Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
May 19, 2024 8:20 AM CDT (13:20 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:44 AM Sunset 7:33 PM Moonrise 4:11 PM Moonset 3:24 AM |
GMZ750 Expires:202405191500;;465518 Fzus52 Ktae 190657 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 257 am edt Sun may 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-191500- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 257 am edt Sun may 19 2024 /157 am cdt Sun may 19 2024/
Today - West winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms until late afternoon.
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and north 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds, becoming east 1 foot at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 257 am edt Sun may 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-191500- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 257 am edt Sun may 19 2024 /157 am cdt Sun may 19 2024/
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 257 Am Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis - West winds lighten through the day and eventually become north and northeasterly by Monday as a cold front moves through. Winds and seas will lessen some but still remain around 10 knots and 2 to 3 feet into Tuesday as easterly flow remains. Expect increases in the overnight hours with easterly surges from the atlantic seabreeze. By Wednesday of next week light winds and seas are expected to bring good boating conditions to area waters.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 191023 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 623 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
An upper level trough will move through north-central Georgia today.
Cooler temperatures aloft with this trough will steepen lapse rates, and residual moisture appears sufficient for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the area this afternoon. With the cooler temperatures aloft, small hail will possible with storms that develop. In addition, fairly high DCAPE values due to some mid-level dry air may allow for some gusty winds with the storms as well. Any storms that develop are expected to diminish after sunset. Highs will generally be in the 80s across the area this afternoon with lows tonight generally in the 60s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A weak cold front should move through the forecast on Monday as the upper level trough that brought an active weekend of weather moves off the east coast. One weak shortwave passing through and northerly flow converging with the seabreeze at the surface could help generate a few showers, and possibly a thunderstorm on Monday afternoon across the southeast Big Bend where better low to mid-level moisture exists. High temperatures should be a little cooler on Monday and drop into the mid to upper 80s.
Dry northwesterly flow moves in as a ridge axis to our west begins to build. Rain chances should clear out with the surface high and easterly flow remaining in place for the afternoon. Expect temperatures to warm back up to around the upper 80s and around 90.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Quiet conditions are in store for much of the week as the upper ridge axis builds across the southeast. Light easterly flow through the week is expected and with the ridge controlling the pattern, no rain is expected. We will likely see above normal temperatures through the period with highs in the low 90s most afternoons.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Pockets of MVFR to IFR ceilings will continue early this morning with VFR conditions returning later this morning areawide.
Otherwise, an upper low will move across north Georgia today. The cold air aloft will support some pop-up afternoon shower and thunderstorm development. Confidence in placement, coverage, and timing is only high enough go with VCSH and VCTS at this time.
MARINE
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
West winds lighten through the day and eventually become north and northeasterly by Monday as a cold front moves through. Winds and seas will lessen some but still remain around 10 knots and 2 to 3 feet into Tuesday as easterly flow remains. Expect increases in the overnight hours with easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze. By Wednesday of next week light winds and seas are expected to bring good boating conditions to area waters.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Other than high dispersions in the afternoon, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days with saturated conditions and relative humidity above critical levels.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Heavy rainfall from Friday and the weekend will lead to ongoing or developing minor flooding at several rivers over the next few days as rainfall works its way into the system. Withlacoochee River in Georgia and northern Florida is currently climbing and will likely crest sometime this week. Rises in the lower Withlacoochee will likely rise through much of the upcoming week.
Rises into solid action stage in the middle and lower Suwanee Rivers are likely later this week and next weekend.
Further west across the Ochlockonee basin the river will generally hold steady or rise slowly through the week. Across the Panhandle in the Choctawhatchee Basin rivers rises to near flood are likely through the week.
Aside from increasing rivers from heavy rainfall, no new hydrological concerns are anticipated to develop with the area likely moving into a drier pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 67 85 65 / 30 10 20 0 Panama City 84 69 87 68 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 84 66 83 64 / 10 0 10 0 Albany 83 64 83 62 / 40 10 10 0 Valdosta 86 67 84 63 / 40 30 20 0 Cross City 86 67 86 63 / 50 20 40 10 Apalachicola 84 70 82 70 / 10 0 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 623 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
An upper level trough will move through north-central Georgia today.
Cooler temperatures aloft with this trough will steepen lapse rates, and residual moisture appears sufficient for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the area this afternoon. With the cooler temperatures aloft, small hail will possible with storms that develop. In addition, fairly high DCAPE values due to some mid-level dry air may allow for some gusty winds with the storms as well. Any storms that develop are expected to diminish after sunset. Highs will generally be in the 80s across the area this afternoon with lows tonight generally in the 60s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A weak cold front should move through the forecast on Monday as the upper level trough that brought an active weekend of weather moves off the east coast. One weak shortwave passing through and northerly flow converging with the seabreeze at the surface could help generate a few showers, and possibly a thunderstorm on Monday afternoon across the southeast Big Bend where better low to mid-level moisture exists. High temperatures should be a little cooler on Monday and drop into the mid to upper 80s.
Dry northwesterly flow moves in as a ridge axis to our west begins to build. Rain chances should clear out with the surface high and easterly flow remaining in place for the afternoon. Expect temperatures to warm back up to around the upper 80s and around 90.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Quiet conditions are in store for much of the week as the upper ridge axis builds across the southeast. Light easterly flow through the week is expected and with the ridge controlling the pattern, no rain is expected. We will likely see above normal temperatures through the period with highs in the low 90s most afternoons.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Pockets of MVFR to IFR ceilings will continue early this morning with VFR conditions returning later this morning areawide.
Otherwise, an upper low will move across north Georgia today. The cold air aloft will support some pop-up afternoon shower and thunderstorm development. Confidence in placement, coverage, and timing is only high enough go with VCSH and VCTS at this time.
MARINE
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
West winds lighten through the day and eventually become north and northeasterly by Monday as a cold front moves through. Winds and seas will lessen some but still remain around 10 knots and 2 to 3 feet into Tuesday as easterly flow remains. Expect increases in the overnight hours with easterly surges from the Atlantic seabreeze. By Wednesday of next week light winds and seas are expected to bring good boating conditions to area waters.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Other than high dispersions in the afternoon, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days with saturated conditions and relative humidity above critical levels.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 206 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Heavy rainfall from Friday and the weekend will lead to ongoing or developing minor flooding at several rivers over the next few days as rainfall works its way into the system. Withlacoochee River in Georgia and northern Florida is currently climbing and will likely crest sometime this week. Rises in the lower Withlacoochee will likely rise through much of the upcoming week.
Rises into solid action stage in the middle and lower Suwanee Rivers are likely later this week and next weekend.
Further west across the Ochlockonee basin the river will generally hold steady or rise slowly through the week. Across the Panhandle in the Choctawhatchee Basin rivers rises to near flood are likely through the week.
Aside from increasing rivers from heavy rainfall, no new hydrological concerns are anticipated to develop with the area likely moving into a drier pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 67 85 65 / 30 10 20 0 Panama City 84 69 87 68 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 84 66 83 64 / 10 0 10 0 Albany 83 64 83 62 / 40 10 10 0 Valdosta 86 67 84 63 / 40 30 20 0 Cross City 86 67 86 63 / 50 20 40 10 Apalachicola 84 70 82 70 / 10 0 10 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 5 mi | 63 min | WNW 5.1G | 79°F | ||||
| PCBF1 | 7 mi | 51 min | 75°F | 29.96 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 13 sm | 1.5 hrs | W 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 29.94 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:24 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM CDT 1.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM CDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:11 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:24 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM CDT 1.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM CDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:11 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:33 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Northwest Florida,
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