Monday, July26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Upper Grand Lagoon, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 7:41PM Monday July 26, 2021 7:33 PM CDT (00:33 UTC) Moonrise 9:56PMMoonset 8:28AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202107270715;;493929 Fzus52 Ktae 261825 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 225 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-270715- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 225 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021 /125 Pm Cdt Mon Jul 26 2021/
Tonight..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the day.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 225 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021
Synopsis.. Tranquil boating conditions are expected to prevail through the week as westerly to southwesterly winds will remain around 10 knots or less through Thursday. Seas are also expected to remain at around 1 foot or less across all waters. Winds will pick up slightly starting Thursday, with sustained values between 10-15 knots expected. Seas are expected to respond with 1-2 foot swells more common. Showers and Thunderstorms may briefly bring elevated seas and winds throughout the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
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location: 30.17, -85.76     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 262330 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 730 PM EDT Mon Jul 26 2021

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Wednesday] VFR conditions expected this evening. TSRA are possible in vicinity of DHN through 05z, with a few already within 20 mi of the airport. Elsewhere, expect quiet conditions overnight with MVFR conditions at VLD prior to sunrise. VFR conditions after 13z with sct-nmrs TSRA developing after 19z. Given variability in model timing for storms Tuesday will only include VCTS groups at all sites on this TAF issuance.

PREV DISCUSSION [225 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tuesday].

Surface low near the Georgia low country will move ashore this afternoon and weaken as it moves westward. The associated increase in tropical moisture, as well as a tropical wave moving through the Gulf, will advect from west to east into our area tonight and Tuesday. Chances of showers and storms this afternoon and evening will reside mainly on our eastern border however, the HRRR continues to advertise development in southeast Alabama early this evening so have raised rain chances slightly in our western zones. Not much in the way of convection is expected in the overnight and early morning hours. Rain chances increase markedly late morning Tuesday through the afternoon hours with scattered to numerous coverage of storms and chances around 70% throughout the area. Highs Tuesday will be in the low to mid 90s with heat indices in the low to mid 100s.

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Night].

Across the upper levels, a shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to move through eastern Georgia and southern South Carolina late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. This is expected to provide ample upper level support across our SW Georgia regions to increase PoP chances through this time period. This upper level support coupled with a lingering weak surface low and high PW values greater than 2 inches from the current tropical wave moving into Jacksonville area will create an environment conducive enough for widespread showers and thunderstorms. This potentially could cause some nuisance flooding in streams and across drainage ditches with higher rainfall rates, especially if storms train or stay over the same areas for extended periods of time. Lows tomorrow night will be warm with mid 70s expected across the entire region. Highs will also be warm in the low 90s.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

As the previously aforementioned shortwave vorticity maxima moves off the coast of the United States, upper level ridging is expected to become the prominent synoptic feature through the remainder of the long term period. As the peak of the ridge axis is expected to be out west, northwest flow aloft is expected to return to the region, especially across the southeast. As weak to moderate troughing develops to our north over the Northeast and the Mid-Atlantic regions, we can expect a few shortwave impulses to ride along the periphery of the trough axis to our north and potentially increase rain chances and severity on any given day through the long term period. With the trough axis to our north, and the deep upper level ridge to our west, extremely high PW values in the 2" range will drop to around 1.5-1.8 through the long term as some dry air advects into the region through the mid and upper levels. Overall, seasonable rain chances are expected to return via diurnal convection that will encompass the area through the afternoon and evening hours. Currently, the biggest concern will be heat index values across the region heading into the weekend, with widespread advisory level heat indices (108+) possible starting Thursday and continuing through the weekend as high temperatures in the mid 90s coupled with dewpoints in the mid 70s will lead to these warm conditions. Lows overnight will also be warm in the mid to upper 70s expected across the region.

MARINE.

Tranquil boating conditions are expected to prevail through the week as westerly to southwesterly winds will remain around 10 knots or less through Thursday. Seas are also expected to remain at around 1 foot or less across all waters. Winds will pick up slightly starting Thursday, with sustained values between 10-15 knots expected. Seas are expected to respond with 1-2 foot swells more common. Showers and thunderstorms may briefly bring elevated seas and winds throughout the week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Aside from low dispersions, there are no fire weather concerns expected over the next several days.sion here.

HYDROLOGY.

Localized flooding is possible on Tuesday from the weak low- pressure system mentioned above that is moving from east to west into our region today and tomorrow. A marginal risk (level 1/5) for excessive rainfall exists for the entire region tomorrow in WPC's ERO. Overall, expect widespread totals of around 1 inch; however, isolated higher amounts are possible, especially given that PW values will be over 2 inches across the region. Any flooding is expected to remain localized with locations possibly seeing training storms or getting fast rainfall rates from slow moving storms. In terms of rivers, there are several in action stage, mainly in the Suwannee and Ochlockonee basins, but are forecast to either crest or fall.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 76 94 75 92 74 / 30 70 40 80 30 Panama City 78 92 78 90 77 / 10 60 30 70 40 Dothan 75 93 74 91 74 / 30 70 50 70 20 Albany 77 95 75 93 75 / 30 70 60 70 20 Valdosta 75 94 74 91 74 / 30 70 50 80 30 Cross City 77 91 77 91 76 / 30 50 40 70 40 Apalachicola 79 90 78 89 77 / 20 40 30 60 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . Godsey MARINE . Bunker FIRE WEATHER . Scholl HYDROLOGY . Bunker


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 5 mi45 min WSW 8.9 G 11 91°F
PCBF1 7 mi45 min W 8 G 9.9 86°F 87°F1013.5 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 52 mi45 min N 5.1 G 7 87°F 87°F1013.8 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 54 mi48 min SSW 2.9 87°F 1015 hPa76°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL11 mi37 minWSW 610.00 miFair87°F74°F64%1013.1 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL13 mi40 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy with Haze88°F76°F68%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW4SW4W4NW3CalmNW3NW4NW3CalmN3NE3NE3NE6NE5N5N5SE3S3W9SW9W9W10SW6
1 day agoSW4SW3W3NW3NW4NW5N3E3E3NE3NE4E4E8E6SE4E3NE4E3CalmNE6W4W9W4SW6
2 days agoNE5E4SE3CalmCalmCalmNE4NE3NE6NE6NE4E5NE5NE6NE7E3E5NE7E4SW7SW7W9SW8S6

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
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Mon -- 05:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:00 AM CDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:40 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:56 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:35 PM CDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.40.50.60.70.81.11.31.51.71.71.71.71.61.41.20.80.60.40.30.30.30.30.3

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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