Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 5:16PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 6:31 PM CST (00:31 UTC) Moonrise 4:21PMMoonset 5:20AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 321 Pm Cst Tue Dec 10 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough. Chance of rain showers in the evening.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers.
Friday..North winds around 5 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth.
Friday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening, then chance of rain showers after midnight.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 321 Pm Cst Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis.. Strong northerly winds with frequent gusts to gale force will continue across the coastal waters tonight. Winds and seas will subside slightly by Thursday morning but small craft advisory conditions will continue into Thursday night. Light winds and seas will develop by Friday and continue through the weekend with high pressure in place over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 102322 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 522 PM CST Tue Dec 10 2019

DISCUSSION. 00Z Taf issuance.

AVIATION. Radar showing intermittent light rain continuing over the region, and likely to remain for the remainder of the evening across all sites. MVFR to IFR ceilings will prevail this evening and overnight through daybreak, with clearing around 15-16z Wednesday. North- northwest winds around 16-18 kts with gusts 25-30 kts expected for the next couple of hours, especially over LFT/ARA terminals. Winds will relax a bit this evening, but expected to stay around 12-15 kts overnight into Wednesday.

DML

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 314 PM CST Tue Dec 10 2019/

DISCUSSION .

Short Term [This evening through Friday]

This afternoon's radar imagery shows showers extending from southeast Texas northeastward into northern and central Louisiana along a region of isentropic ascent behind the surface cold front. This region of isentropic ascent is forecast to gradually shift east-southeastward through this evening. The steadiest rainfall is expected to continue through late this evening before gradually ending after midnight as the best support for ascent progresses east of the CWA. Meanwhile, cold air advection will continue through the overnight and contribute to temperatures falling into the 30s/low 40s by sunrise.

High pressure will build into the region during the day Wednesday and contribute to decreasing northeasterly winds. The high pressure will result in clear skies which combined with insolation which help counteract the continuing weak cold air advection and result in temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 50s.

A weak shortwave trough is forecast to move across the Lower Mississippi River Valley from Thursday into Friday. This will support at least a slight chance for showers to develop, mainly across southeastern Louisiana, from Thursday afternoon into Friday. Otherwise, skies will be partly to mostly cloudy and temperatures will climb into the 60s.

Long Term [Saturday through Tuesday]

Longer range model guidance is in good agreement that predominately northwesterly to westerly flow aloft will be in place over the northern Gulf Coast from Saturday through late Sunday. This will result in dry conditions and above normal temperatures with highs in the upper 60s/low 70s during the weekend. The next upper level trough is forecast to approach the region on Monday and result in chances for showers and possibly thunderstorms as well. The trough axis is expected to shift east of the region on Tuesday and upper level subsidence combined with surface high pressure building into the region should result in dry conditions and cooler temperatures during the middle part of next week.

MARINE .

Strong offshore winds of 20-30 knots with frequent gusts above gale force will continue through the overnight hours over the coastal waters. This offshore flow will result in below normal water levels along the inland lakes and bays, particularly during low tide Wednesday. P-ETSS guidance, which has been accurate thus far throughout the event, has the lowest water levels only getting down to -0.5 ft MLLW. Therefore, no Low Water Advisories are expected to be needed at this time.

Winds are expected to begin gradually decreasing near sunrise but will remain above 20 knots across most of the coastal waters through the day on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Therefore, Small Craft Advisories will be needed for the coastal waters during the day tomorrow. However, in order to keep the messaging in the marine hazard products simple, the current marine hazards were left unchanged during this forecast package.

Winds and seas are expected to improve late Wednesday into Thursday morning as the pressure gradient decreases over the coastal waters. Fair navigating conditions and light winds will persist into the weekend before the next low pressure system approaches the coastal waters on Monday. Another period of strong offshore flow is possible behind this system during the early to middle part of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. AEX 32 56 33 58 / 80 0 0 10 LCH 39 58 40 59 / 80 0 0 20 LFT 42 58 41 60 / 80 10 10 30 BPT 40 58 41 59 / 40 0 0 10

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for LAZ041>045-052>055- 073-074.

TX . Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for TXZ215-216.

GM . Gale Warning until 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ450-452-455-470-472- 475.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ430-432-435.



AVIATION . 08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi43 min N 14 G 18 49°F 63°F1023 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi55 min 69°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi55 min NNE 22 G 30 50°F 65°F1024.6 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi55 min 46°F 64°F1023.3 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi49 min NNE 20 G 27 48°F 63°F1021.8 hPa
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi43 min NE 18 G 24 49°F 63°F1020.2 hPa
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi31 min NNE 18 G 24 49°F 1023.3 hPa (+2.2)48°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi36 minNNE 6 G 145.00 miRain48°F45°F90%1024.7 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi56 minNNE 14 G 2710.00 miRain48°F44°F89%1023.7 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi38 minN 1310.00 miLight Rain50°F46°F89%1023.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KORG

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S4S6S3SW3CalmS5CalmCalmN3N11
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1 day agoS4SE3SE5S5S4S6S6S5S6S5SW4S6SW5SW5S6S8SW10S11
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2 days agoCalmCalmE5E3CalmE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4E3E4E5SE5S8S8S9S8S6SE5S4

Tide / Current Tables for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:46 AM CST     1.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:19 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:05 AM CST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:22 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:28 PM CST     1.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:43 PM CST     1.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.110.90.60.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.100.20.50.711.11.21.21.21.11111.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:33 AM CST     1.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:19 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:03 AM CST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:42 PM CST     1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:22 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:39 PM CST     1.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.21.110.70.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.200.40.71.11.31.41.51.41.31.21.11.11.11.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.