Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 7:21PM Saturday August 24, 2019 7:23 AM CDT (12:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:21AMMoonset 2:24PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201908242115;;126977 Fzus54 Kmob 240911 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 411 Am Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-242115- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 411 Am Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 411 Am Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis..A light and somewhat variable wind flow is expected across the marine area through the weekend then increasing slightly and becoming more west to southwesterly during the early and middle part of next week. Little change in seas over the weekend and early next week, but a slight increase in seas is expected by midweek. Periods of scattered showers and Thunderstorms expected over the coastal waters through the period, but being most numerous in the late night and early morning hours.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 241154
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
654 am cdt Sat aug 24 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
24 12z issuance... Primarily aVFR forecast for most of the area
for most of the morning hours, but scattered to locally numerous
convection this afternoon (mainly over interior locations) could
produce periods of MVFR or ifr ceilings and visibilities in and
near the showers and storms. Surface winds generally light south
to southwest today, then light and variable overnight tonight.

12 ds

Prev discussion issued 443 am cdt Sat aug 24 2019
near term now through Saturday night ... Weak mid upper ridging
will continue over the area today while two developing mid upper
level low pressure areas, one a trof over the western gulf and the
other a closed low off the east coast of florida. At the surface,
weak high pressure continues along the central gulf coast region
while surface low pressure (possibly tropical in nature) develops
off the east coast of florida and slowly lifts northeast. A very
moist airmass remains in place across the area, with pwats
generally remaining in the 2.0 to 2.2 inch range. The moist
atmosphere, when combined with daytime heating and instability,
will continue to support a diurnal convective pattern with mostly
afternoon and evening scattered to locally numerous showers and
thunderstorms. A few storms could be briefly strong this
afternoon, but the more likely threat will be localized heavy
rainfall. Highs today expected to be in the upper 80s and lower
90s. Lows tonight in the lower 70s most areas except along the
coast where mid to upper 70s are expected. 12 ds
short term Sunday through Monday night ... Will begin the period
with a short-wave upper ridge over the eastern gulf while mid-
level heights begin lowering over the lower ms river valley as
upper trof exits the plains. Deep gulf moisture continues to
reside over the central gulf coast with pwat values upwards of ~ 2.4
inches being pulled northward from la to the yazoo-ms river delta
region ahead of upper trof. For Sunday, two areas of notable
forcing ascent is seen. The first area is associated with mid-
level impulses passing over the interior in the higher level
southwest flow between the short-wave upper ridge to the east and
the approaching trof. The other area is within the upper trof axis
itself to the west. Considering lift, abundance of environmental
moisture and daytime instability favors categorical to likely
chances of convection Sunday mainly along and north of i-10. South
of the interstate, will go with mid range pops. The trof feature
sharpens from the tn valley to off the southeast la coast Monday
as it advances slowly eastward bringing enhanced lift coincident
with deep moisture over the heart of the forecast area.

Categorical to higher end likely chances expected area-wide
Monday. Latest forecast event total rainfall this period ranges 1
to 2 inches. However, the slow eastward advance of the weather
system moving into and over the deep south during the short term
may result in locally higher amounts being quite possible. In
fact, a marginal risk of excessive rain is in place from la to al
Sunday and Monday. For now, the impacts look to be of a nuisance
type flooding variety in urban and lower lying areas subject to
poor drainage. Some storms could be strong enough to produce brief
strong wind gusts and frequent lightning activity. Due to weak
shear profiles though, the severe weather threat is low.

Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s Sunday, trend lower, ranging
from 83 to 87 Monday given clouds and rain coverage. Overnight
lows remain in the 70s. 10
long term Tuesday through Friday ... The axis of the upper trof
slides eastward into the southeast us but still may hang back
enough to the west for a modest pop to remain in the forecast. By
Wednesday, the upper trof moves off the east coast with an
evolving high level west northwest flow developing in its wake
over the deep south. As far as convection Wednesday, mid level
impulses embedded in the west northwest flow aloft along with a
southeastward moving front looks to tap a zone of deep moisture
from the red river valley of tx ok to the central gulf coast.

Thus, will maintain a chance of showers and storms mid week.

By Thursday, there are indications of a frontal passage into the
gulf which will bring some changes by way of lowering rain chances
and to low temperatures late in the medium range. Overnight lows
may dip into the mid 60s over the northwest zones Thursday and
Friday nights. 10
marine... A light and somewhat variable wind flow is expected
across the marine area through the weekend, with a somewhat offshore
component late night and early morning and onshore during the
afternoon and early evening hours. Wind flow will then be increasing
slightly and becoming more prevailing west to southwesterly during
the early and middle part of next week. Little change in seas over
the weekend and early next week, but a slight increase in seas is
expected by midweek with the slight increase in wind speeds. Periods
of scattered showers and thunderstorms expected over the coastal
waters through the forecast period, being most numerous in the late
night and early morning hours. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi54 min N 1.9 G 1.9 78°F 86°F1016.4 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi54 min 79°F 1016.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi34 min NNW 5.8 G 5.8 83°F 86°F1 ft1016.5 hPa77°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi84 min ENE 5.1 79°F 1015.9 hPa (+1.7)
WBYA1 47 mi54 min 84°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 47 mi99 min 76°F 1016 hPa75°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi28 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F73°F94%1016.1 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi31 minN 410.00 miFair77°F77°F100%1016.7 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi28 minNNW 37.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1016.6 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi88 minN 010.00 miFair73°F73°F100%1014.4 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi28 minN 410.00 miA Few Clouds77°F75°F98%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--CalmCalmS5NW3S5S3S4S3SW5CalmS2CalmCalm--------Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalm--N5SE4CalmSE5SE5S6SE3SE6S6S7S5S8------S3Calm----CalmCalmCalm
2 days ago----CalmSE8SE6SE8S7SE4S3S4S3CalmS4SE4--------S3--Calm--CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:21 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:39 AM CDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:26 PM CDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.31.41.61.71.81.81.81.81.71.61.41.210.80.60.40.30.30.30.40.50.60.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.