Wednesday, January29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 5:22PM Wednesday January 29, 2020 6:31 AM CST (12:31 UTC) Moonrise 10:39AMMoonset 10:45PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:202001291600;;676103 Fzus54 Kmob 290356 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 956 Pm Cst Tue Jan 28 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-291600- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 956 Pm Cst Tue Jan 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am cst Wednesday through late Wednesday night...
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots becoming northeast 18 to 23 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 2 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 956 Pm Cst Tue Jan 28 2020
Synopsis..Light southeast winds will increase to a moderate to strong by the morning. As a surface low moves across the gulf waters, winds will turn southwest with showers and storms present. Winds will remain elevated out of the west-northwest through Wednesday night before subsiding slightly and becoming easterly as another area of low pressure passes south of the marine area Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 291214 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 614 AM CST Wed Jan 29 2020

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE. Widespread rain with mostly embedded showers continues to spread eastward over the much of the forecast area early this morning associated with a weakening shortwave trough in the mid levels approaching from the west combined with a weak surface low tracking eastward over the adjacent gulf waters of MS . AL and NWFL. With limited conditional or elevated instability throughout the day will continue to mention only a slight chance for thunderstorms during the day today moving off to the east quickly this evening. With this pattern no severe weather is expected. With plenty of rain and clouds expected temperatures will range from the lower to middle 50s for most inland areas and the lower 60s along the immediate coast. 32/ee

AVIATION. 12Z issuance . Expect mostly MVFR cigs and visibilities over the region through tonight. Lower cigs and visibilities occurring mostly in light to moderate rain associated with a weak surface low tracking eastward just south of the adjacent Gulf coast today. Winds will be mostly northeast at 10 to 15 knots with slightly higher gusts through 30.12z. 32/ee

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 423 AM CST Wed Jan 29 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday night/ . An upper trof which has been advancing across the south central states continues eastward across the central Gulf coast states today then exits to the east tonight. An associated surface low moves from near the Sabine River valley to southeast Louisiana by early this morning, then continues eastward over the adjacent Gulf waters of Alabama and Northwest Florida through this afternoon. The surface low continues quickly eastward and emerges in the western Atlantic late tonight. As the surface low approaches and moves into the region, increased isentropic lift in the 290-300K layer becomes strong and will support categorical pops over the entire area today. Surface based instability will remain rather low to nil given the trajectory of the surface low, but elevated instability aloft should allow for some embedded thunderstorms generally over the southern portion of the area during the day today. Mainly dry conditions follow tonight as the surface low exits off to the east. Highs today range from the lower 50s well inland to around 60 near the coast. Lows tonight range from the upper 30s well inland to the mid 40s at the coast. A MODERATE RISK of rip currents will continue along the Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida through tonight. /29/32

SHORT TERM /Thursday Through Friday night/ . A mid level shortwave trough over the Southeast moves off as another trough over the US/western Mexico border swings quickly east. Low level flow shifts to easterly as a weak surface ridge builds southwest over the eastern Conus Thursday into Thursday night. As the Southwestern Conus upper trough continues to swing east over the southern half of the Conus, increasing isentropic upglide over the Southeast will bring rain back the region later Thursday night into Friday. With any instability, elevated or otherwise, remaining well south of the forecast area, am not expecting any rumbles to mix in with the general rain-showers. The precipitation is expected to move east of the forecast area Friday night, bringing another general half an inch of rain to the area before the rain ends.

The increasing cloud cover and rain will bring a tighter diurnal temperature range to the forecast area through the Short Term. Thursday's high temperatures are expected to rise to around seasonal norms, topping out in the low 60s. Low temperatures Thursday night and high temperatures Friday will see the smallest temperature swing, with mid 40s to near 50 expected Thursday night, mid 50s to around 60s expected Friday. As the rain moves off and skies begin to clear, low temperatures Friday night are expected to drop into the mid to upper 40s. /16

LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/ . As this second upper level shortwave trough that has moved over the southeast moves off, another series of shortwave trough dig a mean upper trough over the western Conus, with an upper ridge building over the eastern Conus. Increasing subsidence and southerly flow returning to the region brings a return of above seasonal temperatures to the forecast area through the weekend. High temperatures Saturday in the low 60s are expected, mid to upper 60s Sunday and Monday. Low temperatures Saturday night are expected to drop to an around seasonal upper 30s to low 40s, mid 40s to near 50 Saturday night. Rain returns to the forecast area late Monday through Monday night as the next upper level trough moves over the region. Temperatures MOnday night into Tuesday are expected to continue to rise even more above seasonal norms, with low temperatures Monday night dropping into the mid to upper 50s, low 70s Tuesday as southerly flow continues to move warm, moist air inland over the Southeast. /16

MARINE . A moderate to strong northeasterly wind flow will continue over the marine area through this evening in response to a weak surface low tracking eastward just south of the Alabama and Northwest Florida coast. Widespread showers with a few embedded thunderstorms can be expected with this pattern through early this evening. A light to moderate northerly flow will persist over the marine area through the remainder of the week as a weak surface ridge of high pressure builds over the northern Gulf states. A moderate to strong northwest flow can be expected over the weekend in the wake of a cold front that moves across the region late Friday night through early Saturday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the open Gulf waters of Alabama and Northwest Florida out to 60 nm including lower Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound east of Pascagoula through tonight. 32/ee

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ631-632-650- 655-670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi44 min 54°F 1012.6 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi62 min 57°F 1012.2 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi32 min E 23 G 29 63°F 67°F1011.4 hPa (-1.8)53°F
WBYA1 47 mi44 min 58°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 47 mi107 min 52°F 1012 hPa47°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi62 min ENE 19 55°F 1010.2 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi96 minENE 810.00 miOvercast51°F42°F74%1013.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi39 minE 610.00 miLight Rain54°F44°F69%1012.6 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi36 minENE 810.00 miLight Rain55°F48°F80%1012.3 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi2.6 hrsENE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy48°F42°F80%1013 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi36 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy51°F40°F68%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N5NE4E8NE5E9S9S9S8SW6SW4CalmN3CalmN3N3N4NE4NE4N4E7E6E8E9
1 day agoN6N7N7NE7NE4NE6N12N11N11N10N11N7N5N6N4CalmNW3N5N4N3N4N4N6N4
2 days ago--CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N6NE4NE5E3E4E9E7E8E6E6E7E8E7E8NE3NE5NE5NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:01 AM CST     0.83 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:39 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:24 PM CST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:21 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:45 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.80.80.80.70.60.50.40.30.10-0-0-0-000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.