Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 4:22 PM   Moonset 3:35 AM

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GMZ632 Expires:202405201515;;514781 Fzus54 Kmob 200214 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 914 pm cdt Sun may 19 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz630>632-201515- northern mobile bay-southern mobile bay-mississippi sound- 914 pm cdt Sun may 19 2024
Rest of tonight - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming north late. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 914 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis - Primarily a light west to northwest flow continues tonight through Monday night, but winds could become light and variable at times. Light south to southeasterly flow is then expected Tuesday through Friday. Seas generally remain 2 feet or less through the period.

FXUS64 KLIX 192334 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 634 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Generally a quite pattern has evolved for our local CWFA. Aloft, a dry northwesterly flow around the eastern periphery of a 594dam high over Mexico will remain across our region through the short term period. At the surface a high pressure will continue to rule the overall surface pattern with light and variable winds. Skies should remain on the clear side. This could again generate some shallow radiation fog tonight with calm winds and clear skies.
SREF guidance is pinging the best potential along the Atchafalaya late tonight or around sunrise on Monday. Kept patchy fog in the grids for now. This should lift pretty rapidly after sunrise. The main story here will be temperatures. As high pressure begins to move east a weak onshore flow will initiate allowing temperatures to be slightly cooler right along the immediate coast...at least cooler than today with a weak northerly flow over our region limiting impacts from the cooler shelf waters. (Frye)

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday night)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Tuesday the southerly return flow will be more noticeable. Again, this should moderate temperatures right along the immediate coast with the interaction of the cooler SSTs. However, inland will be a few degrees warmer with most locations ending up in the upper 80s or even perhaps lower 90s. Aloft, the upper ridge mentioned in the short term portion will spread northeast toward the Rio Grande Valley. There will be upper level ridging along the Texas coast and spreading into our region, however, the heights are just a bit lower than previously advertised so temps were knocked down a degree or two from previous higher forecasts. That said, it will still be a warm week ahead with temperatures warming into the middle and upper 80s each day with perhaps the warmer locations such as Baton Rouge reaching the 90F mark each afternoon.

By Thursday a weak frontal boundary tries to move southward but stalls to our north across the midsouth region. There will be an upper level impulse overhead and with a more rich boundary layer from a few days of return flow. Think the rain chances will be nonzero, especially across interior southwest MS closer to the front and best upper level dynamics. But largely most of the region appears to be dry with the best QPF signal along and north of the I20 corridor. Going into late week and into the weekend a warming trend is progged by the guidance as upper level heights again try to increase with the upper high strengthening to around 595dam over Deep South Texas. If this does, indeed, occur many across our forecast area will see their warmest temperatures of the season late this week and especially into the next weekend.
(Frye)

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Generally VFR conditions through the forecast period, with the possible brief exception of radiation type fog at a few of the more prone sites at sunrise, such as KHUM/KMCB and perhaps KASD.
We didn't have significant fog this morning when conditions actually may have been somewhat more favorable. Any fog that does develop should burn off quickly around 14z if not sooner.

MARINE
Issued at 305 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

High pressure will continue to build into the region early this week. This will lead to favorable marine conditions through the forecast period. High pressure will begin to exit the region allowing for southerly winds to take shape, but winds should remain at and mostly below 15kts through the week. (Frye)

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 65 90 66 89 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 70 92 70 93 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 69 91 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 73 89 72 89 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 69 87 70 87 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 67 90 68 89 / 0 0 0 0

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Pascagoula
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Sun -- 03:35 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:55 AM CDT     1.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:27 PM CDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:44 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pascagoula, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi, Tide feet

Mobile Bay Entrance
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Sun -- 12:17 AM CDT     0.05 knots Min Flood
Sun -- 03:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:24 AM CDT     0.28 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:46 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:56 PM CDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:20 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:08 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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