to stream across. So, in general, Friday will be a cloudy day. Temperatures will rise well above normal with readings reaching the mid to upper 70s SE GA, and upper 70s to lower 80s NE FL.
The warm front will move northeast across SE GA through the night Friday night, with showers developing along it. While a few showers will be possible across NE FL, the best chances will be north of the front over SE GA. Lows in the lower to mid 60s will be common.
The Saturday forecast is somewhat tricky, with warm front to the north and cold front reaching western counties late in the day. Much of NE FL could be rain free, while there will be significantly higher rain chances expected for interior SE GA along with thunderstorm potential. The temperature forecast will be very dependent on rainfall coverage. Areas that are more rain free could surge through the 80s in the afternoon given strength of warm advection.
The cold front will remain largely to the northwest of the area Saturday night, then sweep southeast across area Sunday. Rain will overspread the area during this period. Temperatures will remain well above normal through Sunday, but Sunday will be cooler than Saturday.
The best chance for stronger storms this period will be far inland counties Saturday evening.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
The cold front will move well to the southeast Sunday night, with high pressure building overhead on Monday into Monday night.
Lingering showers expected for Sunday night.
Another cold front is forecast to move southeast across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. This boundary will pass through dry, but will bring a reinforcement to the cooler airmass.
Temperatures this period, will be just below normal through Tuesday, then trend even cooler.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
VFR conds this evening with a mix of mid/high clouds, but the more moisture rich boundary layer flow from the south overrunning the cool airmass along with a few breaks in the sky cover towards sunrise will likely support some 4-6SM fog at all TAF sites along with the usual chances for IFR conds at VQQ in the 09-13Z time frame. Mild southerly flow will mix out and low level BR in the morning hours with winds increasing to 8-10G12-15 knots by the afternoon hours along with some SCT low level Cu in the 2500-4000 ft range with SCT/BKN mid and high clouds aloft, but any rainfall chances likely hold off until after the current TAF period on Friday Night.
MARINE
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
High pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over area Tuesday.
Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Friday NE FL Moderate Today, Low Friday
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 47 78 61 76 / 10 20 60 70 SSI 56 73 62 75 / 10 10 30 50 JAX 53 80 63 79 / 10 10 30 40 SGJ 58 79 64 79 / 10 10 20 20 GNV 54 82 63 81 / 10 10 20 30 OCF 55 83 64 82 / 10 10 10 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 743 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 732 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Forecast remains on track as mid/high clouds continue to stream aloft out of the Gulf of Mexico and across the region with local radars showing some weak echoes (likely mid level Virga) but enough dry air below 500 mb to have most of any moisture aloft evaporate before reaching the ground and measurable rainfall chances remain at 10% or less tonight. Closer to the surface, the boundary layer flow has shifted to the south and is advecting a bit more moisture just overtop of the surface flow from the East and Northeast and this has already cooled surface temps back down into the 50s in most locations, with lows expected in the upper 40s across SE GA and lower/middle 50s across NE FL. Winds will remain light through the night and if enough breaks in the clouds occur towards sunrise, there might be enough cooling to support some patchy fog (mainly 3-5 mile vsbys) and significant dense fog is not expected at this time. On Friday, quasi warm frontal boundary will lift north of the region and SW steering flow ahead of the approaching system will push temps back above normal as skies become partly sunny. Highs should reach into the upper 70s across inland SE GA and around 80F/lower 80s across inland NE FL, while surface flow from the SE will keep the Atlantic beaches in the 70s for afternoon highs. A few light pre-frontal showers will be possible, mainly across inland SE GA and the Suwannee Valley of inland NE FL, but overall rainfall chances remain around 20% or less, although showers will remain possible over the Atlantic Coastal waters late tonight through Friday.
NEAR TERM
(through Tonight)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure will continue to move away to the northeast through Tonight, with lingering inverted trough over the coastal waters. The region is in the east side of a large and fairly flat 500 mb trough, which will allow upper energy to move across area producing high cloudiness. It is expected to be a mainly dry night, but a few light showers will be possible over north central and coastal FL due to inverted trough.
With the flow onshore, it will be a much milder night, with lows ranging from the upper 40s well inland SE GA, to the lower 60s coastal NE FL.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
This will be an active weather period.
The surface high will move away to the east northeast Friday, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. A warm front is expected to develop on the approaching frontal system, and extend east across the area near the GA/FL line Friday afternoon. Lift associated with this warm front will result in a few showers well inland in the afternoon. The upper trough will become more amplified on Friday, with upper clouds continuing to stream across. So, in general, Friday will be a cloudy day. Temperatures will rise well above normal with readings reaching the mid to upper 70s SE GA, and upper 70s to lower 80s NE FL.
The warm front will move northeast across SE GA through the night Friday night, with showers developing along it. While a few showers will be possible across NE FL, the best chances will be north of the front over SE GA. Lows in the lower to mid 60s will be common.
The Saturday forecast is somewhat tricky, with warm front to the north and cold front reaching western counties late in the day. Much of NE FL could be rain free, while there will be significantly higher rain chances expected for interior SE GA along with thunderstorm potential. The temperature forecast will be very dependent on rainfall coverage. Areas that are more rain free could surge through the 80s in the afternoon given strength of warm advection.
The cold front will remain largely to the northwest of the area Saturday night, then sweep southeast across area Sunday. Rain will overspread the area during this period. Temperatures will remain well above normal through Sunday, but Sunday will be cooler than Saturday.
The best chance for stronger storms this period will be far inland counties Saturday evening.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
The cold front will move well to the southeast Sunday night, with high pressure building overhead on Monday into Monday night.
Lingering showers expected for Sunday night.
Another cold front is forecast to move southeast across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. This boundary will pass through dry, but will bring a reinforcement to the cooler airmass.
Temperatures this period, will be just below normal through Tuesday, then trend even cooler.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
VFR conds this evening with a mix of mid/high clouds, but the more moisture rich boundary layer flow from the south overrunning the cool airmass along with a few breaks in the sky cover towards sunrise will likely support some 4-6SM fog at all TAF sites along with the usual chances for IFR conds at VQQ in the 09-13Z time frame. Mild southerly flow will mix out and low level BR in the morning hours with winds increasing to 8-10G12-15 knots by the afternoon hours along with some SCT low level Cu in the 2500-4000 ft range with SCT/BKN mid and high clouds aloft, but any rainfall chances likely hold off until after the current TAF period on Friday Night.
MARINE
Issued at 227 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
High pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over area Tuesday.
Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Friday NE FL Moderate Today, Low Friday
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 47 78 61 76 / 10 20 60 70 SSI 56 73 62 75 / 10 10 30 50 JAX 53 80 63 79 / 10 10 30 40 SGJ 58 79 64 79 / 10 10 20 20 GNV 54 82 63 81 / 10 10 20 30 OCF 55 83 64 82 / 10 10 10 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BKBF1 | 9 mi | 48 min | NNE 1.9G | 59°F | 30.17 | |||
| JXUF1 | 20 mi | 48 min | 62°F | |||||
| NFDF1 | 23 mi | 48 min | 0G | 54°F | 30.18 | 54°F | ||
| DMSF1 | 24 mi | 48 min | 64°F | |||||
| BLIF1 | 25 mi | 48 min | N 1G | 59°F | 30.19 | 59°F | ||
| LTJF1 | 27 mi | 48 min | 61°F | 60°F | ||||
| MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL | 28 mi | 48 min | N 5.1G | 62°F | 64°F | 30.19 | ||
| SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 30 mi | 36 min | NNW 4.1G | 63°F | 65°F | 30.15 | 63°F | |
| 41117 | 36 mi | 66 min | 68°F | 3 ft | ||||
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 40 mi | 111 min | 0 | 56°F | 30.18 | 55°F | ||
| FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 44 mi | 48 min | NNE 1G | 62°F | 61°F | 30.18 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KNIP JACKSONVILLE NAS (TOWERS FLD),FL | 11 sm | 42 min | N 10 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 61°F | 55°F | 82% | 30.17 | |
| KVQQ CECIL,FL | 12 sm | 45 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 54°F | 100% | 30.17 | |
| KHEG HERLONG RECREATIONAL,FL | 14 sm | 20 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 52°F | 94% | 30.18 | |
| KCRG JACKSONVILLE EXECUTIVE AT CRAIG,FL | 22 sm | 42 min | NNE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 55°F | 100% | 30.17 | |
| KSGJ NORTHEAST FLORIDA RGNL,FL | 24 sm | 39 min | calm | 10 sm | -- | 59°F | 57°F | 94% | 30.17 |
Wind History from VQQ
(wind in knots)Black Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:14 AM EST 5.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:09 AM EST 4.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 02:53 PM EST 5.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:26 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:22 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:08 PM EST 4.85 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:14 AM EST 5.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:09 AM EST 4.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 02:53 PM EST 5.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:26 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:22 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:08 PM EST 4.85 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5.3 |
| 1 am |
| 5.4 |
| 2 am |
| 5.5 |
| 3 am |
| 5.5 |
| 4 am |
| 5.3 |
| 5 am |
| 5.2 |
| 6 am |
| 5 |
| 7 am |
| 4.9 |
| 8 am |
| 4.8 |
| 9 am |
| 4.8 |
| 10 am |
| 4.8 |
| 11 am |
| 5.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 5.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 5.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 5 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.9 |
Orange Park
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:02 AM EST 0.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:52 AM EST -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:52 PM EST 0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:26 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:21 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 08:53 PM EST -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:02 AM EST 0.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 07:52 AM EST -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:52 PM EST 0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:26 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:21 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 08:53 PM EST -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0.1 |
| 5 am |
| -0.3 |
| 6 am |
| -0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0.4 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -0 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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