Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hosford, FL

UPDATE
Issued at 947 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Only minor updates this morning to the PoPs over the coastal waters to account for ongoing activity. Otherwise, forecast is on track, with best convective coverage expected over eastern half of area this afternoon.

SHORT TERM
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

A cutoff low in the mid and upper levels over southern Alabama and Georgia today will allow for one more day of scattered showers and thunderstorms circling around the CWA

Storms today would develop along the coast and then push inland through the afternoon. The showers/thunderstorms would be more "pulsy" in nature and should be brief. Shower/thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish following sunset with the loss of daytime heating. PoPs today range from about 30-60% with the better chances along and east of the Flint/Apalachicola rivers.
There are no excessive rainfall risks for today, however given the already saturated grounds, a strong core could create some nuisance flooding in low-lying flood-prone areas. This is a low chance, looking at forecast soundings that the atmosphere in the mid-levels will be pretty dry over our region.

Temperatures today will be warm in the low 90s, with heat indices around 100 degrees for most places. Temps tonight will be in the low to mid 70s with light to calm winds.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

The upper level low that has been plaguing us with heavy rainfall over the past several days will have finally lifted and dissipated by the start of this long term period. Our weather will be driven by the Bermuda high extending westward into Georgia and Alabama. PWATs will range around 1.5-2.1 inches, lowering the chance for heavy rainfall. Mid and upper level winds will generally be south/southeasterly through the long term period.

We can now expect more typical August summertime patterns with afternoon sea breeze driven thunderstorms. Expect temperatures in the low to mid 90s, and overnight lows in the 70s. PoPs generally range from 30-60% through this period. Easterly flow increases on Thursday, generating a higher chance for showers/thunderstorms in our eastern counties with PoPs ranging form 60-70% along the I-75 corridor with PWATs around 1.9-2.1". As a precaution, the WPC has highlighted the area along and east of the Albany to Perry line in a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

VFR through the TAF period. Widely scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon with the better chances from TLH/VLD and kept VCTS. Have PROB30 groups at ECP and ABY (lesser confidence of TS on station). Southwesterly winds are expected today becoming light after 00Z.

MARINE
Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

A cutoff low over southern Georgia and Alabama will lift further north and weaken then dissipate by mid week. As a result, our light southwesterly breezes will decrease and become easterly by mid week as the Bermuda high spreads westward into our region. We can expect gentle to moderate easterly breezes heading into the upcoming weekend. Throughout the entire period, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible, especially during the overnight and morning hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Transport winds will be light and shift from westerly/southwesterly today to more southerly by Wednesday. An overall shift to easterly can be expected by Friday. Temperatures will return to the low to mid 90s, with heat indices around 100-105 degrees for most districts.

Fair to moderate dispersions are forecast through the rest of the week. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible through the week. Such activity will likely start near and along the coast, then move inland with the afternoon sea breeze with PoPs of generally 30-60% each day.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

The rainy pattern we had over the weekend has finally broken. The moisture content today will still be elevated enough to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could generate heavy rainfall. However, the chances of this occuring are low with forecast PWATs around 1.5-1.8".

For the rest of the week, typical summertime showers/thunderstorms will be possible along the afternoon sea breeze. Easterly flow increases on Thursday, generating a higher chance for showers/thunderstorms in our eastern counties along the I-75 corridor. As a precaution, the WPC has highlighted the area along and east of the Albany to Perry line in a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall. Riverine flooding is not expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 92 73 92 73 / 60 20 30 10 Panama City 90 77 90 75 / 10 10 10 0 Dothan 91 72 92 72 / 10 10 30 10 Albany 91 72 92 73 / 40 10 30 10 Valdosta 93 71 94 72 / 40 20 30 10 Cross City 91 73 92 72 / 30 20 40 10 Apalachicola 88 77 88 77 / 40 20 10 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.