Sunrise 6:02 AM   Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 10:16 PM   Moonset 7:31 AM

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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 150 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Saturday afternoon - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Saturday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds, building to 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds after midnight. Protected waters rough. Sunday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters rough. Sunday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 250 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis -
elevated southeast winds to continue into the weekend, with advisory level conditions overnight and into tomorrow afternoon across waters west of apalachicola. The strongest winds are likely to be via nocturnal easterly surges, especially late Saturday to early Sunday. Winds and seas will relax to more favorable conditions early next week.

FXUS62 KTAE 261924 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY


NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

High pressure at the surface continues to dominate conditions for states along the Eastern Seaboard. This synoptic pattern should keep rain chances at a minimum and allow for a steady southeasterly wind throughout the region. An upper level ridge will build east of the Mississippi River over the weekend with heights as high as 586 dm over the tri-state area, above normal for this time of year. With ridging overhead, expect above average temperatures for Saturday.
However, upper and mid level clouds associated with a system over the great plains, will roll in from the west tonight and persist throughout tomorrow afternoon. Cloud cover may keep low temperatures a tad bit higher than last night and should keep high temperatures to the mid-80s for the area. As a result, confidence for fog is also low as dewpoint depressions will be slightly larger than the previous morning due to the higher minimum temperatures and winds will be slightly more elevated.

Other than some gusts of up to 20 Kts in the afternoon, Saturday should be another dry and pleasant day to start off the weekend.



SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Surface high pressure currently centered off the east coast of New Jersey, is expected to progress equatorward off the coast of Georgia and Florida by Sunday. As the surface high approaches the region, a tighter pressure gradient will continue to develop across the region. This will lead to progressively windier conditions on Sunday and Monday. During the overnight/morning periods, easterly/southeasterly surges of wind at SC.Y levels are expected across the marine zones across the forecast area. During the afternoon and evening periods, these winds will briefly drop to small craft exercise caution conditions. Outside of the aforementioned hazardous marine conditions, the surface high pressure combined with upper level ridging through Sunday night will keep rather fair weather across the region. Expect lows Sunday morning in the low 60s, and high temperatures climbing into the low to mid 80s areawide.



LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

The extended forecast will predominantly remain warm and dry for much of the region through the next work week as upper level ridging and surface high pressure remain in place across the Eastern Conus and Southeast respectively. A small piece of shortwave troughing, and associated piece of mid-level vorticity is expected to break off from a northeastward propagating longwave upper level trough currently across the central plains is expected to eject eastward through the early portion of the work week. As this aforementioned shortwave approaches the region, it is expected to weaken as it enters the tri-state area. Currently, it looks like dry air will remain in place across the region, and limit the amount of precipitation that could develop across the region. Current forecast PoP values are around 10% or less for much of the forecast area. Overall, the upper level ridge and surface high pressure look to remain entrenched enough across the region to prevent systems from entering the tri-state area.
Forecast high temperatures look to climb into the upper 80s to low 90s through the end of the forecast period. Low temperatures also look to remain above average, with temperatures dropping into the low 60s areawide.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

VFR conditions for all sites through the period. Mid and upper level cloud cover will continue to stream from the west. Cloud cover overnight should keep fog potential to a minimum for tomorrow morning. Winds will remain south southeasterly at all sites this afternoon with possible gusts of up to 20 Kts at ECP and DHN.
Tomorrow, breezy southeasterly winds with possible gusts up to 20 Kts for all terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Elevated southeast winds to continue into the weekend, with advisory level conditions overnight and into tomorrow afternoon across waters west of Apalachicola. The strongest winds are likely to be via nocturnal easterly surges, especially late Saturday to early Sunday. Winds and seas will relax to more favorable conditions early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Warm, dry, and somewhat breezy conditions are forecast through the weekend thanks to a strengthening pressure gradient across the region. Southeast winds prevail much of the period with afternoon seabreezes expected from both the Gulf and the Atlantic. High dispersions overtake parts of the FL Big Bend tomorrow afternoon, followed by greater coverage into portions of SW GA & SE AL Sunday and Monday. Given the lack of significant rainfall the past couple weeks and the aforementioned conditions anticipated, there could be some fire concerns in the coming days via drying fuels.



HYDROLOGY
Issued at 226 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Rain chances continue to remain low to near negligible through the next 7 days. Minor flooding on the Aucilla and Suwanee rivers continues; however, both rivers are continuing to fall and should drop below flood stage in the next couple of days. Overall, there are no flooding concerns given the dry pattern across the forecast area that is expected to continue for the next week.



SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 65 84 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 67 82 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 65 84 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 64 83 62 83 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 64 84 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 63 85 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 68 77 68 76 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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Fri -- 06:04 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:37 AM CDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:18 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:12 PM CDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
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Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet

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