Warrington, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Warrington, FL

June 16, 2024 7:40 PM CDT (00:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM
Moonrise 3:02 PM   Moonset 1:57 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:202406170915;;135788 Fzus54 Kmob 162044 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 344 pm cdt Sun jun 16 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-170915- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 344 pm cdt Sun jun 16 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from late Monday night through Thursday morning - .

Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 8 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely early this evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening and overnight.

Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. Showers likely. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 9 seconds. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

Wednesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Wave detail: southeast 8 feet at 9 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: southeast 7 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 344 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis - A light to moderate southeasterly flow will persist through tonight. A moderate to strong easterly to southeasterly flow with building seas is anticipated Monday through early Thursday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrington, FL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 162342 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 641 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Deeper convection is ending for the evening, although scattered showers and patches of mainly light rain will continue over some areas for the next few hours. Some locations will continue to see low end MVFR (around 1000 feet) ceilings this early this evening, but many areas improving to IFR ceilings sometime after about 17/02z. Look for another round of showers and a few thunderstorms again by Monday morning, then persisting through the day. MVFR to occasionally IFR ceilings will again be possible on Monday, as well as brief periods of IFR visibility in heavy rainfall associated with some of the convection. Surface winds primarily light east to southeast through the period. DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 435 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 435 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A plume of tropical moisture continues to lift northward into much of our forecast area this afternoon along the western periphery of an upper level ridge of high pressure centered over the vicinity of the Carolinas. Numerous showers and thunderstorms have developed within the plume of deep moisture and a few storm cells have been strong with gusty winds of 40-50 mph and frequent lightning strikes given moderate instability (MLCAPE values up to around 2500 J/KG).
Some storms have produced locally heavy rainfall with pockets of 1- 3" estimated by radar across a few locations in southwest/south central AL and the western FL panhandle. Convective coverage should gradually decrease this evening into tonight, but will leave low chance POPs in place given the persistent plume of deep moisture in place over our area.

The strong upper level ridge of high pressure will remain centered over the Carolinas into southern Virginia on Monday. The axis of deeper moisture will become more focused across southeast MS into southwest Alabama along the western side of this feature Monday.
Another round of numerous to widespread showers and storms will develop again Monday morning into Monday afternoon, with the best coverage expected in southeast MS and far southwest AL within the deeper moisture plume. Will keep POPs high between 60-80% across this portion of our CWA Monday, with POPs between 30-50% over the eastern part of our region. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible again, but any flooding threat should be very localized.
Lows tonight range from around 70 to the lower 70s over inland areas and in the mid 70s to around 80 degrees along the coast. Highs Monday range from the upper 80s over southeast MS/southwest AL and in the lower 90s across the eastern part of the region.

Persistent southeasterly flow and increasing swell will result in a HIGH risk of dangerous rip currents along area beaches tonight into Monday and likely through the upcoming week. /21

SHORT and LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 435 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Upper ridging is in no rush to go anywhere as it remains generally parked across the southeastern U.S. through Friday. Ridging finally begins to break down somewhat as we head into the weekend as an upper trough digs in across the Great Lakes into Midwest states by Sunday. Generally anticipate the typical diurnal cycle for this time of year with afternoon isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, mainly in association with the sea- breeze boundary pushing inland. Best chances will remain confined across coastal counties of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.
Daily highs will stay warm in the upper 80's to lower 90's, perhaps pushing middle 90's by mid to late week. Overnight lows remain toasty with generally lower to middle 70's expected.
Interior portions of the area may see a couple nights that manage to sneak into the upper 60's.

A High Risk of rip currents will remain in effect through the entire period. A High Surf Advisory also goes into effect starting late Monday night and lasts through Wednesday night. Surf heights increase significantly Monday into Tuesday up to around 5 to 7 feet and remains elevated at these heights through Wednesday night.

There remains a large amount of model spread regarding the evolution of a trough split across the southwestern Atlantic and resultant transition into a tropical disturbance. Given the aforementioned ridging and surface high in place this tropical disturbance will likely race westward into the southeastern U.S.
coast. Depending on its track, we could see another increase in rain and thunderstorm chances as we head into the latter part of this week. MM/25

MARINE...
Issued at 435 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

A light to moderate southeasterly flow will persist through tonight.
A moderate to strong southeasterly flow along with building seas is anticipated Monday through early Thursday as the gradient increases between low pressure developing over the southwestern Gulf and high pressure across the Atlantic. E/SE winds increasing to 15-25 knots along with seas building to 6-9 feet have prompted the issuance of a Small Craft Advisory starting late Monday night and continuing into early Thursday morning. Winds and seas will also be locally higher near scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. /21

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 74 87 74 87 75 90 73 92 / 40 70 30 40 20 30 10 30 Pensacola 77 88 77 89 77 90 75 92 / 40 70 40 40 30 30 30 50 Destin 77 90 77 90 77 91 76 92 / 30 50 30 30 30 30 30 40 Evergreen 71 91 70 90 70 90 69 92 / 30 50 10 10 0 0 0 20 Waynesboro 71 89 70 87 71 91 69 92 / 30 80 10 20 10 10 0 10 Camden 72 91 71 89 72 90 70 91 / 30 50 10 10 0 0 0 10 Crestview 72 92 70 92 71 92 70 93 / 30 40 10 20 10 20 10 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204- 206.

High Surf Advisory from 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ650-655-670-675.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi76 minNE 1.9G5.1 78°F 94°F30.01
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 22 mi40 minE 12G14 82°F 85°F30.0176°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 28 mi115 minNE 1 82°F 30.0173°F
FRMA1 36 mi52 minESE 4.1G5.1 83°F 30.0176°F
EFLA1 37 mi52 min 82°F 72°F
DILA1 40 mi52 minESE 4.1G5.1 83°F 85°F30.01
MBPA1 43 mi52 min 82°F 73°F
PTOA1 44 mi52 min 81°F 75°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 45 mi52 minE 1G4.1 81°F 88°F30.01
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 46 mi52 min 81°F 86°F30.04


Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL 1 sm44 minENE 0510 smMostly Cloudy82°F75°F79%30.01
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL 12 sm47 mincalm10 smClear77°F72°F83%30.01
KJKA JACK EDWARDS NATIONAL,AL 19 sm44 minENE 0810 smMostly Cloudy81°F79°F94%30.01
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Wind History graph: NPA
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Tide / Current for Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   
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Pensacola Bay Entrance
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Sun -- 01:57 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:03 AM CDT     0.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:14 PM CDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida, Tide feet


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Mobile, AL,




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