Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Shores, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:27PM Thursday August 22, 2019 12:44 PM CDT (17:44 UTC) Moonrise 11:45PMMoonset 12:29PM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1033 Am Cdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Rest of today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1033 Am Cdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis..A light and predominately southerly wind flow will continue through much of the week. Gulf seas will range between one and two feet outside of Thunderstorm activity. Shower and Thunderstorm coverage will generally be greatest from late night through noon each day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Shores, AL
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location: 30.24, -87.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 221144 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
644 am cdt Thu aug 22 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... Expect MVFR toVFR CIGS and visibilities through
about 23.02z followed byVFR conditions through 23.12z. Lower cigs
and visibilities mostly in and around scattered to occasional
numerous showers and thunderstorms across the region. Winds will
be light and variable early today becoming south 5 to 10 knots
later this morning through early this evening then light and
variable later this evening through 23.12z. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 443 am cdt Thu aug 22 2019
near term now through Thursday night ... Upper ridge of high pressure
that has persisted over the deep south and northern gulf states
continues to weaken through tonight in response to a well defined
short wave trof over eastern and central canada diving southward
over the upper ms river valley and great lakes region through
tonight, reaching the mid atlantic region early Fri morning. To
the east better ridging aloft has developed over the western
atlantic stretching west over the SE CONUS and northern fl. To the
west and SW a weak upper low moves into the SW gulf progged to
drift north late today and tonight. Near the surface high pressure
continues to stretch from the western atlantic to the north
central gulf progged to weaken somewhat later today and tonight.

Latest radar loops show isolated to scattered showers with a few
embedded thunderstorms forming over the adjacent gulf waters
moving inland mostly east of pensacola and the i-65 corridor. With
this pattern expect further development of showers and
thunderstorms across the area with better development of
thunderstorms this afternoon through early this evening. Latest
model soundings continue to show deep moisture over the region,
pwats ranging from 1.8 to 20 inches, combined with marginal
instability or CAPE along with slightly better lapse rates both in
the lower and upper levels of the boundary layer. With this
expect good coverage of showers and thunderstorms across the
forecast area today with the best coverage generally over northern
parts of the western fl panhandle stretching into lower parts of
south central al. Gusty straight line winds, frequent cloud to
ground lightning along the periods of very heavy rain will
accompany most of the stronger thunderstorms this afternoon and
early this evening. Some minor nuisance flooding especially in
lower terrain where drainage is poor will also be possible with
the heavier precip this afternoon and early this evening.

Similar to yesterday daytime temps will be cooler, compared to
earlier in the week and last week, with highs ranging from upper 80s
along the coast and the lower 90s for most inland areas. Lows
tonight will range from the lower to middle 70s for most inland
areas and the middle 70s to near 80 along the coast. 32 ee
short term Friday through Saturday night ... Deep tropical
moisture will continue to surge north toward the central and
western gulf coast areas on the western side of a surface ridge of
high pressure that continues over the eastern gulf. This moisture
will pool along and south of a weak stationary boundary over the
interior southeast states. This will maintain an unsettled weather
pattern across the region as precipitable water values remain in
the 1.8 to 2.2 range through the period. Meanwhile, a weak upper
level weakness becomes more pronounced through the period as a
shortwave trof develops over the central gulf coast. As a result,
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue each
day. Showers and thunderstorms will be diurnal in nature,
starting near the coast in the morning and spreading inland
through the late morning and afternoon hours. Convective coverage
will be most numerous over the land areas during peak daytime
heating, and more numerous offshore during the overnight hours.

Storms will generally be slow movers, so locally heavy rainfall
will be possible. Daytime high temperatures expected to be in the
upper 80s to lower 90s. Nighttime low temperatures will continue
to range from the lower 70s over inland locations to the mid upper
70s closer to and along the coast. 12 ds
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... Very little change in the
pattern through the extended range as plenty of deep layer moisture
will continue across the central gulf coast region. Will continue
with the pattern of diurnally driven scattered to locally numerous
showers and thunderstorms each day. High temperatures will also
remain unchanged, ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s. Overnight
low temperatures are expected to continue to range from the 70s
over inland locations to the mid upper 70s closer to and along the
coast. 12 ds
marine... A light southerly flow will continue over the marine area
through the remainder of the week with better winds and seas
occurring during the afternoon and early evening hours due mostly to
daytime heating. Seas will generally range from 1 to 2 feet out to
60 nm offshore possibly becoming locally higher with some of the
stronger thunderstorms throughout much of the week. Frequent
lightning strikes and isolated waterspouts will also be possible
with some of the heavier showers or thunderstoms through the
forecast period. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 8 mi74 min 85°F 1018 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 10 mi104 min SSE 6 83°F 1017.3 hPa (+0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 14 mi44 min E 5.8 G 7.8 83°F 85°F1017.1 hPa (-0.8)78°F
WBYA1 14 mi56 min 86°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 14 mi119 min 85°F 1018 hPa77°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 18 mi56 min SE 6 G 8 84°F 1017.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 20 mi44 min E 6 G 8 83°F 1017.2 hPa (-0.4)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 22 mi74 min SE 1.9 85°F 1017.3 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 24 mi74 min E 2.9 84°F 1017.3 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 28 mi74 min NE 2.9 83°F 1018 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 28 mi56 min SSE 1.9 G 5.1 86°F 86°F1017.8 hPa
MBPA1 29 mi56 min 86°F 77°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 32 mi44 min NE 4.1 82°F 1017.6 hPa (+0.0)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 34 mi62 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 86°F 87°F1017.6 hPa
PTOA1 35 mi56 min 86°F 76°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 37 mi68 min 88°F 86°F1017.3 hPa
GBRM6 40 mi164 min 80°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 40 mi119 min NNW 5.1 82°F 1019 hPa76°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 43 mi68 min WNW 1 G 1.9 86°F 1017.6 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 47 mi68 min 84°F

Wind History for Fort Morgan, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL4 mi49 minSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F76°F73%1017.3 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL21 mi48 minESE 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F79°F80%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJKA

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE6CalmS5SE4SE4SE6CalmCalm--------Calm------N3CalmCalmCalmE9
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1 day agoSW6SW5S11
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SE13E10SE4S3CalmCalmCalm----E10E3--CalmE9CalmCalm--CalmE4E4SE4
2 days agoSW7S9
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SW12W4CalmCalm------CalmE4CalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmS9SW7E5SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:16 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:29 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:17 PM CDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:44 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.31.41.51.41.41.31.21.10.90.80.80.80.70.70.70.70.80.80.911.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:13 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:23 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:03 AM CDT     -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:31 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:26 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:51 PM CDT     0.73 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:45 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.20.10-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.2-0.10.10.30.40.60.70.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.