Friday, August7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 7:36PM Friday August 7, 2020 8:13 AM CDT (13:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:15PMMoonset 9:39AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ636 Expires:202008072200;;065968 Fzus54 Kmob 070946 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 446 Am Cdt Fri Aug 7 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz635-636-072200- Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 446 Am Cdt Fri Aug 7 2020
Today..Winds light becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Winds light becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 446 Am Cdt Fri Aug 7 2020
Synopsis..A light, mainly southwest to westerly flow will generally prevail across the marine area for the next several days, except for southerly winds near the coast as the seabreeze develops each afternoon. On Sunday a light northwesterly flow may develop as a weak surface trough drops south into the marine area. Seas will be around 1 foot, with little change expected through the period. Winds and seas higher near isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 071015 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 615 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Saturday]

MVFR cigs have moved into VLD over the past hour and expect to atleast be tempo conditions through daybreak. Still expecting VFR conds throughout the day into the evening hours. Convection is ongoing across the Gulf waters and FL Big Bend. TLH/VLD have the better chances of TSRA today with lower chanced at ABY/DHN.

PREV DISCUSSION [236 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A tropical wave is moving through the Gulf with a plume of moisture being pulled into the southeast US via ridging off the Atlantic coast and a weak trough from the midwest southward into the central Gulf. Convection should be ongoing in the Gulf waters by daybreak which should give an early start to storms over land, initially in the Big Bend, then a little later associated with the seabreeze. Have the better rain chances the Big Bend as well as the western FL panhandle with lesser chances north into SE AL and SW GA. Highs will be in the mid 90s with heat indices in the mid 100s.

SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday].

The overall mid/upper level pattern shows a weakness in the east to west ridging from the western Atlantic across the GOMEX over our local area through the weekend. The pressure pattern at the surface will be weak resulting in mainly light and variable winds except onshore flow around 10 mph with the afternoon seabreezes. This combined with daytime temps reaching the lower to mid 90s and sufficient moisture will lead to scattered diurnal convection each day. The best chances appear to be over our far eastern zones where the deepest moisture will reside. Lows Saturday night will be in the middle 70s.

LONG TERM [Sunday Night Through Thursday].

The weakness in the mid/upper ridging becomes more pronounced next week as a few impulses move into the local region. Models also show an increase in deep layer moisture throughout the Tri-state area with forecast model soundings showing PW's increasing to just over 2.0". All indications are that we will see above seasonal chances for showers and thunderstorms with PoPs each day mostly be in the good chance to likely (50-70%) range. High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 90s with lows in the lower to mid 70s.

MARINE.

Light winds with a westerly component and low seas will make for favorable boating conditions at least through early next week outside of thunderstorms.

FIRE WEATHER.

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

Typical summertime convection is expected to bring periods of showers and thunderstorms across our area, but QPF yields 7-day totals of generally 1 to 2 inches or less. Isolated higher amounts are always possible where precipitation persists for long durations. There are currently no flood concerns, and all local rivers and creeks are in good shape.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 95 74 95 74 96 / 40 10 20 10 30 Panama City 91 78 90 78 91 / 20 10 20 0 20 Dothan 95 73 95 74 96 / 30 20 20 0 30 Albany 95 75 95 75 96 / 30 20 30 10 30 Valdosta 93 74 93 74 94 / 40 20 40 20 50 Cross City 92 74 93 74 93 / 40 20 40 10 50 Apalachicola 90 77 90 77 91 / 30 10 10 0 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Barry LONG TERM . Barry AVIATION . Scholl MARINE . Barry FIRE WEATHER . Scholl HYDROLOGY . Merrifield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi56 min SSW 6 G 7 85°F 86°F1017.8 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi56 min SSW 5.1 G 6
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi56 min N 1.9 G 2.9 83°F 88°F1017.1 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi56 min NNE 1.9 G 1.9 81°F 89°F1018.1 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi21 minSSW 310.00 miFair86°F73°F67%1017.2 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi21 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F77°F85%1018.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi19 minVar 110.00 miA Few Clouds82°F71°F70%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTS

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr354S556364SW44445SW545SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3
1 day agoE444S5S7S8S6S66S7553SW4353SW5SW3CalmCalmSW3Calm3
2 days agoN5N3N6S566SW7SW6SW35W555Calm3CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:16 AM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:05 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:37 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:33 PM CDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:13 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:04 AM CDT     0.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:18 AM CDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:06 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:37 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:39 AM CDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:53 PM CDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:13 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.