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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Henderson Point, MS

June 25, 2024 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 11:24 PM   Moonset 9:33 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 955 Am Cdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Rest of today - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest this afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - West winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 955 Am Cdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
outside of Thunderstorm development, conditions will remain fairly benign across the waters with westerly winds between 5 and 15 knots during the week. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage Wednesday and Thursday with scattered to numerous showers and storms. Locally higher winds and seas can be expected with any Thunderstorm.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Henderson Point, MS
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Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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076 FXUS64 KLIX 251617 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1117 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 1116 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Quick update to the forecast to adjust hourly temps, dewpoints, and PoPs. Overall forecast still on track for another hot day with oppressive conditions and then possibly some quick relief from storms. As previous forecaster mentioned storms will be dictated by boundaries and boundary interactions. We are already seeing a few popcorn showers mainly along the river parishes where an old outflow boundary is likely starting to interact with the lake breeze coming southwest off of the lake and the sea breeze coming out of the Gulf and Vermillion Bay region. Outside of the rain look for temps to top out in the mid to possibly upper 90s with a heat index likely ranging from 105 to 112. If rain is late this afternoon around 21-23z that should help cool things finally but it will still be oppressive as these areas would have warmed up already. If storms occur around midday and early afternoon it could be worse as temps would likely be able to warm back up quickly and then combine that with the extra boundary layer moisture from rain could lead to the higher heat index values mentioned earlier (110-112 can`t rule out slightly higher in isolated locations). Grids and zones have already been sent. /CAB/

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Upper ridging extended from southern California to western Louisiana early this morning with troughing just off the Atlantic Coast to the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. There was a shortwave moving through the western Great Lakes and another over Nebraska and Kansas.

Temperatures at 3 AM CDT were in the 70s across most of the area.
There were a few showers over the Gulf of Mexico to the south of the Mississippi coast, which isn`t all that unusual for this time of year.

The primary concerns over the next 36 hours will be the heat, and the potential for thunderstorms. While the shortwave that triggered yesterday`s thunderstorms has moved away from the area, there will still be remnant outflow boundaries around. As temperatures heat up into the middle 90s in most areas by midday, we should see at least isolated to scattered development of storms. Low level wind fields are pretty weak, so any storms that develop today won`t be moving much, just propagating along outflows. Most storms should die out by sunset. Before the thunderstorms develop, conditions are likely to be pretty oppressive with heat index values approaching, if not exceeding 110F in many areas. Will keep the Heat Advisory in place for today.

The one change on Wednesday as compared to today is that a shortwave moving out of the Plains states will move into the area around midday, which is expected to enhance areal coverage of showers and storms during the afternoon into the early evening hours. Depending on the timing of convective development, it could keep our heat index values just below advisory criteria tomorrow.
We won`t extend the advisory beyond this afternoon for now, but there`s certainly potential that we will need one, especially west of Interstate 55.

As there isn`t much spread in the guidance, will not make significant departures from the NBM deterministic for now.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

We may still have shortwave energy impacting the area on Thursday with ridging well to the west of the area. That would lead to fairly good areal coverage of storms across the area, and potentially be the least uncomfortable day of the extended. Beyond Thursday, both the GFS and ECMWF operational runs build the ridge back toward the area. At this point, the main question is whether the ridge builds over the local area or just to the north of the area. If it builds over the area, it would limit any significant development of thunderstorms, and allow for hotter daytime temperatures. If it becomes centered to the north of the area, it may allow for at least some afternoon convection, especially near the coast. At this point, the more favored solution would allow at least some thunderstorm development during the afternoon hours and hold high temperatures in the middle 90s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

All terminals are currently in VFR status as any MVFR cigs earlier has finally scattered out. Through the rest of the day VFR conditions will continue unless convection impacts the terminal which is highly possible at most terminals. MCB may have the best chance of not seeing much in the way of impacts but elsewhere it is very uncertain. Convection will be dictated by sea/lake breeze and outflow boundary interactions.

Will continue to carry VCTS for most terminals, but confidence in a particular terminal is not high. Obviously if convection directly impacts any terminal it would most likely be IFR visibilities and wind gusts around 30 knots. Any convection that does develop should wind down near or shortly after 00z. Still holding off on any vsby restrictions of lower cigs during the early morning hours as this will be highly determined by if and where any heavy rain falls today. /CAB/

MARINE
Issued at 325 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

No large scale pressure systems are expected to impact the coastal waters over the next several days. So, outside of the usual diurnal increase in wind speeds during the evening hours, the only real concern will be the development of thunderstorms. Generally, that would impact the tidal lakes and sounds during primarily the afternoon and evening hours and the open waters during the late night and early morning hours.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 94 74 92 74 / 20 20 60 40 BTR 97 78 96 78 / 30 30 60 30 ASD 96 77 94 77 / 20 10 60 30 MSY 94 79 93 79 / 30 10 70 30 GPT 95 78 94 77 / 20 10 60 40 PQL 98 77 96 77 / 10 10 50 40

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ034>037-039- 046>048-056>060-064-065-071-076>090.

GM...None.
MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ068>071-077- 083>088.

GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 8 mi48 minN 2.9G4.1 94°F 86°F29.97
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA 32 mi48 minNW 8.9G9.9 86°F 82°F30.01
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi48 min 85°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 41 mi48 minWSW 7G8 84°F 29.99
NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA 46 mi48 minNNW 2.9G5.1 87°F 89°F30.01
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 47 mi51 minS 8.9 87°F 30.0178°F
CARL1 49 mi48 min 85°F


Wind History for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHSA STENNIS INTL,MS 14 sm40 minW 0510 smPartly Cloudy90°F77°F67%29.98
KGPT GULFPORTBILOXI INTL,MS 18 sm42 minSW 0310 smClear91°F75°F59%29.97
KBIX KEESLER AFB,MS 24 sm40 minSSW 0710 smA Few Clouds88°F77°F70%29.96
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHSA
   
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Wind History graph: HSA
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Tide / Current for Cat Island (West Point), Mississippi
   
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Cat Island (West Point)
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Tue -- 12:31 AM CDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:56 PM CDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cat Island (West Point), Mississippi, Tide feet
12
am
-0.5
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.4
3
am
-0.2
4
am
0
5
am
0.3
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.9
8
am
1.2
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.8
11
am
2
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
2
4
pm
1.8
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
-0.1


Tide / Current for Pass Christian Yacht Club, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pass Christian Yacht Club, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi, Tide feet


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,




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