Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hosford, FL

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Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 8:18PM Saturday August 17, 2019 10:31 PM EDT (02:31 UTC) Moonrise 8:52PMMoonset 7:50AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 905 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019 /805 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 17 2019/
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 am edt /7 am cdt/ Sunday...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 20 knots with occasionally higher gusts. Seas 5 to 7 feet near short and 7 to 9 feet further offshore. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 905 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis.. Winds will remain elevated overnight with small craft advisory conditions for most of the waters. Winds slowly decrease over the next few days with seas falling as well. Favorable marine conditions return for the start of the work week outside of marine and coastal Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hosford, FL
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location: 30.31, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 172347
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
747 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Update
Pops were adjusted down for most locations during the evening
update. Activity has decreased significantly during the past
couple hours. The only exception is the dixie county area is still
receiving rain. A flood watch is still in effect through tonight
for this area and may be extended longer. Flooding has been
reported in steinhatchee and several roads are closed. Activity
will increase again overnight before daybreak, mainly over the
gulf and near the coast.

Aviation
[through 00z Monday]
MVFR conditions are likely at tlh, ecp and vld in the overnight and
morning hours. Ifr conditions are possible at dhn and aby.

Thunderstorms and rain will be widespread tomorrow beginning near
ecp in the overnight morning hours and spreading inland by late
morning and afternoon.

Prev discussion [300 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Not much change in the overall synoptic pattern. While models do
show more moisture lifting northward into our al and ga zones
overnight, the deepest moisture will be across our florida zones
where pws will be over 2.0". Will show a pop gradient with slight
(20%) chance north to likely to categorical(60 to 80%) south. Patchy
fog (some possibly dense) will develop toward daybreak. Min temps
will be in the lower 70s.

Short term [Sunday through Monday night]
The upper trough or weakness between the two upper ridges will
remain over the southeast us. Southwesterly flow will continue to
pump deep tropical moisture into the area. A weak surface trough
over the northeast gulf will continue to become more diffuse but
the area of higher pops and moisture will remain the eastern big
bend florida counties into southern georgia. Heavy rainfall
remains a concern where recent heavy rainfall has fallen and
heighten the flood risk. Perhaps the big bend gets a much needed
break from the recent rainfall Monday as the axis of higher
moisture shifts into southern georgia and alabama. With the
abundance of cloud cover highs will be in the mid to upper 80s
further south and low 90s further north with less cloud cover.

Long term [Tuesday through Saturday]
Persistent wet pattern to continue through the extended with no
major systems affecting the area at this time. Low level
southwesterly flow will continue to advect high moisture into the
area with pwats around 2 inches each day. We will transition to
more summerlike regime with overnight convection over the gulf
waters and seabreeze and mesoscale driven convection across land
areas during the day. Pops during that time will be average to
above average and highs each day in the upper 80s to around 90
degrees.

Marine
Winds will remain elevated overnight with small craft exercise
caution conditions in waters east of apalachicola. Winds slowly
decrease over the next few days with seas falling as well.

Favorable marine conditions return for the start of the work week
outside of marine and coastal thunderstorms.

Fire weather
A wet pattern will be in place through this week. No fire weather
concerns except some patchy morning fog.

Hydrology
A flood watch remains in effect for dixie, taylor, and lafayette
counties. A coastal flood advisory also remains in effect for the
dixie county coast for minor inundation from the gulf due to
persistent southwesterly flow. Inundation of 1 to 2 feet appears
possible around high tide this afternoon.

Widespread radar estimates of 8 to 12 inches of rainfall has
fallen over the past 48-72 hours across dixie and southern taylor
counties with the band of heavy rain continuing at this hour.

Another 2 to 4 inches is possible through tonight and tomorrow
with isolated higher amounts. Elsewhere, 1 to 2 inches with
localized higher amounts across our fl counties and and extreme
southwestern ga over the next few days.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 73 87 72 88 73 30 70 60 70 50
panama city 76 86 75 86 75 60 70 60 70 50
dothan 73 91 72 89 72 20 50 30 70 40
albany 74 92 74 90 73 20 60 30 60 40
valdosta 72 86 71 88 72 20 70 40 70 50
cross city 73 85 73 85 73 100 60 60 70 50
apalachicola 77 85 75 86 76 60 80 60 80 50

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... Flood watch through Sunday morning for coastal dixie-coastal
taylor-inland dixie-inland taylor-lafayette.

Coastal flood advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
dixie.

High rip current risk through late Sunday night for coastal bay-
coastal franklin-coastal gulf-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt 7 am cdt Sunday for
apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to
ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm-coastal waters from
ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm-coastal
waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm-
waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60
nm-waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to
60 nm-waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county
line fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Update... Mcd
near term... Barry
short term... Scholl
long term... Scholl
aviation... Mcd
marine... Scholl
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 27 mi97 min S 14 G 21 82°F 63°F1015.8 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 38 mi106 min S 6 1016 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 44 mi49 min S 14 G 17 82°F 87°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee - Tallahassee International Airport, FL18 mi38 minESE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1016 hPa
Quincy Municipal Airport, FL21 mi36 minSSE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F73°F89%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSE3S4SW5SW5SW8S7S8SW9E10E15S7S11
G18
SE6CalmSE4SE4
1 day agoS3CalmSW3SE3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN33NE5NE5N534S8SE12SE13
G23
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2 days agoNE4S3CalmS4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmNE3E3CalmCalmN6CalmN63S10S11S3W8N3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida
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Panacea
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:29 AM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:11 AM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:10 PM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:48 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.52.43.13.53.53.12.51.81.20.91.11.52.33.13.743.83.32.61.70.90.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:34 AM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:07 AM EDT     1.36 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 PM EDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:50 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.42.333.53.53.22.621.61.41.51.92.53.23.743.83.32.51.710.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.