Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eden Isle, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:32PM Saturday August 24, 2019 11:43 PM CDT (04:43 UTC) Moonrise 12:33AMMoonset 2:35PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ534 Lake Borgne- 1039 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Rest of tonight..South winds near 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms until late afternoon. Showers and Thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the late evening.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
GMZ500 Synopsis Pascagoula To Sw Pass Mississippi- Synopsis Sw Pass Mississippi River To Atchafalaya River- 1039 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis.. The weather pattern remains unsettled this weekend and into early next week with several waves of showers/storms possible. Weak high pressure builds in by mid-week, lowering widespread heavy rain chances.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eden Isle CDP, LA
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location: 30.22, -89.82     debug


Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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Fxus64 klix 242103
afdlix
area forecast discussion
national weather service new orleans la
403 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019

Discussion
Upper air analysis showed a complex flow across the region and
conus. Trough axis was present from the northern plains to the
northwest gulf with disturbance over nebraska and another
disturbance associated with an elongated of low pressure.

Vertically stacked weather system will likely run out of real
estate for this system. In addition, precipitable water values
showed 2.5 inches over northwest gulf and lch and 2.0 inches
across northern louisiana mississippi. Vertically stacked system
will drift northeast across the forecast area Sunday. Precipitable
water values increases up to 2.3 to 2.5 inches across the
forecast area Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Will carry
elevated rain chances and looking for ero marginal threat has
increased to slight for this period. There is some indication the
vertically system will become slanted as the disturbance upstream
dive south and picks up the gulf system Sunday afternoon through
Monday afternoon. Many areas will receive between 3 and 5 inches
with isolated high amounts Sunday and Monday time period. The
main impacts from this weak system will be bands of heavy
rainfall, likely reaching western zones early Sunday and spreading
east Sunday evening and Monday.

If this system maintains tropical characteristics, prominent
tropical banding may develop in some locations which could largely
lead to much heavier rainfall and flooding concerns. Pinpointing
exact locations is difficult at this time, and will continue to
message flash flooding concerns for Sunday and into Monday
generally across the entire area, with locally enhanced regions of
rainfall possible. Flash flood watches at this time will be
later determined if necessary, but will continue to keep a close
eye on this system should any highlights become needed.

Upsteam disturbance will lift the moisture east and decrease
rain chances back to your typical afternoon spotty showers storms
in the upstream convergent portion of the trough. Temperatures
warm slightly back up to the lower 90's for inland locations with
heat index values back in the lower mid 100's. Long range
guidance is holding tight on the idea of a late-week frontal
passage, which will help decrease temperatures a tad with
slightly drier air. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 60's is not
out of the question along and north of i-10 early Saturday and
Sunday morning of next week, but will advertise low confidence
being this far out with the extent of the cooler drier air. A
break in the summertime heat i'm sure will be very welcoming into
the labor day weekend. Fz

Marine
Rain storm coverage increases Sunday into Monday before returning
back to a typical summertime pattern by the middle of next week.

Main threats with any thunderstorm the next few days will be gusty
outflow downdraft winds in excess of 30 to 35 knots and dangerous
lightning, with a few waterspouts possible at any time. Long-
range guidance does support the potential for a frontal boundary
to pass late next week. Fz

Aviation
18z TAF issuance...

mostlyVFR conditions are expected to prevail through the day into
tonight. The main exception will be during periods of scattered
shra tsra when briefly lower MVFR ifr conditions may occur this
afternoon. Have inserted tempo groups this afternoon for kbtr,
kmsy, khum, kasd and knew. 18

Preliminary point temps pops
Mcb 72 85 71 86 10 80 60 50
btr 74 84 73 87 40 90 50 50
asd 74 87 73 86 20 80 70 70
msy 77 87 76 87 40 90 70 70
gpt 75 87 74 84 20 60 80 70
pql 74 90 73 86 10 50 70 70

Lix watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Gm... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA 20 mi67 min Calm G 2.9 79°F 87°F1014.2 hPa
CARL1 26 mi55 min 88°F
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA 26 mi67 min ESE 5.1 G 5.1 82°F 88°F1015.3 hPa
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 27 mi67 min N 7 G 8 80°F 87°F1015.6 hPa
FREL1 33 mi55 min Calm G 1.9 80°F 1014 hPa
BYGL1 - 8762482 - Bayou Gauche, LA 44 mi67 min Calm G 1 78°F 86°F1015 hPa

Wind History for New Canal Station, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Slidell, Slidell Airport, LA9 mi50 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F73°F88%1015.1 hPa
New Orleans, New Orleans Lakefront Airport, LA17 mi50 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F73°F77%1014.5 hPa
Bay St. Louis, Stennis International Airport, MS22 mi2.9 hrsN 07.00 miA Few Clouds77°F75°F94%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KASD

Wind History from ASD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNE3NE33N4NE5SE6SE9S10SW9
G16
4N3N5N3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmNE3Calm3SE5SW5S5S7SW5S5SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3N5E3Calm4SE4NE4SE4SE7SE3S7S7S5S6S4S3

Tide / Current Tables for Bayou BonFouca, Route 433, Louisiana
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Chef Menteur, Chef Menteur Pass, Louisiana
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.