Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 5:38PM Sunday February 23, 2020 9:59 AM CST (15:59 UTC) Moonrise 7:31AMMoonset 6:46PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202002240415;;974893 Fzus52 Ktae 231524 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 1024 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-240415- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1024 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020 /924 Am Cst Sun Feb 23 2020/
Rest of today..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Rain showers likely.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of rain.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of rain in the evening.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1024 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Synopsis.. After a beautiful Sunday with ideal boating conditions an active week is ahead for the marine waters as a frontal system will bring elevated wind and seas through much of the period. Winds and seas begin to increase tonight with cautionary levels possible as soon as Monday as winds increase to 15 or 20 knots and seas increase to 3 to 6 feet. Advisory level conditions are possible Monday night as the front nears with widespread showers and Thunderstorms moving in. A brief window of lower and and seas is possible Tuesday, with rain continuing, but expect higher winds and seas as the front moves through Wednesday with advisory level conditions expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 231527 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1027 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

UPDATE.

A very nice day is underway as high pressure slides east across the area. High/mid level cloudiness will increase from northwest to southeast as the day goes on but there will still be plenty of sunshine. Have bumped afternoon highs up a degree or two as the 12Z sounding depicts potential for just a bit more warming then expected today.

PREV DISCUSSION [339 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through today].

Deep-layer, low amplitude ridging will prevail today and veering low- layer flow will result in moderating temperatures. Highs will range from the low 70s in the southeast Big Bend to the low 60s in portions of southeast Alabama and south Georgia. Filtered sunshine is expected as high and mid level cloudiness begins to spread into the region from the west.

SHORT TERM [Monday through Tuesday night].

Rain chances will be on the increase Monday the next frontal system works it's way into the region. Main concern with this frontal system will be the threat for heavy rain that could aggravate river flooding already in place across much of the area. More information on this is available in the hydrology section below.

The upper level system responsible for this cold front, currently located over the 4 corners region of the western US, will quickly move east through the central US over the next 48 hours. Ahead of this system, strong southerly flow will advect plenty of moisture into the region and as the upper level support draws closer expect rain showers and thunderstorms to overspread the region from west to east through the day Monday. Expect rain to continue, off and on, through the night into Tuesday as the cold front begins to slow down. This will likely keep rain showers around through much of the day Tuesday and into Tuesday night. Expect the heaviest rainfall to likely fall Monday night into Tuesday afternoon across the area. Currently most areas have around 1 to 3 inches of rainfall for the event. While this likely isn't enough to produce flash flooding across the area, it could aggravate area rivers, especially if heavier amounts fall across the Apalachicola/Chattahoochee/Flint river basins.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

On Wednesday, a larger upper level trough will move east across the central US and this should be enough to quickly move the cold front through the entire region on Wednesday. Rain chances should quickly end through the day from west to east. Most high temperatures on Wednesday will likely be in the earlier part of the day with much cooler temperatures expected for Wednesday night.

For the rest of the week, expect cool and mostly dry conditions to prevail. Another reinforcing shot of cold air is likely later in the week as a broad upper level trough continues to control the weather in the eastern US.

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Monday]

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF with increasing high and mid-level cloudiness.

MARINE.

Active week ahead for the marine waters coming up as a frontal system will bring elevated wind and seas through much of the week. Winds and seas begin to increase tonight with cautionary levels possible as soon as Monday as winds increase to 15 or 20 knots and seas increase to 3 to 6 feet. Advisory level conditions are possible Monday night as the front nears with widespread showers and thunderstorms moving in. A brief window of lower and and seas is possible Tuesday, with rain continuing, but expect higher winds and seas as the front moves through Wednesday with advisory level conditions expected.

FIRE WEATHER.

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next several days, with high rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.

HYDROLOGY.

Rises continued today within the Apalachicola/Chattahoochee/Flint (ACF) River System. Upstream flows in the system will be sufficient to result in flooding throughout the lower Flint River as well as into the lower portions of the Chattahoochee River. On the Flint River side, expect peak flows to reach Albany by Monday. With the Lee County creeks also high, expect some backwater flooding around Lake Worth as well. By the middle to latter part of next week, peak flows on the Flint will pass Newton (Wednesday) and Bainbridge (Friday). Flooding will continue downstream of Woodruff in the Apalachicola River for the foreseeable future with the river expected to remain above 20.5 ft through next week.

With flooding occurring in the ACF and most other river basins at above normal flows (except for the Suwannee/Ochlockonee systems), the threat for river flooding is increased with the next storm system approaching the region Monday and Tuesday. Current projections suggest 1-3 inches of rain may fall across much of our region. If this rain falls within the ACF basin, expect flood severity to increase. Should the heavier amounts be further east into the Ochlockonee/Suwannee systems, the riverine flood threat would be minimal.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 69 48 72 63 75 / 0 0 40 90 80 Panama City 66 54 71 66 72 / 0 10 70 90 70 Dothan 63 49 68 62 71 / 0 0 80 100 70 Albany 63 48 69 61 72 / 0 0 60 100 80 Valdosta 67 50 74 62 74 / 0 0 20 80 90 Cross City 72 52 76 62 75 / 0 0 0 40 70 Apalachicola 63 54 70 66 72 / 0 0 40 80 70

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . Johnstone NEAR TERM . Harrigan SHORT TERM . Dobbs LONG TERM . Dobbs AVIATION . Harrigan MARINE . Dobbs FIRE WEATHER . Harrigan HYDROLOGY . Godsey/Johnstone/Dobbs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi65 min ENE 5.1 G 8 60°F
PCBF1 19 mi65 min ESE 7 G 9.9 54°F 61°F1026.5 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi65 min ENE 6 G 7 53°F 58°F1026.8 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 42 mi74 min E 6 1027 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi63 minE 910.00 miFair55°F37°F52%1026.7 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi66 minE 610.00 miFair53°F33°F47%1027.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------N10N9NE7N5N5NE6NE5NE5NE6NE5E4NE4E4E5E4NE4E5E8E9
1 day agoNE13
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NE7NE6NE5NE4NE5NE4NE6NE6NE7--
2 days agoSE12SE15S11S10S12S10SE9N14
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Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:14 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:30 AM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:33 AM CST     New Moon
Sun -- 10:03 AM CST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:36 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:46 PM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:49 PM CST     1.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.110.80.50.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.30.40.60.70.911.1

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:31 AM CST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:39 AM CST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:33 AM CST     New Moon
Sun -- 05:36 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:47 PM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:40 PM CST     0.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.80.60.40.20-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-000.10.20.40.50.70.80.911

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.