Sunrise 5:50 AM   Sunset 7:40 PM Moonrise 4:17 PM   Moonset 3:30 AM

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GMZ633 Perdido Bay-pensacola Bay System-western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 933 Am Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Rest of today - Northwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tonight - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Monday night - East winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tuesday night - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

GMZ600 933 Am Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis - Primarily light west to northwest flow through Monday night, but sometimes light and variable. Light south to southeasterly flow is then expected Tuesday through Thursday.

FXUS64 KMOB 191128 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 628 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period along with light and variable winds. /22

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry conditions will persist through Monday as deep ridging becomes reestablished across the southeast states. Skies will be mostly clear to clear, along with warmer temperatures and light north winds shifting to the east. High temperatures this afternoon will rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along the beaches. Lows tonight will be above normal, ranging from 62 to 66 degrees interior areas and from 66 to 71 degrees close to the coast. High temperatures Monday should be in the mid to upper 80s for most locations, and around 90 degrees across southeast Mississippi. /22

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry and warm weather is expected through much of this week as an upper level ridge builds in from the southwestern Gulf. Surface high pressure will keep winds mainly out of the east on Tuesday before shifting to the south on Wednesday. High temperatures are expected to rise into the upper 80s and lower 90s most afternoons with lows falling into the 60s inland and the lower 70s along the coast. The next chance for rain tries to enter back into the forecast on Friday and potentially on Saturday as the upper ridge flattens and a shortwave slides eastward across the Mid South and Southeastern States. A weak front associated with this shortwave feature will push into the Midsouth and Southeastern States, but there is still some question as to how far south the front will go given the dominating surface high pressure to our east. For now, have maintained the 15-25% PoP over interior portions of southeast Mississippi, southwest and south central Alabama on Friday afternoon, but it's possible that the influence of the surface high pressure could keep better subsidence in place and therefore limit rain chances. There's also the possiblity that the shortwave could become more amplified which would increase rain chances over interior areas. We'll continue to narrow down the specifics as we get closer in time and in the meantime, enjoy the dry, warm, and mostly sunny skies. /14

MARINE...
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Light and variable winds through Monday night will be followed by a light southeasterly to southerly flow Tuesday through Thursday.
/22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 88 66 89 68 86 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 87 69 85 70 84 70 84 70 / 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 85 71 85 71 84 71 83 72 / 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 87 64 88 64 89 63 90 65 / 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 87 63 89 66 89 65 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 84 64 86 64 87 63 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 88 64 88 63 88 63 88 65 / 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None.
GM...None.

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Pensacola Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:30 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:12 AM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:17 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:39 PM CDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Pensacola
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:29 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:35 AM CDT     0.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:17 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:13 PM CDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pensacola, Florida, Tide feet

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