Saturday, March28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Shores, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 7:09PM Saturday March 28, 2020 3:31 PM CDT (20:31 UTC) Moonrise 9:19AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1055 Am Cdt Sat Mar 28 2020
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of today..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Tonight..South winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Sunday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Sunday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Monday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Monday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1055 Am Cdt Sat Mar 28 2020
Synopsis..Moderate southerly winds will continue through today, then diminish tonight and become southwesterly early Sunday. A light southeasterly flow will then develop Monday, then switch to a moderate to strong southwesterly flow Tuesday as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Showers and storms are also expected ahead and along the front on Tuesday. A moderate northerly flow is then expected to develop late Tuesday night as the front moves through the area. Winds will decrease somewhat through the day on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Shores, AL
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location: 30.24, -87.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 281842 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 142 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday/. The upper level ridge will begin to break down and move eastward today as a trough makes its way over the central CONUS. This feature will quickly develop into a cutoff low that will progress northeastward up through the upper Mississippi Valley and over the Great Lakes region by late weekend. This will then result in a more zonal pattern by late weekend for the northern Gulf coast. Coincident with the upper levels, a surface low pressure system will track across the central Plains and over the Great Lakes through the weekend. A cold front associated with this low will track across the ARKLATEX region this evening and overnight tonight. By tomorrow morning, the front will be on our doorstep with FROPA expected tomorrow evening.

Sensible weather will consist of dry conditions for the rest of this afternoon and this evening. Some mid-level clouds have formed and are streaming in from the south this afternoon as well. Some patchy fog development is possible over the inland areas late tonight, particularly in the east as shown by model probabilities. However, any fog will quickly dissipate by tomorrow morning. Clouds will also be on the increase overnight as a cold front approaches the region from the northwest. Hi-Res models show a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms traversing the southeastern CONUS late tonight, but weakening substantially over time through tomorrow morning and afternoon with FROPA. Models indicate around 500 to 700 J/kg of MLCAPE, with around 1000 J/kg along and just ahead of the front as it passes over the region. Although, it will remain to be seen whether the convective inhibition present will hinder any thunderstorm development. Nevertheless, there is at least a slight chance of a few embedded thunderstorms tomorrow with the amount of elevated instability shown by model guidance. Showers and any embedded storms will then gradually decrease through the afternoon.

Temperatures will continue to be well above seasonal norms this afternoon, with highs in the mid to upper 80s expected. Lows tonight will then be in the mid to upper 60s inland to around 70 degrees right along the coast. Highs tomorrow will be a bit cooler due to FROPA, with temperatures in the lower 80s expected in the west and mid to upper 80s likely in the east.

Lastly, a HIGH risk of rip currents continues through Sunday, mainly due to 2 ft/6-10 sec onshore swell. /26

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . VFR conditions were observed at issuance, but PNS has since reported lower CIGs due to a stratocumulus deck building in over the area. Expecting mid-level clouds to continue area- wide through the rest of the afternoon, along with dry conditions. However, winds will be a bit breezy this afternoon, with sustained south winds between 10 and 15 knots and gusts between 20 and 25 knots. Winds will then decrease through this evening. The main concerns overnight will be lowering CIGs due to increased cloud cover from an approaching cold front as well as some lower VIS from patchy fog development late tonight. However, by tomorrow morning VIS and CIGs will begin to recover and VFR will prevail into the afternoon. Winds will also be under 10 knots and out of the southwest through tomorrow morning. Some showers and the potential for a few embedded thunderstorms from the northwest are expected late tonight through tomorrow afternoon. Although, did not include mention of showers or storms in the TAFs at this time due to low confidence in if the TAF sites would be affected. /26

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Mobile 69 82 64 82 67 81 56 76 / 10 20 10 10 50 80 20 0 Pensacola 71 82 67 81 69 80 60 76 / 10 20 10 10 20 80 40 10 Destin 72 79 69 80 70 78 61 74 / 10 20 0 0 20 70 40 10 Evergreen 69 83 63 83 65 80 56 74 / 10 20 10 10 40 90 40 10 Waynesboro 66 80 60 77 62 79 52 71 / 30 30 10 20 60 80 20 0 Camden 67 79 60 78 62 78 54 71 / 20 40 10 10 50 90 30 10 Crestview 69 86 64 85 65 82 57 77 / 10 20 0 10 20 80 40 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 8 mi62 min 82°F 1015.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 14 mi32 min S 9.7 G 12 77°F 76°F1015.6 hPa (-0.9)73°F
WBYA1 14 mi44 min 79°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 14 mi107 min 82°F 1016 hPa72°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 18 mi50 min S 12 G 14 78°F 1015.4 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 20 mi32 min SSE 11 G 13 77°F 1015.2 hPa (-0.8)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 22 mi62 min SE 9.9 76°F 1015.2 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 24 mi62 min S 11 78°F 1015.2 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 28 mi62 min S 11 77°F 1015.6 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 28 mi44 min S 8.9 G 12 80°F 77°F1015.8 hPa
MBPA1 29 mi44 min 78°F 75°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 32 mi62 min SSE 12 75°F 1015.6 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 34 mi44 min S 9.9 G 12 83°F 75°F1015.3 hPa
PTOA1 35 mi44 min 79°F 72°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 37 mi44 min 76°F 70°F1015.3 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 40 mi107 min S 9.9 78°F 1017 hPa74°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 43 mi44 min S 9.9 G 12 78°F 1015.2 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 47 mi50 min 76°F
42067 - USM3M02 49 mi92 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 76°F 3 ft1015.2 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Fort Morgan, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL4 mi57 minS 11 G 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F71°F72%1015.6 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL18 mi57 minS 910.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F69°F74%1015.6 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL21 mi96 minSSE 107.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F71°F69%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJKA

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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SW9SW8SW5W4CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmN5W4W4NW4NW4SE4E5SE8S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:22 PM CDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:07 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.41.51.61.61.51.31.10.90.70.50.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:24 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:08 AM CDT     0.95 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:19 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:22 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:08 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:43 PM CDT     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:05 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.10.40.60.70.80.910.90.90.70.60.30.1-0.2-0.4-0.7-0.9-1.1-1.2-1.2-1.1-1-0.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.