Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:51PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:33PMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 356 Pm Cdt Wed Aug 21 2019
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely through the day. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 356 Pm Cdt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis.. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will continue. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms, mainly during the late night and morning hours, can be expected through Thursday. Shower and Thunderstorm chances will increase for Friday and the weekend as disturbance crosses the western gulf.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 212345
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
645 pm cdt Wed aug 21 2019

Discussion
00z tafs

Aviation
Convection has begun to wane in typical evening fashion over the
last couple of hours. The remainder of the precipitation will
continue to dissipate through the evening with dry conditions
expected overnight. Light and variable winds and areas of
saturated soil will again aid in the possibility of some patchy
fog development Thursday morning, but extent and probability is
not high enough to explicitly mention in tafs.

Convection will reinitialize by late Thursday morning with
scattered thunderstorms once again expected through Thursday
afternoon. Periods of visibility restricting heavy rainfall,
frequent lightning and brief, gusty winds will be possible with
some storms.

Jones

Prev discussion issued 421 pm cdt Wed aug 21 2019
synopsis...

a persistent pattern remains in place aloft with high pres from the
sw into tx as well as acrs fl, with a general weakness in between
these features acrs la and the lower ms valley. At the sfc, high
pres continues to ridge acrs the northern gulf, with a light
onshore flow maintaining an influx of low level moisture. Klch
radar shows isolated showers acrs SE tx with more sctd showers
further east toward the acadiana region. Mrms indicates a few
isolated showers are capable of producing intense rainfall rates
of more than 3 inches per hour, however, rainfall totals in
general have been around an inch or less.

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discussion...

minimal changes to the fcst for the upcoming period, as the region
remains beneath a general weakness aloft through early next week.

A typical diurnal convective pattern is expected again tonight
into Thursday, similar to the past several days. Aftn convection
is expected to diminish around sunset, with showers re-developing
late tonight over the coastal waters then transitioning inland
over coastal areas during the morning as daytime heating gets
underway. Convection will become more widespread by aftn, with
some showers and storms capable of heavy rain, as boundary
interactions promote additional development.

Rain chcs will increase further from Thursday night into Saturday
as a midlevel disturbance lifts north over western gulf. Precip
water values are progged to increase to at least 2.2 inches, and
the combined increase in moisture and lift associated with the
disturbance will provide more widespread rain coverage. Given the
unusually high moisture content and relatively slow storm motions
(around 10 kt or less), storms will be capable of efficient rain
rates as well as the possibility of localized flooding. Wpc has
outlined most of the area in a mrgl risk for excessive rainfall on
Friday. Model guidance suggests overall rainfall totals up to 2 to
3 inches through the weekend, which is a little lower than the
previous model run. Despite this, the potential exists for
localized amounts in excess of these values, and this will be
continue to be monitored over the coming days.

By Sunday, a shortwave in the westerlies will drop southeast
toward the lower ms valley, while the disturbance over the nw
gulf continues to slowly lift northeast. These two features
eventually merge by Monday over the northern gulf coast states,
with the weakness lingering over the region through early next
week. This will keep a decent chc of rain over the area through
early next week. Daily rain chcs will diminish only slightly, but
remain above normal from Sunday through Tuesday.

Daytime highs will be around 90 or into the lower 90s, with the
exception of Friday and Saturday when cloudy skies and nmrs to
widespread showers keep temperatures below normal. Overnight lows
will be in the lower to middle 70s.

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marine...

light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will continue through
next week. Shower and TSTM chances are expected to increase from
Thursday night into the weekend as a disturbance lifts northward
over the western gulf of mexico. Otherwise, expect more typical
late night into early morning sctd convection tonight and again
next week. Winds and seas will be locally higher near any
thunderstorms.

24

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 73 91 73 88 30 60 10 70
lch 77 90 76 87 20 50 30 80
lft 75 90 75 86 20 60 40 70
bpt 77 90 77 87 10 50 40 70

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 66


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi46 min SSE 4.1 G 7 86°F 89°F1015.3 hPa (-0.6)
BKTL1 23 mi46 min 89°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi46 min S 7 G 8.9 87°F 89°F1016.6 hPa (-0.5)
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi46 min 86°F 87°F1014.7 hPa (-0.9)
TXPT2 29 mi46 min S 7 G 8.9 86°F 88°F1013.6 hPa (-0.5)
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi46 min SSW 8 G 9.9 86°F 88°F1014.3 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi71 minSSW 410.00 miFair89°F79°F74%1015.6 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi71 minSE 510.00 miFair85°F76°F75%1015.2 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi53 minS 610.00 miFair87°F73°F65%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KORG

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3NW4S8W5SW4S9S5S5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmSE3SW6SW6CalmSW4SW4SW6CalmW3
2 days agoS4S4S3S5S3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW4S13
G17
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SW5S5S5CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:10 AM CDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:06 AM CDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:26 PM CDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:22 PM CDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:34 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.80.911.11.11.21.110.90.70.60.50.50.60.70.70.80.911.11

Tide / Current Tables for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:16 AM CDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:14 AM CDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:52 PM CDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:05 PM CDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:34 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.90.911.11.21.31.41.41.31.21.10.90.70.60.50.60.70.911.11.21.21.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.