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AMZ452 Expires:202312041015;;858059 Fzus52 Kjax 040109 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 809 pm est Sun dec 3 2023
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-041015- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 809 pm est Sun dec 3 2023
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 809 Pm Est Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis..
a cold front will move southeast of the area overnight into Monday morning. High pressure will build from the southwest Monday. A weak cold front will move southeast across region Monday night. High pressure will build to the west Tuesday, then to the northwest Wednesday. The high will settle over the area Thursday, before moving toward the east Friday.
a strong cold front will affect the area over the weekend.
Gulf stream..
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 02, 2023 at 1200 utc...
47 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 53 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 84 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KJAX 040544 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 1244 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 704 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Surface front will continue to move southeast across area Tonight, passing to the south Monday morning. With moisture convergence along the front, this will be a cloudy night, with a few spotty showers possible.

Above normal lows are expected, with a range from the mid 50s inland SE GA, to the mid 60s coastal NE FL.

SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 315 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Monday, low clouds and patchy to areas of fog will slowly lift as drier west to WNW winds arrive from the NW by midday. The west to NW flow in the mid levels will occur as a strong shortwave moves through the TN valley to the Delmarva region late in the day which will help to keep troughing over the eastern third of the nation.
However, mid and high level clouds will remain overhead as the area stays underneath fast moving jet stream winds streak from the Fl panhandle to the Carolina coast. Westerly surface winds will be elevated 10-20 mph as high pressure builds in from the WNW. Highs will likely occur in the midday hours to around 5 degrees above normal to the low 70s in SE GA and the mid 70s over NE FL before cooling into the 60s by the mid to late afternoon as the cooler and drier airmass arrives.

Monday night, partly cloudy skies and cool WNW winds will lower low to around normal values into the low/mid 40s over SE GA and the upper 40s/lowers 50s over NE FL with mid 50s at the NE FL immediate coastal communities.

Tuesday, high cirrus cloud cover will linger, but light NW winds 10-15 mph will keep highs on the cooler side in the low 60s over SE GA areas and the mid 60s for most of NE FL with upper 60s over north central FL and the St Johns river basin.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 315 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

A drier pattern will be in place for the majority of this period as deep mid/upper level troughing over the appalachian will shift just off the east coast Thursday with deep ridging aloft in it's wake that will move to the east coast on Friday. This will support surface high pressure building south and eastward towards the area from the mid MS valley Wednesday into the deep south on Thursday, then shifting just east of the area over the Atlantic waters on Friday with breezy NW winds Wednesday becoming light and northerly Thursday, then east to southeasterly on Friday with increasing clouds. A new trough will deepen over the central U.S.
Saturday with southeast winds turning southerly and coastal showers then forming as a coastal trough lifts north off the FL peninsula. Flow from the SW will increase moisture levels to 1.25 to 1.5 inches of Precipitable water ahead of an approaching cold front that will move towards the area on Sunday. The GFS and ECMWF models diverge on timing Sunday with the ECMWF much slower than the GFS and will keep at least scattered shower coverage in place to end the weekend.

Highs will be below normal Wednesday through Thursday, then warm to slightly below normal by Friday and then above normal Saturday, before cooling to near normal on Sunday. Lows will be below normal Thursday, with a frost possible away from the coast, then trend to near normal by Saturday morning and above normal Sunday morning ahead of the next cold front.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Areas to widespread low cigs and some lower vsby expected to persist into the early morning hours. LIFR to IFR conditions will tend to prevail at most terminals until about 13z-14z today, and then improving quickly to MVFR, and VFR by around 17z with the cold frontal passage. A few light showers will be possible but not expected to have much impact at TAFs at this time. Sfc winds light southwest- west early and turn to the west increasing to 8-12 kt by around 15z-16z, with a few gusts of 15-20 kt in the aftn before become light west- northwest after 23z.

MARINE
Issued at 315 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms continue into this evening ahead of a cold front. The cold front is expected to move across the coastal waters later tonight turning winds to the west after midnight. Patchy dense fog will be possible tonight along the nearshore waters where visibility could drop to 1 nautical mile. Stronger northwest winds are expected Tuesday night into Wednesday as a secondary front moves southeast across the area. Winds may reach small craft advisory level mid- week.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents are noted for northeast FL zones where the surf may be near 2-3 ft today.
Lower overall risk for southeast GA beaches due to weaker surf.
Slightly lower risk for Monday as surf heights drop further.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 71 44 62 42 / 10 0 0 0 SSI 72 50 64 46 / 20 0 0 0 JAX 75 49 65 44 / 20 0 0 0 SGJ 76 53 68 47 / 20 0 0 0 GNV 75 51 66 45 / 20 0 0 0 OCF 76 51 68 46 / 20 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.

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Jacksonville Beach
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Sun -- 05:48 AM EST     0.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:59 AM EST     4.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:12 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:37 PM EST     1.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Jacksonville Beach, Florida, Tide feet

St. Johns River Entrance
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Sun -- 02:09 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:42 AM EST     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:43 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:22 AM EST     1.81 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:12 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:37 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:16 PM EST     -1.68 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:33 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:51 PM EST     1.36 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Johns River Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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Jacksonville, FL,