Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hosford, FL

UPDATE
Issued at 856 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

No changes are needed to this evening's forecast. There could be some patchy fog in our westernmost Panhandle counties early Thursday morning, but chances for fog are low.

SHORT TERM
(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Radar and satellite imagery this afternoon is quite indicative of a light SE sea breeze pattern that is struggling to overcome mid level dry air. What showers and storms have developed are not moving especially fast and don't last especially long. Expect storm coverage to drop rapidly after sunset. Patchy fog is a concern overnight, mainly in the FL Panhandle north of I-10.

For Thursday, more of the same is expected with a similar flow regime and drier mid level airmass in place. Temperatures will start warming up with several areas reaching the mid 90s. Heat indices will break into the triple digits, but certainly not as warm as what we'll see by the end of the week and weekend. Rain chances are less than 30 percent for most locations.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Through at least Saturday, heat will be more of a story than the thunderstorm coverage. With limited convective activity and a mid level ridge, air temperatures are expected to warm into the mid to upper 90s across the region. The latest operational NBM suggests air temperatures in the upper 90s, and the deterministic GFS and Euro MOS show values in the 95-97 degree range for Fri/Sat, so didn't really adjust the NBM guidance other than to better align the timing of the maxT in the hourly grids to better reflect the max heat indicies. For Fri/Sat afternoon heat indices of 106-110 degrees are possible, especially in North Florida and far South Georgia, which would meet our heat advisory criteria.

By Sunday, the ridge begins to weaken as a shortwave moves through the Ohio Valley. This should result in an increase in showers and thunderstorms, which will bring a break from the heat. Nonetheless, much of the tropical moisture looks to get pulled to the south and west of the region into the Western Gulf, so deep layer moisture doesn't really begin to increase until the end of the forecast period when both the GFS and Euro show the Eastern CONUS trough amplifying enough to push a surface frontal boundary into the Southeast. Should this occur, there would be increased rain chances especially across our northern zones nearer the boundary.
Earlier start to convection on Mon/Tue would also be expected given the strong SW (10-15 kt 1000-700 mb layer) flow.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 740 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF period. The lone exception could be brief MVFR/IFR visibilities due to fog possibilities across ECP/TLH around sunrise.

MARINE
Issued at 311 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The Bermuda High continues to bring light to moderate southeasterly to southerly winds across the northeastern Gulf through Thursday. It slides closer to the Bahamas Friday, bringing more westerly winds to our waters through the weekend. Seas will generally be 1 to 2 feet through Thursday before increasing slightly to 1 to 3 feet as westerly winds develop Friday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 311 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Hot and mostly dry weather is expected through Friday. Afternoon temperatures will generally be in the lower to middle 90s with a less than 30% chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm along the sea breeze in our Florida Districts. Heat indices will be approaching 103 to 108 degrees Friday and slightly higher for Saturday. MinRH will generally drop to between 40 to 50 percent each afternoon through Saturday before increasing slightly Sunday and Monday. Rain chances will also increase Saturday afternoon through Monday as moisture returns to the region. Easterly to southerly Transport and surface winds are forecast through Thursday before turning more westerly Friday and beyond.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 311 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

No significant flash or riverine flooding is expected the next several days. Locally heavy downpours are expected within any showers and storms that develop, especially Saturday into early next week, with 1" to 2" of rain occurring very quickly.

Severe to exceptional drought continues for areas generally east of the Apalachicola and Flint Rivers as these areas missed out on the most beneficial recent rains. The drought features long term impacts that are affecting rivers, lakes, and ponds that are still below normal despite recent rains. For more information on local drought impacts, please visit www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 93 73 94 74 / 30 10 10 0 Panama City 90 75 89 77 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 92 72 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 92 74 94 76 / 0 0 10 10 Valdosta 92 73 94 75 / 10 10 20 10 Cross City 93 72 93 75 / 40 20 40 0 Apalachicola 87 76 87 77 / 10 0 10 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.