Monday, August3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:07PM Monday August 3, 2020 12:56 PM CDT (17:56 UTC) Moonrise 7:33PMMoonset 5:23AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 1024 Am Cdt Mon Aug 3 2020
Rest of today..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Wednesday..Northwest winds up to 5 knots becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 1024 Am Cdt Mon Aug 3 2020
Synopsis.. Surface high pressure meandering over the western gulf of mexico will maintain light and somewhat variable winds through much of the week. A dry northerly flow aloft will limit any shower and Thunderstorm activity.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 031641 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1141 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2020

DISCUSSION. Rather nice morning with clr skies acrs much of SW LA and SE TX, with light northwesterly winds acrs the region. The slightly drier airmass allowed for lows to reach the upper 60s acrs the northern zones, with lower 70s further south. KLCH 12Z sounding shows PWAT near 1.6 inches (about 25 percent of the moving average per climatology). That said, moisture remains sufficient below 600 mb for some sctd CU to develop through the aftn.

Sfc map this morning shows a weak sfc front acrs NE TX into far NW LA, moving SE. The interaction of this boundary with daytime heating and the aforementioned low level moisture could provide enough forcing for the development of some isolated showers or tstms this aftn, a possibility hinted at in CAM guidance. Tweaked hourly PoPs using a blend of hi-res guidance, capping at 14 percent for now as drier air aloft should keep coverage very isolated at best. Other than some minor adjustments to hourly temps and dewpoints to reflect morning obs, fcst is on track and no update is expected at this time.

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AVIATION. 03/18Z TAF Issuance.

Sctd CU field beginning to develop acrs the region and expect this trend to continue. CAM guidance suggests some very isolated SHRA/TSRA will be possible during the aftn, but expect coverage will be too sparse to warrant mention in TAFs at this time. VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period. A weak frontal boundary will slowly sag south acrs the area this evening and overnight, stalling acrs southern portions of the area. This will result in light and somewhat vrbl winds this aftn and tonight, bcmg light/nwly Tuesday morning.

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PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 705 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2020/

DISCUSSION . 03/12Z TAF PACKAGE

AVIATION . Current obs showing clear skies across all terminals and very light winds out of the NW. Winds overnight will shift more out of the west for the southern terminals, however with it being light, an additional tempo was unnecessary. Otherwise we can expect VFR conditions to persist throughout this forecast period.

Stigger 87

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 428 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2020/

DISCUSSION . Satellite imagery showing clear skies across the forecast area this morning. Temperatures are trending generally in the low to mid 70s over the southern part of the area, around 70 across central Louisiana into interior southeast Texas. Evening LCH sounding indicating a PWAT now down to a very low 1.35 inches. Well defined subsidence inversion from a dry northerly flow aloft noted at around 8K ft, with pronounced afternoon mixing yielding an inverted-V sounding.

Front over area has become increasingly diffuse and will simply negate its whereabouts at this time. More notable boundary now arcs across Arkansas into north Texas. This feature will be advancing southeast and will enter the forecast area tonight, slipping down to possibly the Interstate 10 corridor or coast before stalling. Areas north of the boundary will enjoy slightly lower dewpoints. Front will then linger about the area, returning north as a warm front Thursday.

Rain chances will remain nil today across the area. Region now under a dry northwest flow aloft between a deep trof extending from the Great Lakes region south through the Mississippi Valley, and a high amplitude ridge entering the western Plains. PWAT progged to hold well under 1.5 inches. Do maintain a low end chance for a few showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon for mainly southeast Texas with some weak shortwave energy incoming aided by the stalled boundary.

Low end rain chances then remain in place for much of the area Wednesday through Friday as impulses continue to translate into the area from the northwest. A deepening low level southerly flow develops for the weekend resulting in increased pops.

MARINE . Surface high pressure meandering over the western Gulf of Mexico will maintain light and somewhat variable winds through much of the week. A dry northerly flow aloft will limit any shower and thunderstorm activity.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. AEX 94 69 93 70 / 10 10 0 0 LCH 93 74 93 74 / 10 10 10 0 LFT 93 74 92 72 / 10 10 10 0 BPT 93 75 94 76 / 10 10 20 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . None. TX . None. GM . None.

PUBLIC/AVIATION . 24


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi57 min WNW 5.1 G 8 88°F 86°F1016.2 hPa (+0.0)
BKTL1 23 mi57 min 87°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi57 min N 7 G 8 86°F 87°F1018.2 hPa (+0.0)
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi57 min 87°F 86°F1016.2 hPa (+0.0)
TXPT2 29 mi57 min NNW 5.1 G 7 86°F 86°F1014.5 hPa (+0.0)
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi57 min NW 7 G 8.9 86°F 85°F1014.7 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi82 minWNW 610.00 miFair90°F70°F53%1016.9 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi82 minWNW 610.00 miFair89°F72°F57%1016.9 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi64 minW 710.00 miFair90°F73°F59%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KORG

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N4CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW3NW5NW5
1 day agoCalmE3W3NW4NW3CalmCalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N5N5NE5N4
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SW6CalmNE3E3CalmCalmCalmSW5SW6SW6SW4SW4W3NW6CalmNE3CalmN3

Tide / Current Tables for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:47 AM CDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 AM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 11:31 AM CDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:47 PM CDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:44 PM CDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.200.40.711.21.41.41.31.31.21.21.21.21.21.21.210.80.50.1-0.1-0.3-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:49 AM CDT     1.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:47 AM CDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:59 AM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 02:51 PM CDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:15 PM CDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.60.91.21.51.61.61.61.51.41.31.31.31.41.41.41.41.210.60.2-0-0.2-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.