Tuesday, July27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hosford, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 8:35PM Tuesday July 27, 2021 12:35 AM EDT (04:35 UTC) Moonrise 10:24PMMoonset 9:25AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1001 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021 /901 Pm Cdt Mon Jul 26 2021/
Rest of tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the day.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1001 Pm Edt Mon Jul 26 2021
Synopsis.. Tranquil boating conditions are expected to prevail through the week as westerly to southwesterly winds will remain around 10 knots or less through Thursday. Seas are also expected to remain at around 1 foot or less across all waters. Winds will pick up slightly starting Thursday, with sustained values between 10-15 knots expected. Seas are expected to respond with 1-2 foot swells more common. Showers and Thunderstorms may briefly bring elevated seas and winds throughout the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hosford, FL
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location: 30.31, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 270201 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1001 PM EDT Mon Jul 26 2021

UPDATE. Not much change needed to the forecast this evening. The last several runs of the HRRR have maintained convection in SE Alabama through at least 05z, and this is currently accounted for in the latest PoP forecast. Don't see much reason it would continue longer than that, however the 00z KTAE sounding did have a fair degree of instability left, and the airmass had moistened from yesterday. The approach of the weakening tropical low over NE Florida will also help focus convection on Tuesday, but should have little impact in our area overnight.

PREV DISCUSSION [730 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tuesday].

Surface low near the Georgia low country will move ashore this afternoon and weaken as it moves westward. The associated increase in tropical moisture, as well as a tropical wave moving through the Gulf, will advect from west to east into our area tonight and Tuesday. Chances of showers and storms this afternoon and evening will reside mainly on our eastern border however, the HRRR continues to advertise development in southeast Alabama early this evening so have raised rain chances slightly in our western zones. Not much in the way of convection is expected in the overnight and early morning hours. Rain chances increase markedly late morning Tuesday through the afternoon hours with scattered to numerous coverage of storms and chances around 70% throughout the area. Highs Tuesday will be in the low to mid 90s with heat indices in the low to mid 100s.

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Night].

Across the upper levels, a shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to move through eastern Georgia and southern South Carolina late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. This is expected to provide ample upper level support across our SW Georgia regions to increase PoP chances through this time period. This upper level support coupled with a lingering weak surface low and high PW values greater than 2 inches from the current tropical wave moving into Jacksonville area will create an environment conducive enough for widespread showers and thunderstorms. This potentially could cause some nuisance flooding in streams and across drainage ditches with higher rainfall rates, especially if storms train or stay over the same areas for extended periods of time. Lows tomorrow night will be warm with mid 70s expected across the entire region. Highs will also be warm in the low 90s.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

As the previously aforementioned shortwave vorticity maxima moves off the coast of the United States, upper level ridging is expected to become the prominent synoptic feature through the remainder of the long term period. As the peak of the ridge axis is expected to be out west, northwest flow aloft is expected to return to the region, especially across the southeast. As weak to moderate troughing develops to our north over the Northeast and the Mid-Atlantic regions, we can expect a few shortwave impulses to ride along the periphery of the trough axis to our north and potentially increase rain chances and severity on any given day through the long term period. With the trough axis to our north, and the deep upper level ridge to our west, extremely high PW values in the 2" range will drop to around 1.5-1.8 through the long term as some dry air advects into the region through the mid and upper levels. Overall, seasonable rain chances are expected to return via diurnal convection that will encompass the area through the afternoon and evening hours. Currently, the biggest concern will be heat index values across the region heading into the weekend, with widespread advisory level heat indices (108+) possible starting Thursday and continuing through the weekend as high temperatures in the mid 90s coupled with dewpoints in the mid 70s will lead to these warm conditions. Lows overnight will also be warm in the mid to upper 70s expected across the region.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Wednesday] VFR conditions expected this evening. TSRA are possible in vicinity of DHN through 05z, with a few already within 20 mi of the airport. Elsewhere, expect quiet conditions overnight with MVFR conditions at VLD prior to sunrise. VFR conditions after 13z with sct-nmrs TSRA developing after 19z. Given variability in model timing for storms Tuesday will only include VCTS groups at all sites on this TAF issuance.

MARINE.

Tranquil boating conditions are expected to prevail through the week as westerly to southwesterly winds will remain around 10 knots or less through Thursday. Seas are also expected to remain at around 1 foot or less across all waters. Winds will pick up slightly starting Thursday, with sustained values between 10-15 knots expected. Seas are expected to respond with 1-2 foot swells more common. Showers and thunderstorms may briefly bring elevated seas and winds throughout the week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Aside from low dispersions, there are no fire weather concerns expected over the next several days.sion here.

HYDROLOGY.

Localized flooding is possible on Tuesday from the weak low- pressure system mentioned above that is moving from east to west into our region today and tomorrow. A marginal risk (level 1/5) for excessive rainfall exists for the entire region tomorrow in WPC's ERO. Overall, expect widespread totals of around 1 inch; however, isolated higher amounts are possible, especially given that PW values will be over 2 inches across the region. Any flooding is expected to remain localized with locations possibly seeing training storms or getting fast rainfall rates from slow moving storms. In terms of rivers, there are several in action stage, mainly in the Suwannee and Ochlockonee basins, but are forecast to either crest or fall.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 76 94 75 92 74 / 20 70 40 80 30 Panama City 78 92 78 90 77 / 10 60 30 70 40 Dothan 75 93 74 91 74 / 30 70 50 70 20 Albany 77 95 75 93 75 / 30 70 60 70 20 Valdosta 75 94 74 91 74 / 30 70 50 80 30 Cross City 77 91 77 91 76 / 30 50 40 70 40 Apalachicola 79 90 78 89 77 / 20 40 30 60 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . Godsey NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . Godsey MARINE . Bunker FIRE WEATHER . Scholl HYDROLOGY . Bunker


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 27 mi102 min W 8 G 9.9 86°F 1014.3 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 39 mi51 min W 6 85°F 1017 hPa76°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 44 mi66 min N 2.9 G 4.1 84°F 86°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee International Airport, FL18 mi43 minWSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F77%1014.7 hPa
Quincy Municipal Airport, FL21 mi41 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F77°F89%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5Calm4N7N8NE7N7NE9NE7NE3NE4N3CalmSW4SW4W4
1 day agoE7SE3E3CalmCalmNE3E3E5E6E5E545NE7N8NE10NE95E8E5NE3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN3NW4N4CalmCalmNE3NE4CalmN3E5NE6E7E7NE6E84NE8NE6NE5NE4NE3CalmCalmE7

Tide / Current Tables for Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida
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Panacea
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:42 AM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:13 AM EDT     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:11 PM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.41.222.83.33.43.12.51.91.31.11.21.62.333.63.93.83.32.61.810.5

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:15 AM EDT     1.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:08 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.41.122.83.33.43.22.72.11.71.51.51.92.53.13.63.93.73.32.61.810.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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